La Liga Gameweek 5 Sun, Sep 13 · 17:30 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
Getafe 15th · 4 pts · 4 played
1–1Full time
Deportivo La Coruna 6th · 8 pts · 4 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Deportivo La Coruna. Getafe had 6 days of rest, Deportivo La Coruna 7.9 and had to travel 515 km. Weather to note: heat stress.

Away travel515 kmRest days6 · 7.9Matches / 14d2 · 2
Getafe38%
Draw28%
Deportivo La Coruna34%
Expected goals 1.24 – 1.15
Getafe45%
Draw25%
Deportivo La Coruna29%
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.18
Getafe39%
Draw28%
Deportivo La Coruna34%
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.14
Getafe32%
Draw28%
Deportivo La Coruna41%
Expected goals 1.11 – 1.29
Getafe39%
Draw27%
Deportivo La Coruna34%
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.19
Over 2.5 43% Both score 49% Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Getafe)
32°CClear
  • Precipitation 0.0 mm
  • Wind 4 km/h
  • Humidity 21%
Heat stress
Referee · SpainRicardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
  • Cards per match 3.9
  • Penalties per match 0.35
  • Matches 55

Team strength

GetafeDeportivo La Coruna
49 L90 StrengthIn forecast 47
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 45
27 AttackIn forecast 40
59 DefenceIn forecast 57
37 Form indexContext 73
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—
Defense risk—

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GetafeDeportivo La Coruna
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
1.25 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.25
0.70 xGVia Att/Def 0.92
1.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.43
-0.20 Goals minus xGContext +1.08
50% Scored inContext 100%
25% Clean sheetsContext 0%
9.75 ShotsContext 8.25
1.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.50
15% On target shareContext 42%
5.25 Shots in the boxContext 5.00
54% Box shareContext 61%
5% ConversionContext 24%
2.50 OffsidesContext 1.50
12.50 Shots allowedContext 13.25
4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.25
3.25 BlocksContext 4.00
2.75 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25
69% Save rateContext 77%
44% PossessionIn forecast 42%
345 PassesContext 419
264 Accurate passesContext 355
77% Pass accuracyContext 85%
6.67 Team ratingContext 6.85
12.25 FoulsContext 14.25
14.75 Fouls sufferedContext 10.75
2.75 Yellow cardsContext 2.25
0.25 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 4 and 4 games
0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
0.78 xGVia Att/Def 1.00
0.99 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.40
-0.18 Goals minus xGContext +0.70
40% Scored inContext 100%
30% Clean sheetsContext 20%
9.00 ShotsContext 10.40
2.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50
22% On target shareContext 43%
5.40 Shots in the boxContext 7.30
59% Box shareContext 68%
7% ConversionContext 16%
2.43 OffsidesContext 1.50
10.70 Shots allowedContext 11.70
4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.60
2.40 BlocksContext 3.30
2.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00
73% Save rateContext 79%
44% PossessionIn forecast 45%
307 PassesContext 424
224 Accurate passesContext 363
73% Pass accuracyContext 86%
6.69 Team ratingContext 6.90
12.90 FoulsContext 12.90
15.20 Fouls sufferedContext 11.40
2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.30
0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km658 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 37 · 4 pts vs 5.5 for an average club · -1.2 vs expected
  • D7 SepH · Celta Vigo1–11.6 xPts
  • L31 AugA · Osasuna0–11.0 xPts
  • W23 AugH · Racing Santander1–01.5 xPts
  • L15 AugA · Alaves0–31.2 xPts
Deportivo La Coruna
Rest7.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel515 km1,575 km in 14d
Schedule load11%Low
Form 73 · 8 pts vs 5.2 for an average club · +3.5 vs expected
  • W5 SepA · Villarreal3–20.7 xPts
  • W30 AugH · Valencia3–11.3 xPts
  • D24 AugA · Malaga1–11.0 xPts
  • D17 AugH · Elche1–11.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Getafe Deportivo La Coruna
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 11
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match6La Liga 2026-2027, 7 Sep7.9La Liga 2026-2027, 5 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km515 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways658 km1,575 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 30 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one43

