Goztepe
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Goztepe were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Goztepe had 7 days of rest, Konyaspor 12.1 and had to travel 471 km.
Away travel471 kmRest days7 · 12.1Matches / 14d2 · 1
Goztepe47%
Draw27%
Konyaspor27%
Goztepe47%
Draw26%
Konyaspor27%
Goztepe47%
Draw27%
Konyaspor27%
Goztepe39%
Draw28%
Konyaspor33%
Goztepe47%
Draw26%
Konyaspor27%
Over 2.5 49%
Both score 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İzmir)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeAli Sansalan
- Cards per match 5.5
- Penalties per match 1.50
- Matches 4
Team strength
Goztepe
Konyaspor
27
L90 StrengthIn forecast
22
29
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
39
AttackIn forecast
13
36
DefenceIn forecast
31
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKonyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
GoztepeKonyaspor
1.67
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
3.50
0.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.50
1.03
xGVia Att/Def
1.95
1.20
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.50
+0.64
Goals minus xGContext
+1.55
67%
Scored inContext
100%
100%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
14.67
ShotsContext
15.50
4.33
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.00
30%
On target shareContext
39%
7.67
Shots in the boxContext
10.50
53%
Box shareContext
68%
11%
ConversionContext
23%
1.00
OffsidesContext
2.00
11.67
Shots allowedContext
16.50
1.33
On target allowedVia Att/Def
2.00
4.33
BlocksContext
4.50
1.33
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.00
100%
Save rateContext
100%
40%
PossessionIn forecast
44%
254
PassesContext
327
181
Accurate passesContext
258
71%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.95
Team ratingContext
7.31
18.67
FoulsContext
14.50
11.00
Fouls sufferedContext
10.00
2.67
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.80
1.30
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.10
1.73
xGVia Att/Def
1.79
1.19
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.11
+0.07
Goals minus xGContext
+0.01
80%
Scored inContext
80%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
18.20
ShotsContext
14.10
6.10
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.20
34%
On target shareContext
37%
12.20
Shots in the boxContext
9.70
66%
Box shareContext
65%
10%
ConversionContext
13%
1.89
OffsidesContext
1.78
11.40
Shots allowedContext
12.60
3.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.50
3.44
BlocksContext
3.56
2.10
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.50
60%
Save rateContext
71%
44%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
296
PassesContext
348
216
Accurate passesContext
281
73%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
7.02
Team ratingContext
7.09
17.40
FoulsContext
12.60
9.40
Fouls sufferedContext
10.80
2.40
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Goztepe
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km656 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Konyaspor
Rest12.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel471 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Goztepe |
Konyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Süper Lig 2025-2026, 22 Aug | 12.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 17 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 471 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 656 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 15.8 | 14.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Goztepe
Confirmed XI
1M. Lis(G)
26M. Bokele
5Héliton
23F. Bayır
15A. Cherni
30A. Dennis
6Rhaldney
2A. Kurtulan
10Junior Olaitan
39Janderson
9Juan
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
1D. Ertaş(G)
12G. Sityá
16M. Jevtović
20R. Bazoer
5U. Yazğılı
23Y. Andzouana
10E. Bardhi
77M. İbrahimoğlu
9D. Aleksić
18A. Ndao
22M. Nayir
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Goztepe
Absences are shown before kick-off
Konyaspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Goztepe+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Konyaspor+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Goztepe · Home
1.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-1-0
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Konyaspor · Away
3.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 4.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
1 Goztepe wins0 draws1 Konyaspor wins
Goals per game1.00 – 0.50
Over 2.50%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets50% · 50%
- 12 Apr 2025Konyaspor1–0Goztepe
- 10 Nov 2024Goztepe2–0Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Goztepe | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.67 | 3.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| Match goals | 1.67 | 4.00 | 2.65 |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 100% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 100% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% | |
| Games | 3 | 2 |
| Goztepe | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.67 | 3.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| Match goals | 1.67 | 4.00 | 2.65 |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 100% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 100% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% | |
| Games | 3 | 2 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Goztepe | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.67 | 4.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.00 | 7.00 | |
| Match total | 8.67 | 11.50 | 9.37 |
| Over 8.5 | 33% 1/3 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 1/3 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/3 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.33 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.67 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 6.00 | 4.50 | 4.16 |
| Over 3.5 | 67% 2/3 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 1/3 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Goztepe | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.30 | 4.13 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.70 | 4.88 | |
| Match total | 9.00 | 9.01 | 9.37 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 5/10 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 4/10 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 2/10 | 13% 1/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.60 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.60 | 2.60 | |
| Match total | 4.20 | 4.80 | 4.16 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Ali Sansalan Türkiye · 4 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards5.25league 3.95
Red cards0.25league 0.33
Cards 5+100%league 38%
Fouls24.5league 25.9
Penalties1.50league 0.38
Home wins75%league 48%
GoztepeNo previous matches with this referee.
KonyasporNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Goztepe3 games · scored 5 · conceded 0
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
2
76-90
Konyaspor2 games · scored 7 · conceded 1
1
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
61-75
2
76-90
Goztepe10 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
2
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
5
3
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 18 · conceded 11
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
6
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
