Genclerbirligi vs Eyüpspor – 20 Sep 2025

Süper Lig Gameweek 6 Sat, Sep 20 · 15:00 Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara

Genclerbirligi 18th · 0 pts · 5 played LLLLL

1–0Full time

Eyüpspor 14th · 4 pts · 5 played LLWDL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Eyüpspor were slight favourites.

Eyüpspor were the stronger side on L90 Strength (20 vs 10). Genclerbirligi had 4.9 days of rest, Eyüpspor 7 and had to travel 352 km.

Away travel352 kmRest days4.9 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Genclerbirligi31%

Draw27%

Eyüpspor41%

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.43

Genclerbirligi32%

Draw27%

Eyüpspor41%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.44

Genclerbirligi31%

Draw27%

Eyüpspor41%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.43

Genclerbirligi25%

Draw26%

Eyüpspor49%

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.60

Genclerbirligi32%

Draw27%

Eyüpspor41%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.44

Over 2.5 49% Both score 54% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Ankara)

No weather data yet

RefereeÖmer Tolga Güldibi

Team strength

Genclerbirligi

Eyüpspor

10 L90 StrengthIn forecast 20

15 Current StrengthIn forecast 13

13 AttackIn forecast 9

16 DefenceIn forecast 10

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Genclerbirligi

Attack—

Defense risk—

Eyüpspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Genclerbirligi

Eyüpspor

0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

0.84 xGVia Att/Def 0.94

1.43 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.70

-0.24 Goals minus xGContext -0.14

60% Scored inContext 60%

0% Clean sheetsContext 20%

9.80 ShotsContext 10.60

2.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.60

27% On target shareContext 25%

4.60 Shots in the boxContext 5.80

50% Box shareContext 57%

6% ConversionContext 8%

1.60 OffsidesContext 2.80

14.00 Shots allowedContext 14.80

3.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.20

4.33 BlocksContext 4.75

2.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.75

58% Save rateContext 76%

41% PossessionIn forecast 47%

316 PassesContext 365

251 Accurate passesContext 302

79% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.56 Team ratingContext 6.76

11.20 FoulsContext 10.60

13.40 Fouls sufferedContext 14.80

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.60

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 5 and 5 games

0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30

0.84 xGVia Att/Def 0.99

1.43 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.72

-0.24 Goals minus xGContext -0.19

60% Scored inContext 60%

0% Clean sheetsContext 10%

9.80 ShotsContext 9.20

2.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.89

27% On target shareContext 28%

4.60 Shots in the boxContext 5.33

50% Box shareContext 57%

6% ConversionContext 9%

1.60 OffsidesContext 2.67

14.00 Shots allowedContext 14.60

3.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.90

4.33 BlocksContext 4.56

2.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.22

58% Save rateContext 60%

41% PossessionIn forecast 52%

316 PassesContext 414

251 Accurate passesContext 350

79% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.56 Team ratingContext 6.78

11.20 FoulsContext 9.80

13.40 Fouls sufferedContext 14.10

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 5 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Genclerbirligi

Rest4.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,320 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Eyüpspor

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel352 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Genclerbirligi	Eyüpspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 15 Sep	7Süper Lig 2025-2026, 13 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	352 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,320 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 3	1 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	8.1	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Genclerbirligi Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

18E. Erentürk(G)

23M. Hanousek 2T. da Silva 6D. Goutas 13Pedro Pereira

53D. Varešanović 35O. Ülgün

70F. Tongya 22S. Koïta 11G. Gürpüz

29M. Niang

+7 more reported missing outside this XI

Eyüpspor Confirmed XI

4-4-2

1Marcos Felipe(G)

77C. Meraş 4Luccas Claro 6R. Yalçın 2Calegari

11S. Gürler 10K. Demirbay 30Y. Kayan 7H. Akbunar

19U. Bozok 99S. Sešlar

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Genclerbirligi Scores -0.01 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Eyüpspor Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Genclerbirligi+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Eyüpspor+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Genclerbirligi · Home 0.00points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-2
Scored: 0.50
Conceded: 2.00

Eyüpspor · Away 0.50points per game · 2 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-1
Scored: 0.50
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Genclerbirligi	Eyüpspor	Forecast
Scored per game	0.60	0.80
Conceded per game	1.80	1.80
Match goals	2.40	2.60	2.64
Over 1.5	60%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	60%	49%
Over 3.5	20%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	60%	54%
Clean sheets	0%	20%
Failed to score	40%	40%
Games	5	5

	Genclerbirligi	Eyüpspor	Forecast
Scored per game	0.60	0.80
Conceded per game	1.80	1.80
Match goals	2.40	2.60	2.64
Over 1.5	60%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	60%	49%
Over 3.5	20%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	60%	54%
Clean sheets	0%	20%
Failed to score	40%	40%
Games	5	5

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Genclerbirligi	Eyüpspor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	5.25
Corners conceded	4.40	6.75
Match total	9.40	12.00	9.28
Over 8.5	60% 3/5	100% 4/4
Over 9.5	60% 3/5	75% 3/4
Over 10.5	60% 3/5	75% 3/4
Cards
Cards	1.80	2.60
Opponent cards	2.00	2.20
Match total	3.80	4.80	4.64
Over 3.5	40% 2/5	60% 3/5
Over 4.5	40% 2/5	40% 2/5

	Genclerbirligi	Eyüpspor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	3.67
Corners conceded	4.40	5.78
Match total	9.40	9.45	9.28
Over 8.5	60% 3/5	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	60% 3/5	33% 3/9
Over 10.5	60% 3/5	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	1.80	2.30
Opponent cards	2.00	1.90
Match total	3.80	4.20	4.64
Over 3.5	40% 2/5	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	40% 2/5	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.