Getafe vs Valencia – 18 Jan 2026

La Liga Gameweek 20 Sun, Jan 18 · 13:00 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe

Getafe 15th · 21 pts · 19 played LLLDL

0–1Full time

Valencia 18th · 17 pts · 19 played DLDLD

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Getafe had 8.7 days of rest, Valencia 7.7 and had to travel 301 km.

Away travel301 kmRest days8.7 · 7.7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Getafe39%

Draw28%

Valencia32%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.17

Getafe41%

Draw27%

Valencia32%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.25

Getafe39%

Draw29%

Valencia32%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.16

Getafe33%

Draw28%

Valencia39%

Expected goals 1.17 – 1.31

Getafe41%

Draw27%

Valencia32%

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.27

Over 2.5 45% Both score 51% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Getafe)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainIsidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Cards per match 4.8
Penalties per match 0.28
Matches 32

Team strength

Getafe

Valencia

43 L90 StrengthIn forecast 48

48 Current StrengthIn forecast 51

27 AttackIn forecast 39

59 DefenceIn forecast 52

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Valencia

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Getafe

Valencia

0.79 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.95

1.32 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.63

0.71 xGVia Att/Def 1.11

0.92 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.25

+0.08 Goals minus xGContext -0.16

58% Scored inContext 74%

21% Clean sheetsContext 21%

9.11 ShotsContext 11.26

2.94 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

29% On target shareContext 27%

4.94 Shots in the boxContext 7.33

50% Box shareContext 62%

9% ConversionContext 8%

2.65 OffsidesContext 2.00

10.32 Shots allowedContext 11.79

4.21 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.47

2.41 BlocksContext 3.00

3.21 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.12

76% Save rateContext 64%

41% PossessionIn forecast 49%

296 PassesContext 417

208 Accurate passesContext 345

70% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.68 Team ratingContext 6.72

13.63 FoulsContext 11.58

15.05 Fouls sufferedContext 11.32

2.79 Yellow cardsContext 1.79

0.11 Red cardsContext 0.05

This league season, per match · 19 and 19 games

0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80

1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

0.74 xGVia Att/Def 1.23

0.99 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.26

-0.14 Goals minus xGContext -0.43

50% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 10%

10.20 ShotsContext 12.80

3.11 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.90

28% On target shareContext 23%

5.50 Shots in the boxContext 8.10

54% Box shareContext 64%

6% ConversionContext 6%

2.44 OffsidesContext 2.25

9.80 Shots allowedContext 10.00

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.20

2.44 BlocksContext 2.11

3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

76% Save rateContext 60%

44% PossessionIn forecast 51%

313 PassesContext 452

220 Accurate passesContext 383

70% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.68 Team ratingContext 6.69

13.80 FoulsContext 11.30

14.90 Fouls sufferedContext 12.60

2.70 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe

Rest8.7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Valencia

Rest7.7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel301 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Getafe	Valencia
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8.7La Liga 2025-2026, 9 Jan	7.7La Liga 2025-2026, 10 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	301 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	0 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	8.3	6.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Confirmed XI

4-4-2

13David Soria(G)

16Diego Rico 2D. Dakonam 22Domingos Duarte 21Juan Iglesias

23Adrian Liso 5Luis Milla 8M. Arambarri 14Javi Muñoz

10M. Satriano 6Mario Martín

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Valencia Confirmed XI

4-4-2

1S. Dimitrievski(G)

14José Gayà 3Copete 5César Tárrega 20D. Foulquier

7A. Danjuma 18Pepelu 23F. Ugrinic 11Luis Rioja

9Hugo Duro 15L. Beltrán

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Getafe Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Valencia Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Getafe+0.2 pp
Draw-0.2 pp
Valencia+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home 1.22points per game · 9 home games

