GO Ahead Eagles
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
GO Ahead Eagles were slight favourites.
GO Ahead Eagles were the stronger side on L90 Strength (25 vs 14). GO Ahead Eagles usually keep the ball (51% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. GO Ahead Eagles had 14 days of rest, FC Volendam 14.1 and had to travel 79 km.
Away travel79 kmRest days14 · 14.1Matches / 14d1 · 0
GO Ahead Eagles55%
Draw24%
FC Volendam21%
GO Ahead Eagles54%
Draw25%
FC Volendam21%
GO Ahead Eagles55%
Draw24%
FC Volendam21%
GO Ahead Eagles47%
Draw26%
FC Volendam27%
GO Ahead Eagles54%
Draw25%
FC Volendam21%
Over 2.5 53%
Both score 54%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Deventer)
No weather data yet
Referee · NetherlandsSerdar Gozubuyuk
- Cards per match 4.2
- Penalties per match 0.29
- Matches 70
Team strength
GO Ahead Eagles
FC Volendam
25
L90 StrengthIn forecast
14
24
Current StrengthIn forecast
14
29
AttackIn forecast
14
17
DefenceIn forecast
19
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisFC Volendam
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
GO Ahead EaglesFC Volendam
1.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
2.25
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
1.21
xGVia Att/Def
0.57
2.06
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.26
+0.29
Goals minus xGContext
+0.93
75%
Scored inContext
100%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
11.25
ShotsContext
8.75
4.25
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.25
38%
On target shareContext
49%
9.00
Shots in the boxContext
4.25
69%
Box shareContext
50%
13%
ConversionContext
17%
2.00
OffsidesContext
1.67
22.75
Shots allowedContext
17.00
7.25
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.50
7.50
BlocksContext
4.75
4.75
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.25
66%
Save rateContext
77%
49%
PossessionIn forecast
40%
406
PassesContext
342
336
Accurate passesContext
267
83%
Pass accuracyContext
78%
6.85
Team ratingContext
6.81
9.00
FoulsContext
10.50
9.75
Fouls sufferedContext
10.75
1.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.25
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.10
1.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.90
1.36
xGVia Att/Def
0.57
1.89
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.26
-0.16
Goals minus xGContext
+0.53
70%
Scored inContext
80%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
12.00
ShotsContext
7.90
3.89
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.20
29%
On target shareContext
41%
8.11
Shots in the boxContext
5.22
63%
Box shareContext
66%
10%
ConversionContext
14%
1.50
OffsidesContext
1.83
21.80
Shots allowedContext
19.30
7.20
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.40
6.40
BlocksContext
5.40
5.20
Goalkeeper savesContext
5.11
72%
Save rateContext
73%
52%
PossessionIn forecast
40%
454
PassesContext
351
381
Accurate passesContext
270
84%
Pass accuracyContext
77%
6.91
Team ratingContext
6.81
8.00
FoulsContext
9.60
10.50
Fouls sufferedContext
9.20
1.40
Yellow cardsContext
1.30
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
GO Ahead Eagles
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km160 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
FC Volendam
Rest14.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel79 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| GO Ahead Eagles |
FC Volendam |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14Eredivisie 2025-2026, 30 Aug | 14.1Eredivisie 2025-2026, 30 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 79 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 160 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 0 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.7 | 6.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
GO Ahead Eagles
Confirmed XI
22J. De Busser(G)
5D. James
4J. Kramer
3G. Nauber
2M. Deijl
8H. Linthorst
21M. Meulensteen
17M. Suray
7J. Breum
24K. Goudmijn
16V. Edvardsen
FC Volendam
Confirmed XI
1K. van Oevelen(G)
32Y. Leliendal
20N. Verschuren
4X. Mbuyamba
5P. Ugwu
18N. Bukala
6A. Plat
17J. Ideho
21R. Mühren
11A. Oehlers
9H. Veerman
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences GO Ahead Eagles
Absences are shown before kick-off
FC Volendam
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- GO Ahead Eagles+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- FC Volendam+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
GO Ahead Eagles · Home
0.50points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-1-1
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 2.50
FC Volendam · Away
1.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-2-0
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 1.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 2 this season
| Opponent | GO Ahead Eagles | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | D 2–2 A | D 1–1 A |
| Ajax | D 2–2 H | D 1–1 H |
| Points | 2 of 6 · 1.00 per game | 2 of 6 · 1.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
1 GO Ahead Eagles wins0 draws0 FC Volendam wins
Goals per game4.00 – 1.00
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 19 Aug 2023GO Ahead Eagles4–1FC Volendam
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| GO Ahead Eagles | FC Volendam | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.25 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.75 | 3.00 | 2.81 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 75% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 100% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 25% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | FC Volendam | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.25 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.75 | 3.00 | 2.81 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 75% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 100% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 25% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 4 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| GO Ahead Eagles | FC Volendam | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 7.50 | 3.25 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.25 | 6.00 | |
| Match total | 12.75 | 9.25 | 9.85 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 4/4 | 75% 3/4 | |
| Over 9.5 | 100% 4/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 10.5 | 75% 3/4 | 25% 1/4 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.25 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.25 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 2/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 4.5 | 25% 1/4 | 25% 1/4 | |
| GO Ahead Eagles | FC Volendam | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.60 | 3.70 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.20 | 6.70 | |
| Match total | 11.80 | 10.40 | 9.85 |
| Over 8.5 | 80% 8/10 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 70% 7/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 60% 6/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.90 | 1.70 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Serdar Gozubuyuk Netherlands · 70 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.07league 3.40
Red cards0.14league 0.17
Cards 5+43%league 34%
Fouls23.1league 22.5
Penalties0.29league 0.17
Home wins46%league 51%
GO Ahead Eagles4 with this referee
Record1-2-1
Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D6 Apr 25H · Utrecht2–21
- W18 Jan 25H · Groningen2–11
- L10 Nov 24A · Heerenveen0–12
- D28 Oct 23A · Almere City FC0–00
FC Volendam1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.3.0 · 3.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W6 Oct 23H · Utrecht1–03
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
GO Ahead Eagles4 games · scored 6 · conceded 9
1
1
0-15
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
FC Volendam4 games · scored 6 · conceded 6
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
76-90
GO Ahead Eagles10 games · scored 12 · conceded 19
3
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
5
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
4
4
76-90
FC Volendam10 games · scored 11 · conceded 19
5
4
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
