Jagiellonia
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Thu, Aug 6 · 17:00
Stadion Miejski, Białystok
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,784 kmRest days? · 188.8Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Jagiellonia—%
Draw—%
Rangers—%
Weather (Białystok)
No weather data yet
RefereeN. Dabanović
- Cards per match 3.7
- Penalties per match 0.20
- Matches 20
Team strength
Jagiellonia
Rangers
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
31
Current StrengthIn forecast
40
27
AttackIn forecast
38
28
DefenceIn forecast
34
—
Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisRangers
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
JagielloniaRangers
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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—
FoulsContext
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—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
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1.60
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.60
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.90
1.47
xGVia Att/Def
1.95
1.62
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.16
+0.13
Goals minus xGContext
+0.65
90%
Scored inContext
100%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
15.40
ShotsContext
16.50
6.40
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.30
42%
On target shareContext
38%
9.20
Shots in the boxContext
12.89
61%
Box shareContext
72%
10%
ConversionContext
16%
2.00
OffsidesContext
2.00
13.70
Shots allowedContext
8.50
3.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.30
5.44
BlocksContext
1.89
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
1.88
79%
Save rateContext
52%
56%
PossessionIn forecast
56%
454
PassesContext
431
380
Accurate passesContext
355
84%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.98
Team ratingContext
6.92
12.30
FoulsContext
12.10
12.80
Fouls sufferedContext
12.80
2.20
Yellow cardsContext
1.50
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Jagiellonia
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Rangers
Rest188.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel1,784 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Jagiellonia |
Rangers |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | — | 188.8UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 29 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,784 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.1 | 7.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Jagiellonia
Confirmed XI
50S. Abramowicz(G)
23Guilherme Montóia
4Y. Kobayashi
44A. Konstantopoulos
15N. Wojtuszek
21Sergio Lozano
6T. Romanczuk
27Rodrigo Conceição
99N. Prelec
11Jesús Imaz
7K. Szmyt
Rangers
Confirmed XI
1I. Pandur(G)
25T. Rommens
37E. Fernandez
2R. McCrorie
21D. Sterling
6D. Neil
42T. Chukwuani
10M. Diomande
11Thelo Aasgaard
17D. Yokota
9Youssef Chermiti
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Jagiellonia
Absences are shown before kick-off
Rangers
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
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Home / Away this season
Jagiellonia · Home
No home games yet this season.
Rangers · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Jagiellonia | Rangers | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Jagiellonia | Rangers | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | 0.63 | |
| Conceded per game | — | 1.75 | |
| Match goals | — | 2.38 | |
| Over 1.5 | — | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 | — | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | — | 13% | |
| Both teams scored | — | 50% | |
| Clean sheets | — | 13% | |
| Failed to score | — | 38% | |
| Games | 0 | 8 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Jagiellonia | Rangers | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 10.33 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 4.67 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Jagiellonia | Rangers | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.11 | 6.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.33 | 3.10 | |
| Match total | 8.44 | 9.20 | 10.33 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 22% 2/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 11% 1/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 3.90 | 4.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · N. Dabanović 20 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.60league 3.35
Red cards0.10league 0.18
Cards 5+40%league 32%
Fouls23.1league 30.0
Penalties0.20league 0.21
Home wins40%league 47%
JagielloniaNo previous matches with this referee.
RangersNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
JagielloniaRangersJagiellonia10 games · scored 16 · conceded 10
4
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
6
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
4
76-90
Rangers10 games · scored 26 · conceded 19
3
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
5
3
31-45
8
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.