Primeira Liga Gameweek 2 Sat, Aug 16 2025 · 18:00 Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
3–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.00 – 1.11
  • M. Nóbrega 42’
  • Nélson Oliveira 52’
  • Tiago Silva 69’ (P)
  • 19’ R. Guitane
  • 61’ (OG) R. Abascal
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Guimaraes come from behind to beat Estoril

Guimaraes entered as favourites, yet Estoril led 1–0 after 19 minutes through a Guitane goal. But Nóbrega, Oliveira and Silva scored to turn it around for Guimaraes, who won 3–2. Guimaraes finished with the higher xG (2.00 vs 1.11). On the chances created, Estoril deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Guimaraes ✓55%
Draw24%
Estoril20%

Model vs reality

Guimaraes goals
3
Model 1.77 · xG 2.00
Estoril goals
2
Model 0.99 · xG 1.11
Total goals
5
Model 2.76 · xG 3.11
Score 3–2
3%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchTiago SilvaGuimaraes · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereePedro Ramalho
  • VenueEstádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Table before kick-offGuimaraes 13th · Estoril 9th

Timeline

  1. R. Guitane 0–1
    19’
  2. M. Nóbrega 1–1Assist Nuno Santos
    42’
  3. Nélson OliveiraYellow card
    43’
  4. K. BomaYellow card
    45+1’
  5. João CarvalhoYellow card
    45+9’
  6. Half time · 1–1
  7. Tiago SilvaYellow card
    47’
  8. Nélson Oliveira 2–1Assist Tomás Händel
    52’
  9. R. Abascal (own goal) 2–2
    61’
  10. Tiago Silva (pen) 3–2
    69’
  11. ⇄ André LacximicantFor R. Guitane
    70’
  12. ⇄ Patrick de PaulaFor N. Lominadze
    70’
  13. ⇄ A. NdoyeFor Nélson Oliveira
    71’
  14. ⇄ BeniFor Nuno Santos
    75’
  15. ⇄ Fabio BlancoFor Vando Felix
    75’
  16. ⇄ PizziFor João Carvalho
    76’
  17. ⇄ Fabrício GarciaFor Tiago Parente
    76’
  18. Patrick de PaulaYellow card
    80’
  19. ⇄ Paulo VitorFor M. Nóbrega
    86’
  20. J. Teixeira MendesYellow card
    90’
  21. BeniYellow card
    90+2’
  22. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Guimaraes16 shots · 7 in box, 9 outside
Estoril11 shots · 5 in box, 6 outside
GuimaraesEstoril
57% Possession 43%
2.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.11
1.95 Expected points (xPts) 0.83
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
8 Shots off target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 5
9 Shots outside the box 6
397 Passes 309
84% Pass accuracy 79%
4 Corners 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
17 Fouls 17
4 Offsides 3
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 6.46

Line-ups

Guimaraes 3-4-3

277.7 Charles(G)
266.2 R. Abascal 36.6 M. Nóbrega ↓86’ 26.6 Miguel Maga
137.2 J. Teixeira Mendes 86.9 Tomás Händel A 107.9★ Tiago Silva 217.3 Vando Felix ↓75’
116.3 Gustavo Silva 77.7 Nélson Oliveira ↓71’ 776.6 Nuno Santos A↓75’
  • 27Charles (G)7.7
  • 26R. Abascal6.2
  • 3M. Nóbrega↓86’6.6
  • 2Miguel Maga6.6
  • 13J. Teixeira Mendes7.2
  • 8Tomás HändelA6.9
  • 10Tiago Silva ★7.9
  • 21Vando Felix↓75’7.3
  • 11Gustavo Silva6.3
  • 7Nélson Oliveira↓71’7.7
  • 77Nuno SantosA↓75’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 90A. Ndoye↑71’6.6
  • 5Paulo Vitor↑86’6.7
  • 16Beni↑75’6.2
  • 22Fabio Blanco↑75’6.6

Unused: Juan Castillo, O. Lebedenko, Telmo Arcanjo, Diogo Sousa, O. Camara

Estoril 3-4-3

16.2 Joel Robles(G)
246.2 Pedro Amaral 256.7 F. Bacher 446.2 K. Boma
555.9 Tiago Parente ↓76’ 76.6 N. Lominadze ↓70’ 106.9 J. Holsgrove 225.6 Pedro Carvalho
126.9 João Carvalho ↓76’ 146.5 Y. Begraoui 997.5 R. Guitane ↓70’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.2
  • 24Pedro Amaral6.2
  • 25F. Bacher6.7
  • 44K. Boma6.2
  • 55Tiago Parente↓76’5.9
  • 7N. Lominadze↓70’6.6
  • 10J. Holsgrove6.9
  • 22Pedro Carvalho5.6
  • 12João Carvalho↓76’6.9
  • 14Y. Begraoui6.5
  • 99R. Guitane↓70’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 45Patrick de Paula↑70’6.9
  • 19André Lacximicant↑70’6.3
  • 21Pizzi↑76’6.7
  • 17Fabrício Garcia↑76’6.2

Unused: M. Turk, Longin Bimai, Diogo Brasido, Tiago Brito, A. Marqués

Player stats

Top rated
Tiago SilvaGuimaraes7.9
2nd
CharlesGuimaraes7.7
3rd
Nélson OliveiraGuimaraes7.7

Guimaraes

Estoril

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.