UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round Play-off round Wed, Aug 19 · 20:00 Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2–1Full time
Sabah FA
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,696 kmRest days8 · 8.1Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Hapoel Beer Sheva—%
Draw—%
Sabah FA—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Beer Sheva)

No weather data yet

Referee · ItalyDavide Massa
  • Cards per match 4.8
  • Penalties per match 0.20
  • Matches 117

Team strength

Hapoel Beer ShevaSabah FA
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
28 Current StrengthIn forecast 26
26 AttackIn forecast 30
31 DefenceIn forecast 27
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Attack—
Defense risk—

Sabah FA

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Hapoel Beer ShevaSabah FA
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70
0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
80% Scored inContext 80%
50% Clean sheetsContext 40%
— ShotsContext 18.67
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.67
— On target shareContext 36%
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext 13%
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext 11.33
— On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext 75%
— PossessionIn forecast 53%
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
3.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.90
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Hapoel Beer Sheva
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km3,896 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Sabah FA
Rest8.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,696 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Hapoel Beer Sheva Sabah FA
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 10Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match8UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 11 Aug8.1UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 11 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,696 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways3,896 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 30 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one5.95.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Hapoel Beer Sheva Confirmed XI
4-3-3
1O. Marciano(G)
5Pedro Amador 12I. Rotman 4M. Vítor 2G. Mizrahi
7E. Peretz 25Lucas Ventura 28N. Yehoshua
9Z. Ahmed 66I. Zlatanović 20J. East
Sabah FA Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
92S. Pokatilov(G)
27T. Puchacz 5R. Daşdəmirov 3S. Solvet 80A. Zedadka
13I. Lepinjica 7U. Rahmonaliyev
21V. Simić 10A. Isaev 34X. Severina
20J. Mickels

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Hapoel Beer Sheva Absences are shown before kick-off
Sabah FA Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Hapoel Beer Sheva · Home No home games yet this season.
Sabah FA · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Hapoel Beer ShevaSabah FAForecast
Scored per game ——
Conceded per game ——
Match goals ——
Over 1.5 ——
Over 2.5 ——
Over 3.5 ——
Both teams scored ——
Clean sheets ——
Failed to score ——
Games00
Hapoel Beer ShevaSabah FAForecast
Scored per game 1.502.00
Conceded per game 0.500.50
Match goals 2.002.50
Over 1.5 75%83%
Over 2.5 25%50%
Over 3.5 0%17%
Both teams scored 25%33%
Clean sheets 75%67%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games46

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Hapoel Beer ShevaSabah FALeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——7.50
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards——
Opponent cards——
Match total——1.00
Over 3.5——
Over 4.5——
Hapoel Beer ShevaSabah FALeague
Corners
Corners won3.005.00
Corners conceded3.004.33
Match total6.009.337.50
Over 8.50% 0/167% 2/3
Over 9.50% 0/167% 2/3
Over 10.50% 0/167% 2/3
Cards
Cards3.902.00
Opponent cards2.301.90
Match total6.203.901.00
Over 3.570% 7/1050% 5/10
Over 4.570% 7/1020% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Davide Massa Italy · 117 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.51league 1.67
Red cards0.30league 0.00
Cards 5+51%league 0%
Fouls25.1league 24.3
Penalties0.20league 0.00
Home wins36%league 0%
Hapoel Beer Sheva

No previous matches with this referee.

Sabah FA

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Hapoel Beer Sheva
No complete event data.
Sabah FA
No complete event data.
Hapoel Beer Sheva9 games · scored 10 · conceded 9
1 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
2 3 46-60
2 61-75
2 4 76-90
Sabah FA10 games · scored 17 · conceded 12
2 1 0-15
2 1 16-30
2 2 31-45
2 2 46-60
6 1 61-75
3 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.