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Confirmed XI
4-4-2
13David Soria(G)
22J. Mojica 2D. Dakonam 8N. Gudelj 15Sebastián Boselli
10M. Satriano 23O. Mangala 6Mario Martín 11Ramon Terrats
20Ivan Azón Monzón 19E. Ünal
+6 more reported missing outside this XI
Deportivo La Coruna Confirmed XI
4-1-3-2
13Leo Román(G)
12G. Quagliata 20J. Giménez 4L. Noubi 23Ximo Navarro
6Marc Casadó
21Mario Soriano 16L. Amatucci 19Luismi Cruz
7P. Aubameyang 32B. Nsongo
+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Getafe Absences are shown before kick-off
Deportivo La Coruna Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Getafe-0.3 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Deportivo La Coruna+0.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home 2.00points per game · 2 home games
W-D-L
1-1-0
Scored
1.00
Conceded
0.50
Deportivo La Coruna · Away 2.00points per game · 2 away games
W-D-L
1-1-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

GetafeDeportivo La CorunaForecast
Scored per game 0.502.00
Conceded per game 1.251.25
Match goals 1.753.25 2.40
Over 1.5 50%100%
Over 2.5 25%50% 43%
Over 3.5 0%50%
Both teams scored 25%100% 49%
Clean sheets 25%0%
Failed to score 50%0%
Games44
GetafeDeportivo La CorunaForecast
Scored per game 0.602.00
Conceded per game 1.101.25
Match goals 1.703.25 2.40
Over 1.5 50%100%
Over 2.5 20%50% 43%
Over 3.5 10%50%
Both teams scored 20%100% 49%
Clean sheets 30%0%
Failed to score 60%0%
Games104

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

GetafeDeportivo La CorunaLeague
Corners
Corners won4.253.00
Corners conceded4.256.25
Match total8.509.2510.13
Over 8.525% 1/450% 2/4
Over 9.525% 1/450% 2/4
Over 10.525% 1/425% 1/4
Cards
Cards3.252.50
Opponent cards3.501.50
Match total6.754.004.43
Over 3.5100% 4/475% 3/4
Over 4.575% 3/425% 1/4
GetafeDeportivo La CorunaLeague
Corners
Corners won4.673.90
Corners conceded3.114.90
Match total7.788.8010.13
Over 8.522% 2/960% 6/10
Over 9.522% 2/950% 5/10
Over 10.511% 1/930% 3/10
Cards
Cards2.502.40
Opponent cards3.402.30
Match total5.904.704.43
Over 3.590% 9/1080% 8/10
Over 4.560% 6/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea Spain · 55 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.65league 4.19
Red cards0.24league 0.25
Cards 5+31%league 48%
Fouls22.1league 24.8
Penalties0.35league 0.33
Home wins53%league 48%
Getafe6 with this referee
Record1-0-5 Cards · opp.3.3 · 1.7 Pens for · against0 · 1 Reds2
  • L9 Nov 25A · Mallorca0–12
  • L21 Sep 25A · Barcelona0–35
  • L18 Apr 25A · Espanyol0–13
  • L12 May 24A · Cadiz0–12
  • L1 Feb 24H · Real Madrid0–21
Deportivo La Coruna

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Getafe4 games · scored 2 · conceded 5
0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
1 2 76-90
Deportivo La Coruna4 games · scored 8 · conceded 5
1 0-15
3 2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 46-60
61-75
2 2 76-90
Getafe10 games · scored 6 · conceded 11
1 0-15
1 1 16-30
1 3 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 4 61-75
1 2 76-90
Deportivo La Coruna10 games · scored 17 · conceded 10
2 1 0-15
5 3 16-30
2 3 31-45
2 46-60
1 1 61-75
5 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures La Liga

View all fixtures →
Sevilla Valencia 10 Racing Santander Alaves 21 Osasuna Espanyol 02 Athletic Club Elche 11 Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano 41 Celta Vigo Malaga 11 Levante Barcelona 24 Getafe Deportivo La Coruna 11 Real Sociedad Atletico Madrid 03 Villarreal Real Betis 12