Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi – 23 Aug 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 23 · 19:30 Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı, İzmir

Goztepe 12th · 1 pts · 1 played D

0–1Full time

Genclerbirligi 9th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Goztepe were slight favourites.

Goztepe were the stronger side on L90 Strength (31 vs 16). Goztepe had 6 days of rest, Genclerbirligi 8 and had to travel 520 km.

Away travel520 kmRest days6 · 8Matches / 14d1 · 1

Goztepe57%

Draw22%

Genclerbirligi20%

Expected goals 1.89 – 1.03

Goztepe57%

Draw23%

Genclerbirligi20%

Expected goals 1.81 – 0.99

Goztepe57%

Draw22%

Genclerbirligi20%

Expected goals 1.89 – 1.03

Goztepe50%

Draw24%

Genclerbirligi26%

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.16

Goztepe59%

Draw21%

Genclerbirligi20%

Expected goals 2.02 – 1.09

Over 2.5 56% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (İzmir)

No weather data yet

RefereeBatuhan Kolak

Cards per match 4.6
Penalties per match 0.37
Matches 19

Team strength

Goztepe

Genclerbirligi

31 L90 StrengthIn forecast 16

29 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

39 AttackIn forecast 13

36 DefenceIn forecast 16

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Goztepe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Genclerbirligi

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Goztepe

Genclerbirligi

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.85 xGVia Att/Def 1.12

1.25 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.66

-0.15 Goals minus xGContext -0.12

90% Scored inContext 50%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

15.40 ShotsContext 10.20

5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.44

33% On target shareContext 30%

11.50 Shots in the boxContext 5.80

75% Box shareContext 53%

11% ConversionContext 10%

2.33 OffsidesContext 1.75

13.30 Shots allowedContext 13.20

3.78 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.22

4.10 BlocksContext 3.50

2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.25

65% Save rateContext 76%

36% PossessionIn forecast 46%

230 PassesContext 339

157 Accurate passesContext 269

68% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.75

17.60 FoulsContext 10.40

9.60 Fouls sufferedContext 13.90

3.10 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Goztepe D

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,694 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 46 · 1 pts vs 1.5 for an average club · -0.1 vs expected

D17 AugA · Samsunspor3–31.1 xPts

Genclerbirligi W

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel520 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 65 · 3 pts vs 1.3 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected

W15 AugH · Fenerbahce2–10.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Goztepe	Genclerbirligi
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6Süper Lig 2026-2027, 17 Aug	8Süper Lig 2026-2027, 15 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	520 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,694 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 1	0 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	6	5

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Goztepe Confirmed XI

3-4-1-2

25L. Gugeshashvili(G)

26M. Bokele 3Allan 4T. Altıkardeş

16O. Bayrak 20N. Miroshi 6A. Matos 2A. Kurtulan

10Efkan Bekiroğlu

22S. Armstrong 7André Henrique

Genclerbirligi Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

70İ. Eğribayat(G)

77A. Dursun 4Žan Žužek 6D. Goutas 13Pedro Pereira

42Ousmane Diabate

7Tiago Gouveia 10F. Tongya 35O. Ülgün 14A. Traoré

20S. Koïta

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Goztepe Absences are shown before kick-off

Genclerbirligi Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Goztepe+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Genclerbirligi+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Goztepe · Home No home games yet this season.

Genclerbirligi · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

2 Goztepe wins0 draws0 Genclerbirligi wins

Goals per game1.50 – 0.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets100% · 0%

4 Apr 2026Genclerbirligi0–2Goztepe
1 Nov 2025Goztepe1–0Genclerbirligi

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Goztepe	Genclerbirligi	Forecast
Scored per game	3.00	2.00
Conceded per game	3.00	1.00
Match goals	6.00	3.00	2.92
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	56%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	55%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Goztepe	Genclerbirligi	Forecast
Scored per game	1.70	1.00
Conceded per game	1.70	1.40
Match goals	3.40	2.40	2.92
Over 1.5	100%	70%
Over 2.5	60%	50%	56%
Over 3.5	40%	10%
Both teams scored	70%	30%	55%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	10%	50%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Goztepe	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	8.00	1.00
Corners conceded	4.00	12.00
Match total	12.00	13.00	9.23
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Cards
Cards	4.00	0.00
Opponent cards	1.00	1.00
Match total	5.00	1.00	3.08
Over 3.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1

	Goztepe	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	4.75	3.20
Corners conceded	4.25	5.20
Match total	9.00	8.40	9.23
Over 8.5	50% 4/8	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	20% 2/10
Cards
Cards	3.20	1.90
Opponent cards	2.90	2.60
Match total	6.10	4.50	3.08
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Batuhan Kolak 19 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.42league 3.07

Red cards0.21league 0.20

Cards 5+37%league 33%

Fouls25.7league 25.3

Penalties0.37league 0.40

Home wins37%league 40%

Goztepe6 with this referee

Record4-1-1 Cards · opp.2.8 · 1.7 Pens for · against3 · 0

W9 May 26H · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–12
W4 Apr 26A · Genclerbirligi2–04
D28 Feb 26H · Eyüpspor0–03
W22 Aug 25A · Fatih Karagümrük2–02
L24 May 25H · Galatasaray0–23

Genclerbirligi2 with this referee

Record0-0-2 Cards · opp.2.5 · 3.0 Pens for · against0 · 2

L18 Apr 26H · Galatasaray1–22
L4 Apr 26H · Goztepe0–23

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.