Istanbul Basaksehir
Attack—
Defense risk—
Istanbul Basaksehir
6th · 36 pts · 23 played
WDWLW
2–0Full time
Konyaspor
13th · 23 pts · 23 played
DLDLW
Our take
Istanbul Basaksehir were slight favourites.
Istanbul Basaksehir were the stronger side on L90 Strength (35 vs 18). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Istanbul Basaksehir. Istanbul Basaksehir had 6.2 days of rest, Konyaspor 6 and had to travel 463 km.
Away travel463 kmRest days6.2 · 6Matches / 14d2 · 2
Istanbul Basaksehir59%
Draw23%
Konyaspor18%
Istanbul Basaksehir57%
Draw24%
Konyaspor19%
Istanbul Basaksehir59%
Draw23%
Konyaspor18%
Istanbul Basaksehir51%
Draw25%
Konyaspor24%
Istanbul Basaksehir58%
Draw23%
Konyaspor19%
Over 2.5 57%
Both score 55%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İstanbul)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeOguzhan Aksu
- Cards per match 2.3
- Penalties per match 0.00
- Matches 7
Team strength
Istanbul BasaksehirKonyaspor
35
L90 StrengthIn forecast
18
36
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
32
AttackIn forecast
13
34
DefenceIn forecast
31
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKonyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Istanbul BasaksehirKonyaspor
1.74
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.17
1.13
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.52
1.49
xGVia Att/Def
1.17
1.17
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.41
+0.25
Goals minus xGContext
+0.00
87%
Scored inContext
78%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
17%
13.04
ShotsContext
12.96
4.57
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.96
35%
On target shareContext
31%
8.86
Shots in the boxContext
7.65
65%
Box shareContext
59%
13%
ConversionContext
9%
1.69
OffsidesContext
2.05
12.09
Shots allowedContext
12.57
4.17
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.18
3.76
BlocksContext
3.14
3.13
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.67
75%
Save rateContext
63%
55%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
433
PassesContext
401
369
Accurate passesContext
332
85%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.90
Team ratingContext
6.79
13.00
FoulsContext
11.48
13.04
Fouls sufferedContext
12.70
2.22
Yellow cardsContext
2.26
0.04
Red cardsContext
0.00
2.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.90
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
1.85
xGVia Att/Def
1.22
0.90
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.49
+0.55
Goals minus xGContext
-0.32
100%
Scored inContext
80%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
14.60
ShotsContext
12.20
5.90
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.40
40%
On target shareContext
28%
9.80
Shots in the boxContext
7.40
67%
Box shareContext
60%
16%
ConversionContext
7%
1.17
OffsidesContext
2.00
11.00
Shots allowedContext
13.50
3.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.60
4.00
BlocksContext
3.20
2.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.90
68%
Save rateContext
63%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
439
PassesContext
414
375
Accurate passesContext
343
85%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.94
Team ratingContext
6.73
14.40
FoulsContext
10.90
11.80
Fouls sufferedContext
12.40
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
2.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Istanbul Basaksehir
Rest6.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km962 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Konyaspor
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel463 km382 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Istanbul Basaksehir |
Konyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6.2Süper Lig 2025-2026, 21 Feb | 6Süper Lig 2025-2026, 21 Feb |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 463 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 962 km | 382 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.8 | 8.8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Istanbul Basaksehir
Confirmed XI
16M. Şengezer(G)
21C. Opéri
3J. Opoku
27O. Ba
42Ö. Şahiner
20U. Güneş
8O. Kemen
11A. Fayzullaev
14E. Shomurodov
7Y. Sarı
9D. Selke
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
24A. Boşluk
4A. Demirbağ
5U. Yazğılı
23Y. Andzouana
42M. Bjørlo
18B. Kutlu
70K. Olaigbe
10E. Bardhi
9D. Türüç
99B. Kramer
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Istanbul Basaksehir
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Konyaspor
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Istanbul Basaksehir+0.1 pp
