Girona vs Getafe – 26 Jan 2026

La Liga Gameweek 21 Mon, Jan 26 · 20:00 Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona

Girona 13th · 24 pts · 20 played WLWWW

1–1Full time

Getafe 18th · 21 pts · 20 played LLDLL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Girona were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Absences weigh more on Girona. Girona had 10 days of rest, Getafe 8.3 and had to travel 580 km.

Away travel580 kmRest days10 · 8.3Matches / 14d1 · 1

Girona45%

Draw27%

Getafe28%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.11

Girona47%

Draw26%

Getafe27%

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.14

Girona46%

Draw27%

Getafe26%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.06

Girona38%

Draw28%

Getafe34%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.24

Girona46%

Draw26%

Getafe28%

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.22

Over 2.5 48% Both score 52% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Girona)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainAlejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Cards per match 5.1
Penalties per match 0.43
Matches 14

Team strength

Girona

Getafe

46 L90 StrengthIn forecast 41

45 Current StrengthIn forecast 48

49 AttackIn forecast 27

64 DefenceIn forecast 59

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Girona

Attack—

Defense risk—

Getafe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Girona

Getafe

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.75

1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30

1.05 xGVia Att/Def 0.71

1.65 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.93

-0.05 Goals minus xGContext +0.04

70% Scored inContext 55%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

9.10 ShotsContext 9.35

3.55 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.94

39% On target shareContext 28%

5.90 Shots in the boxContext 5.17

65% Box shareContext 51%

11% ConversionContext 8%

2.60 OffsidesContext 2.67

15.50 Shots allowedContext 10.15

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.05

3.45 BlocksContext 2.44

3.42 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.21

68% Save rateContext 76%

48% PossessionIn forecast 42%

430 PassesContext 298

364 Accurate passesContext 210

85% Pass accuracyContext 71%

6.76 Team ratingContext 6.69

10.90 FoulsContext 13.35

14.60 Fouls sufferedContext 15.20

2.15 Yellow cardsContext 2.75

0.15 Red cardsContext 0.10

This league season, per match · 20 and 20 games

1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.12 xGVia Att/Def 0.73

1.44 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.05

-0.02 Goals minus xGContext -0.23

80% Scored inContext 40%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

9.40 ShotsContext 10.80

3.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.11

36% On target shareContext 26%

6.10 Shots in the boxContext 5.90

65% Box shareContext 54%

12% ConversionContext 5%

2.50 OffsidesContext 2.33

14.00 Shots allowedContext 9.80

4.44 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.20

3.00 BlocksContext 2.56

3.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.33

73% Save rateContext 73%

49% PossessionIn forecast 46%

455 PassesContext 315

387 Accurate passesContext 225

85% Pass accuracyContext 72%

6.85 Team ratingContext 6.68

11.70 FoulsContext 13.20

14.40 Fouls sufferedContext 15.20

2.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.60

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Girona

Rest10 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km187 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Getafe

Rest8.3 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel580 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Girona	Getafe
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	10La Liga 2025-2026, 16 Jan	8.3La Liga 2025-2026, 18 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	580 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	187 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	0 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	4.7	5.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Girona Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

22M. ter Stegen(G)

24Álex Moreno 17D. Blind 12Vitor Reis 2Hugo Rincón

8Fran Beltrán 23Iván Martín

21Bryan Gil 11T. Lemar 15V. Tsyhankov

19V. Vanat

+10 more reported missing outside this XI

Getafe Confirmed XI

5-3-2

13David Soria(G)

21Juan Iglesias 24Z. Romero 2D. Dakonam 22Domingos Duarte 17Kiko Femenía

8M. Arambarri 5Luis Milla 6Mario Martín

19L. Vázquez 10M. Satriano

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Girona Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.05 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Getafe Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Girona-1.2 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Getafe+1.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Girona · Home 1.20points per game · 10 home games

W-D-L: 3-3-4
Scored: 0.90
Conceded: 1.70

Getafe · Away 1.00points per game · 10 away games

W-D-L: 3-1-6
Scored: 0.70
Conceded: 1.70

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Girona	Getafe
Espanyol	W 2–0 AD 0–0 H	L 0–1 H
Osasuna	W 1–0 H	L 1–2 A
Mallorca	W 2–1 A	L 0–1 A
Atletico Madrid	L 0–3 H	L 0–1 H
Real Sociedad	W 2–1 A	L 1–2 H
Elche	L 0–3 A	W 1–0 H
Real Madrid	D 1–1 H	L 0–1 H
Real Betis	D 1–1 A	L 0–4 A
Alaves	W 1–0 H	D 1–1 H
Oviedo	D 3–3 H	W 2–0 H
Barcelona	L 1–2 A	L 0–3 A
Valencia	W 2–1 H	L 0–1 HL 0–3 A
Athletic Club	D 1–1 A	W 1–0 A
Levante	L 0–4 H	D 1–1 H
Celta Vigo	D 1–1 A	W 2–0 A
Sevilla	L 0–2 H	W 2–1 A
Villarreal	L 0–5 A	L 0–2 A
Rayo Vallecano	L 1–3 H	D 1–1 A
Points	24 of 57 · 1.26 per game	18 of 57 · 0.95 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 7 of 7 meetings

3 Girona wins0 draws4 Getafe wins

Goals per game1.57 – 1.29 Over 2.571% Both scored57% Clean sheets29% · 14%

31 Oct 2025Getafe2–1Girona
14 Feb 2025Girona1–2Getafe
10 Nov 2024Getafe0–1Girona
16 Mar 2024Getafe1–0Girona
20 Aug 2023Girona3–0Getafe
4 Mar 2023Getafe3–2Girona

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Girona	Getafe	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.75
Conceded per game	1.70	1.30
Match goals	2.70	2.05	2.58
Over 1.5	85%	65%
Over 2.5	55%	35%	48%
Over 3.5	20%	5%
Both teams scored	55%	35%	52%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	30%	45%
Games	20	20

	Girona	Getafe	Forecast
Scored per game	1.10	0.50
Conceded per game	1.20	1.40
Match goals	2.30	1.90	2.58
Over 1.5	80%	50%
Over 2.5	50%	30%	48%
Over 3.5	0%	10%
Both teams scored	50%	30%	52%
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Failed to score	20%	60%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Girona	Getafe	League
Corners
Corners won	4.22	4.50
Corners conceded	4.72	4.00
Match total	8.94	8.50	9.60
Over 8.5	50% 9/18	45% 9/20
Over 9.5	33% 6/18	35% 7/20
Over 10.5	33% 6/18	25% 5/20
Cards
Cards	2.40	2.90
Opponent cards	1.65	2.05
Match total	4.05	4.95	4.44
Over 3.5	30% 6/20	75% 15/20
Over 4.5	30% 6/20	60% 12/20

	Girona	Getafe	League
Corners
Corners won	3.33	5.20
Corners conceded	3.56	3.90
Match total	6.89	9.10	9.60
Over 8.5	22% 2/9	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	11% 1/9	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	11% 1/9	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	2.40	2.70
Opponent cards	2.20	1.70
Match total	4.60	4.40	4.44
Over 3.5	30% 3/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez Spain · 14 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.43league 4.16

Red cards0.64league 0.28

Cards 5+50%league 46%

Fouls25.2league 24.5

Penalties0.43league 0.36

Home wins29%league 48%

Girona3 with this referee

Record1-0-2 Cards · opp.2.3 · 1.3 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds2

L20 Sep 25H · Levante0–45
L24 Aug 25A · Villarreal0–52
W13 May 25A · Valladolid1–00

Getafe1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.2.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

D24 Sep 25H · Alaves1–12

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.