W-D-L: 3-2-4
Scored: 0.89
Conceded: 0.89

Valencia · Away 0.33points per game · 9 away games

W-D-L: 0-3-6
Scored: 0.67
Conceded: 2.44

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Getafe	Valencia
Real Sociedad	L 1–2 H	D 1–1 H
Rayo Vallecano	D 1–1 A	D 1–1 A
Real Betis	L 0–4 A	D 1–1 H
Espanyol	L 0–1 H	D 2–2 A
Villarreal	L 0–2 A	L 0–2 H
Elche	W 1–0 H	D 1–1 H
Atletico Madrid	L 0–1 H	L 1–2 A
Mallorca	L 0–1 A	D 1–1 H
Girona	W 2–1 H	L 1–2 A
Athletic Club	W 1–0 A	W 2–0 H
Real Madrid	L 0–1 H	L 0–4 A
Osasuna	L 1–2 A	L 0–1 A
Levante	D 1–1 H	W 1–0 H
Alaves	D 1–1 H	D 0–0 A
Barcelona	L 0–3 A	L 0–6 A
Oviedo	W 2–0 H	L 1–2 H
Sevilla	W 2–1 A	D 1–1 H
Celta Vigo	W 2–0 A	L 1–4 A
Points	21 of 54 · 1.17 per game	14 of 54 · 0.78 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 11 meetings

3 Getafe wins2 draws5 Valencia wins

Goals per game0.70 – 1.40 Over 2.540% Both scored20% Clean sheets40% · 50%

29 Aug 2025Valencia3–0Getafe
10 May 2025Valencia3–0Getafe
27 Oct 2024Getafe1–1Valencia
9 Mar 2024Valencia1–0Getafe
8 Dec 2023Getafe1–0Valencia
20 Feb 2023Getafe1–0Valencia

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Getafe	Valencia	Forecast
Scored per game	0.79	0.95
Conceded per game	1.32	1.63
Match goals	2.11	2.58	2.48
Over 1.5	68%	84%
Over 2.5	37%	42%	45%
Over 3.5	5%	21%
Both teams scored	37%	58%	51%
Clean sheets	21%	21%
Failed to score	42%	26%
Games	19	19

	Getafe	Valencia	Forecast
Scored per game	0.60	0.80
Conceded per game	1.30	1.70
Match goals	1.90	2.50	2.48
Over 1.5	50%	90%
Over 2.5	30%	30%	45%
Over 3.5	10%	20%
Both teams scored	30%	70%	51%
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Failed to score	50%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Getafe	Valencia	League
Corners
Corners won	4.32	5.50
Corners conceded	4.05	5.06
Match total	8.37	10.56	9.48
Over 8.5	42% 8/19	63% 10/16
Over 9.5	32% 6/19	56% 9/16
Over 10.5	21% 4/19	56% 9/16
Cards
Cards	2.95	1.84
Opponent cards	2.00	2.37
Match total	4.95	4.21	4.45
Over 3.5	74% 14/19	63% 12/19
Over 4.5	58% 11/19	47% 9/19

	Getafe	Valencia	League
Corners
Corners won	4.90	5.78
Corners conceded	3.70	4.67
Match total	8.60	10.45	9.48
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	56% 5/9
Cards
Cards	2.80	1.90
Opponent cards	1.50	2.80
Match total	4.30	4.70	4.45
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos Spain · 32 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.47league 4.18

Red cards0.28league 0.28

Cards 5+59%league 47%

Fouls26.9league 24.6

Penalties0.28league 0.36

Home wins31%league 46%

Getafe3 with this referee

Record2-1-0 Cards · opp.4.0 · 3.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

W25 Oct 25A · Athletic Club1–03
W25 Aug 25A · Sevilla2–13
D27 Sep 23A · Athletic Club2–26

Valencia2 with this referee

Record1-0-1 Cards · opp.1.5 · 4.5 Pens for · against0 · 1

L4 Oct 25A · Girona1–21
W14 Jan 24A · Cadiz4–12

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.