UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 Qualifying rounds Thu, Aug 6 · 18:00 Malšovická Aréna, Hradec Králové
Hradec Králové
0–1Full time
Besiktas 2nd · 6 pts · 2 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,440 kmRest days? · 7Matches / 14d0 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Hradec Králové—%
Draw—%
Besiktas—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Hradec Králové)

No weather data yet

RefereeH. Feșnic
  • Cards per match 4.3
  • Penalties per match 0.19
  • Matches 16

Team strength

Hradec KrálovéBesiktas
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
27 Current StrengthIn forecast 50
27 AttackIn forecast 60
30 DefenceIn forecast 48
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Hradec Králové

Attack—
Defense risk—

Besiktas

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Hradec KrálovéBesiktas
2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.00
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 100%
50% Clean sheetsContext 100%
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
— Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
— xGVia Att/Def 1.66
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.39
— Goals minus xGContext -0.16
— Scored inContext 80%
— Clean sheetsContext 40%
— ShotsContext 16.13
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.75
— On target shareContext 36%
— Shots in the boxContext 9.75
— Box shareContext 59%
— ConversionContext 9%
— OffsidesContext 2.50
— Shots allowedContext 12.75
— On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.13
— BlocksContext 4.00
— Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
— Save rateContext 72%
— PossessionIn forecast 58%
— PassesContext 485
— Accurate passesContext 418
— Pass accuracyContext 86%
— Team ratingContext 6.92
— FoulsContext 12.50
— Fouls sufferedContext 11.13
— Yellow cardsContext 2.00
— Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 0 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Hradec Králové
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Besiktas
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel1,440 km4,433 km in 14d
Schedule load22%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Hradec Králové Besiktas
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Moderate · 22
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match—7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 30 Jul
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,440 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km4,433 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 01 / 2 / 2
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Hradec Králové Confirmed XI
3-4-2-1
12A. Zadražil(G)
25František Čech 5F. Čihák 7J. Uhrinčať
26D. Horak 11S. Dancák 16V. Darida 28J. Kucera
19T. Slončík 10M. van Buren
17O. Mihálik
Besiktas Confirmed XI
4-1-4-1
1A. Nübel(G)
11K. Ouattara 53E. Topçu 35Tiago Djaló 62A. Murillo
6S. Özcan
29I. Fakili 10O. Kökçü 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý
9H. Oh

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Hradec Králové Absences are shown before kick-off
Besiktas Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Hradec Králové · Home No home games yet this season.
Besiktas · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Hradec KrálovéBesiktasForecast
Scored per game —1.50
Conceded per game —0.00
Match goals —1.50
Over 1.5 —50%
Over 2.5 —0%
Over 3.5 —0%
Both teams scored —0%
Clean sheets —100%
Failed to score —0%
Games02
Hradec KrálovéBesiktasForecast
Scored per game —1.50
Conceded per game —1.00
Match goals —2.50
Over 1.5 —70%
Over 2.5 —50%
Over 3.5 —20%
Both teams scored —50%
Clean sheets —40%
Failed to score —20%
Games010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Hradec KrálovéBesiktasLeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——8.40
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards2.501.50
Opponent cards1.002.50
Match total3.504.005.00
Over 3.550% 1/250% 1/2
Over 4.50% 0/250% 1/2
Hradec KrálovéBesiktasLeague
Corners
Corners won—5.00
Corners conceded—5.13
Match total—10.138.40
Over 8.5—63% 5/8
Over 9.5—50% 4/8
Over 10.5—38% 3/8
Cards
Cards2.502.00
Opponent cards1.002.70
Match total3.504.705.00
Over 3.550% 1/260% 6/10
Over 4.50% 0/250% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · H. Feșnic 16 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.13league 3.47
Red cards0.13league 0.17
Cards 5+44%league 33%
Fouls26.2league 31.0
Penalties0.19league 0.19
Home wins56%league 47%
Hradec Králové

No previous matches with this referee.

Besiktas

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Hradec Králové2 games · scored 4 · conceded 1
0-15
1 1 16-30
31-45
2 46-60
61-75
1 76-90
Besiktas2 games · scored 3 · conceded 0
0-15
1 16-30
31-45
46-60
1 61-75
1 76-90
Hradec Králové2 games · scored 4 · conceded 1
0-15
1 1 16-30
31-45
2 46-60
61-75
1 76-90
Besiktas10 games · scored 15 · conceded 10
5 1 0-15
2 2 16-30
2 1 31-45
2 4 46-60
2 1 61-75
2 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.