GO Ahead Eagles
Attack—
Defense risk—
GO Ahead Eagles
12th · 13 pts · 11 played
LDLWL
2–1Full time
Feyenoord
2nd · 28 pts · 11 played
WWWLW
Our take
Feyenoord were slight favourites.
Feyenoord were the stronger side on L90 Strength (62 vs 28). GO Ahead Eagles had 3.1 days of rest, Feyenoord 3 and had to travel 121 km.
Away travel121 kmRest days3.1 · 3Matches / 14d3 · 2
GO Ahead Eagles24%
Draw25%
Feyenoord51%
GO Ahead Eagles24%
Draw26%
Feyenoord50%
GO Ahead Eagles24%
Draw25%
Feyenoord51%
GO Ahead Eagles18%
Draw23%
Feyenoord59%
GO Ahead Eagles24%
Draw26%
Feyenoord50%
Over 2.5 54%
Both score 56%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Deventer)
No weather data yet
Referee · NetherlandsJoey Kooij
- Cards per match 3.6
- Penalties per match 0.24
- Matches 46
Team strength
GO Ahead EaglesFeyenoord
28
L90 StrengthIn forecast
62
24
Current StrengthIn forecast
59
29
AttackIn forecast
76
17
DefenceIn forecast
61
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisFeyenoord
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
GO Ahead EaglesFeyenoord
1.55
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.73
1.55
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.91
1.21
xGVia Att/Def
2.16
1.53
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.67
+0.34
Goals minus xGContext
+0.57
82%
Scored inContext
100%
27%
Clean sheetsContext
55%
11.27
ShotsContext
18.55
4.82
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
7.09
43%
On target shareContext
38%
9.38
Shots in the boxContext
12.64
69%
Box shareContext
71%
14%
ConversionContext
15%
2.00
OffsidesContext
2.43
17.82
Shots allowedContext
8.18
5.27
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.00
7.22
BlocksContext
2.60
3.82
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.14
72%
Save rateContext
65%
52%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
435
PassesContext
435
361
Accurate passesContext
364
83%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.86
Team ratingContext
7.13
8.45
FoulsContext
9.00
11.64
Fouls sufferedContext
10.18
1.09
Yellow cardsContext
1.45
0.09
Red cardsContext
0.09
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.20
1.30
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
1.07
xGVia Att/Def
1.79
1.51
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.74
+0.13
Goals minus xGContext
+0.41
70%
Scored inContext
70%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
9.70
ShotsContext
16.90
3.90
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.40
40%
On target shareContext
38%
7.63
Shots in the boxContext
10.60
72%
Box shareContext
63%
12%
ConversionContext
13%
2.29
OffsidesContext
2.43
15.90
Shots allowedContext
8.80
5.70
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.78
5.86
BlocksContext
2.38
4.60
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.63
81%
Save rateContext
64%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
451
PassesContext
421
381
Accurate passesContext
353
84%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.88
Team ratingContext
6.97
9.00
FoulsContext
12.10
12.11
Fouls sufferedContext
11.20
1.30
Yellow cardsContext
1.90
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
GO Ahead Eagles
Rest3.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km1,631 km in 14d
Schedule load28%Moderate
Feyenoord
Rest3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel121 km965 km in 14d
Schedule load8%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| GO Ahead Eagles |
Feyenoord |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Moderate · 28 | Low · 8 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 3.1UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 6 Nov | 3UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 6 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 121 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,631 km | 965 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 3 / 5 | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 13 | 13.8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
GO Ahead Eagles
Confirmed XI
22J. De Busser(G)
5D. James
4J. Kramer
21M. Meulensteen
2M. Deijl
34Y. Rahmouni
6C. Twigt
17M. Suray
24K. Goudmijn
18R. Margaret
9M. Smit
Feyenoord
Confirmed XI
22T. Wellenreuther(G)
5G. Smal
4T. Watanabe
21A. Ahmedhodžić
26G. Read
8Q. Timber
40L. Valente
16L. Sauer
10C. Larin
23A. Hadj Moussa
9A. Ueda
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences GO Ahead Eagles
Scores -0.06 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Feyenoord
Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- GO Ahead Eagles-0.2 pp
- Draw+0.2 pp
- Feyenoord+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
GO Ahead Eagles · Home
1.60points per game · 5 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-2-1
- Scored
- 1.60
- Conceded
- 1.20
Feyenoord · Away
2.60points per game · 5 away games
- W-D-L
- 4-1-0
- Scored
- 3.40
- Conceded
- 0.80
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 7 this season
| Opponent | GO Ahead Eagles | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | L 0–1 A | W 2–0 H |
| Excelsior | W 2–0 H | W 2–1 A |
| PSV Eindhoven | L 1–2 A | L 2–3 H |
| FC Volendam | W 3–0 H | W 3–1 H |
| Heerenveen | D 2–2 A | W 1–0 H |
| Sparta Rotterdam | L 0–3 H | W 4–0 A |
| Fortuna Sittard | D 2–2 A | W 2–0 H |
| Points | 8 of 21 · 1.14 per game | 18 of 21 · 2.57 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings
0 GO Ahead Eagles wins0 draws3 Feyenoord wins
Goals per game1.33 – 3.67
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 30 Mar 2025Feyenoord3–2GO Ahead Eagles
- 19 Oct 2024GO Ahead Eagles1–5Feyenoord
- 30 Sep 2023Feyenoord3–1GO Ahead Eagles
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| GO Ahead Eagles | Feyenoord | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.55 | 2.73 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.55 | 0.91 | |
| Match goals | 3.09 | 3.64 | 2.84 |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 82% | |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 64% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 55% | |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 45% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 55% | |
| Failed to score | 18% | 0% | |
| Games | 11 | 11 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | Feyenoord | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.20 | 2.20 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.30 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.84 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 60% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| GO Ahead Eagles | Feyenoord | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.82 | 7.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.55 | 3.10 | |
| Match total | 11.37 | 10.20 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 82% 9/11 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 82% 9/11 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 64% 7/11 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.18 | 1.55 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.27 | 1.27 | |
| Match total | 3.45 | 2.82 | 3.58 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% 5/11 | 36% 4/11 | |
| Over 4.5 | 27% 3/11 | 18% 2/11 | |
| GO Ahead Eagles | Feyenoord | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.20 | 6.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.80 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 10.00 | 9.50 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.10 | 2.10 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 4.00 | 3.58 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Joey Kooij Netherlands · 46 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.41league 3.34
Red cards0.17league 0.22
Cards 5+33%league 33%
Fouls22.4league 22.1
Penalties0.24league 0.29
Home wins50%league 50%
GO Ahead Eagles5 with this referee
Record2-2-1
Cards · opp.2.4 · 1.6
Pens for · against0 · 0
Reds2
- D11 May 25A · PEC Zwolle1–12
- D12 Apr 25A · NAC Breda1–13
- L23 Feb 25A · Ajax0–22
- W25 Aug 24H · Waalwijk2–03
- W4 Feb 24A · Vitesse2–02
FeyenoordNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
GO Ahead Eagles10 games · scored 15 · conceded 17
3
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
6
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
3
76-90
Feyenoord11 games · scored 30 · conceded 10
2
1
0-15
6
2
16-30
6
31-45
8
5
46-60
3
61-75
5
2
76-90
GO Ahead Eagles9 games · scored 10 · conceded 13
3
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
5
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
Feyenoord10 games · scored 22 · conceded 15
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
31-45
7
5
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
6
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
