Hammarby FF
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Thu, Jul 23 · 18:00
Tele2 Arena, Stockholm
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,280 kmRest days? · 123Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Hammarby FF—%
Draw—%
Anderlecht—%
Weather (Stockholm)
No weather data yet
RefereeDon Robertson
- Cards per match 3.8
- Penalties per match 0.25
- Matches 64
Team strength
Hammarby FF
Anderlecht
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
25
Current StrengthIn forecast
43
24
AttackIn forecast
37
27
DefenceIn forecast
52
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAnderlecht
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Hammarby FFAnderlecht
—
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
—
—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
—
0.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
0.67
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.30
—
xGVia Att/Def
1.15
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.75
—
Goals minus xGContext
+0.45
33%
Scored inContext
90%
33%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
—
ShotsContext
13.50
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.10
13%
On target shareContext
38%
—
Shots in the boxContext
7.80
—
Box shareContext
58%
7%
ConversionContext
12%
—
OffsidesContext
1.63
—
Shots allowedContext
16.40
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.50
—
BlocksContext
5.10
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.20
71%
Save rateContext
58%
—
PossessionIn forecast
49%
—
PassesContext
423
—
Accurate passesContext
338
—
Pass accuracyContext
80%
—
Team ratingContext
6.62
—
FoulsContext
13.10
—
Fouls sufferedContext
10.10
2.67
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.30
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Hammarby FF
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Anderlecht
Rest123 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel1,280 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Hammarby FF |
Anderlecht |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | — | 123Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 22 Mar |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,280 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.1 | 7.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Hammarby FF
Confirmed XI
1W. Hahn(G)
16N. Persson
3F. Winther
4V. Eriksson
2E. Skoglund
9V. Lind
5T. Tekie
8M. Karlsson
7P. Abraham
20N. Besara
26M. Madjed
Anderlecht
Confirmed XI
26C. Coosemans(G)
6H. Augustinsson
4G. Biancone
27L. Pétrot
79A. Maamar
61J. Bethume
13N. Saliba
55M. Kana
24E. Llansana
49J. Onia-Seke
14D. Sikan
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Hammarby FF
Absences are shown before kick-off
Anderlecht
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Hammarby FF · Home
No home games yet this season.
Anderlecht · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Hammarby FF | Anderlecht | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Hammarby FF | Anderlecht | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | — | 1.70 | |
| Match goals | — | 3.20 | |
| Over 1.5 | — | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | — | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | — | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | — | 50% | |
| Clean sheets | — | 20% | |
| Failed to score | — | 50% | |
| Games | 0 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Hammarby FF | Anderlecht | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 8.00 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 6.00 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Hammarby FF | Anderlecht | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.00 | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.50 | 4.30 | |
| Match total | 11.50 | 8.30 | 8.00 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 2/2 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 1/2 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 1/2 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.67 | 2.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 3.17 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 5.84 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 83% 5/6 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 83% 5/6 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Don Robertson 64 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.67league 2.92
Red cards0.17league 0.08
Cards 5+30%league 23%
Fouls20.1league 34.0
Penalties0.25league 0.00
Home wins44%league 38%
Hammarby FFNo previous matches with this referee.
AnderlechtNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Hammarby FFAnderlechtHammarby FF6 games · scored 3 · conceded 4
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
3
46-60
61-75
1
1
76-90
Anderlecht10 games · scored 16 · conceded 23
1
3
0-15
2
6
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
7
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.