- Draw-0.2 pp
- Konyaspor+0.2 pp
Home / Away this season
Istanbul Basaksehir · Home
1.27points per game · 11 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-5-3
- Scored
- 1.73
- Conceded
- 1.45
Konyaspor · Away
0.82points per game · 11 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-3-6
- Scored
- 1.18
- Conceded
- 1.91
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Istanbul Basaksehir | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | W 2–1 AD 1–1 H | L 1–2 AL 1–2 H |
| Besiktas | L 2–3 HL 1–2 A | L 1–2 AL 0–2 H |
| Eyüpspor | W 2–1 AD 0–0 H | D 1–1 HW 4–1 A |
| Rizespor | D 2–2 HD 0–0 A | D 1–1 H |
| Kayserispor | W 3–0 AD 1–1 H | D 1–1 H |
| Fatih Karagümrük | W 2–1 HW 2–0 A | L 0–2 A |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | W 5–1 H | D 1–1 AW 3–0 H |
| Samsunspor | W 2–0 A | L 1–3 H |
| Fenerbahce | D 1–1 H | L 0–4 A |
| Kasimpasa | W 3–1 A | D 1–1 A |
| Trabzonspor | L 3–4 H | L 1–3 A |
| Genclerbirligi | L 1–2 A | W 2–1 A |
| Kocaelispor | W 1–0 H | L 2–3 H |
| Antalyaspor | W 4–0 A | D 0–0 H |
| Galatasaray | L 1–2 H | W 2–0 HL 1–3 A |
| Goztepe | L 0–1 A | D 0–0 HD 1–1 A |
| Points | 36 of 66 · 1.64 per game | 20 of 66 · 0.91 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings
2 Istanbul Basaksehir wins0 draws3 Konyaspor wins
Goals per game1.40 – 1.60
Over 2.560%
Both scored60%
Clean sheets20% · 20%
- 28 Sep 2025Konyaspor2–1Istanbul Basaksehir
- 5 Apr 2025Istanbul Basaksehir1–0Konyaspor
- 3 Nov 2024Konyaspor3–2Istanbul Basaksehir
- 28 Jan 2024Konyaspor2–3Istanbul Basaksehir
- 2 Sep 2023Istanbul Basaksehir0–1Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.74 | 1.17 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.13 | 1.52 | |
| Match goals | 2.87 | 2.70 | 2.97 |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 91% | |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 52% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 26% | |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 70% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 17% | |
| Failed to score | 13% | 22% | |
| Games | 23 | 23 |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.40 | 0.90 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.10 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.50 | 2.40 | 2.97 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 40% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.82 | 4.91 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.23 | 4.57 | |
| Match total | 10.05 | 9.48 | 9.36 |
| Over 8.5 | 64% 14/22 | 43% 10/23 | |
| Over 9.5 | 55% 12/22 | 43% 10/23 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 11/22 | 35% 8/23 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.35 | 2.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.61 | 2.43 | |
| Match total | 4.96 | 4.73 | 4.72 |
| Over 3.5 | 74% 17/23 | 65% 15/23 | |
| Over 4.5 | 57% 13/23 | 39% 9/23 | |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | 3.30 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.56 | 4.10 | |
| Match total | 9.56 | 7.40 | 9.36 |
| Over 8.5 | 33% 3/9 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 3/9 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 10% 1/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.20 | 2.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.30 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 4.50 | 5.10 | 4.72 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Oguzhan Aksu Türkiye · 7 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards2.14league 4.48
Red cards0.14league 0.22
Cards 5+0%league 47%
Fouls21.3league 26.0
Penalties0.00league 0.26
Home wins14%league 38%
Istanbul Basaksehir1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.0.0 · 0.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W14 Dec 25A · Samsunspor2–00
Konyaspor1 with this referee
Record0-1-0
Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D24 Nov 25H · Antalyaspor0–01
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Istanbul Basaksehir23 games · scored 40 · conceded 26
3
0-15
7
2
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
3
46-60
7
7
61-75
10
7
76-90
Konyaspor23 games · scored 27 · conceded 35
1
2
0-15
6
6
16-30
3
10
31-45
5
7
46-60
3
5
61-75
9
5
76-90
Istanbul Basaksehir10 games · scored 24 · conceded 11
3
0-15
4
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
4
61-75
7
3
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 9 · conceded 15
0-15
2
2
16-30
6
31-45
3
46-60
3
61-75
4
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
