Juventus vs Verona – 3 May 2026

Serie A Gameweek 35 Sun, May 3 · 17:00 Allianz Stadium, Torino

Juventus 4th · 64 pts · 34 played DWWWD

1–1Full time

Verona 19th · 19 pts · 34 played LLLLD

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Juventus were clear favourites.

Juventus were the stronger side on L90 Strength (73 vs 16). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Verona. Juventus had 6.9 days of rest, Verona 7.9 and had to travel 262 km.

Away travel262 kmRest days6.9 · 7.9Matches / 14d2 · 1

Juventus74%

Draw19%

Verona8%

Expected goals 2.13 – 0.55

Juventus81%

Draw13%

Verona6%

Expected goals 2.75 – 0.65

Juventus72%

Draw19%

Verona8%

Expected goals 2.08 – 0.56

Juventus67%

Draw22%

Verona11%

Expected goals 1.90 – 0.62

Juventus75%

Draw17%

Verona8%

Expected goals 2.30 – 0.61

Over 2.5 50% Both score 38% Likeliest score 2–0

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Torino)

No weather data yet

Referee · ItalyGiovanni Ayroldi

Cards per match 5.7
Penalties per match 0.16
Matches 50

Team strength

Juventus

Verona

73 L90 StrengthIn forecast 16

64 Current StrengthIn forecast 16

57 AttackIn forecast 15

76 DefenceIn forecast 29

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Juventus

Attack—

Defense risk—

Verona

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Juventus

Verona

1.68 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.68

0.85 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.65

1.64 xGVia Att/Def 0.93

0.87 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.15

+0.04 Goals minus xGContext -0.25

79% Scored inContext 47%

44% Clean sheetsContext 18%

15.74 ShotsContext 10.97

5.79 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.76

37% On target shareContext 33%

10.09 Shots in the boxContext 6.15

63% Box shareContext 55%

11% ConversionContext 6%

2.07 OffsidesContext 2.14

10.21 Shots allowedContext 12.68

2.81 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.09

3.16 BlocksContext 3.91

2.17 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.58

75% Save rateContext 61%

57% PossessionIn forecast 41%

513 PassesContext 331

445 Accurate passesContext 250

87% Pass accuracyContext 76%

6.94 Team ratingContext 6.66

11.88 FoulsContext 15.44

9.76 Fouls sufferedContext 9.12

1.41 Yellow cardsContext 2.26

0.03 Red cardsContext 0.06

This league season, per match · 34 and 34 games

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

0.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.92 xGVia Att/Def 0.86

1.10 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.99

-0.22 Goals minus xGContext -0.36

80% Scored inContext 40%

60% Clean sheetsContext 10%

16.30 ShotsContext 11.50

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.90

34% On target shareContext 25%

11.40 Shots in the boxContext 5.80

67% Box shareContext 49%

10% ConversionContext 4%

2.29 OffsidesContext 1.89

11.10 Shots allowedContext 11.40

3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.20

3.50 BlocksContext 3.30

2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 1.88

83% Save rateContext 52%

55% PossessionIn forecast 42%

495 PassesContext 333

424 Accurate passesContext 259

86% Pass accuracyContext 78%

7.03 Team ratingContext 6.71

10.30 FoulsContext 15.30

9.20 Fouls sufferedContext 9.50

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Juventus

Rest6.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km251 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Verona

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel262 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Juventus	Verona
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6.9Serie A 2025-2026, 26 Apr	7.9Serie A 2025-2026, 25 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	262 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	251 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	0 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	6.1	6.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Juventus Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

16M. Di Gregorio(G)

6L. Kelly 3Bremer 15P. Kalulu

27A. Cambiaso 19K. Thuram 5M. Locatelli 22W. McKennie

10K. Yıldız 7Francisco Conceição

30J. David

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Verona Confirmed XI

5-3-2

1L. Montipò(G)

12D. Bradarić 3M. Frese 5A. Edmundsson 15V. Nelsson 7R. Belghali

24A. Bernede 63R. Gagliardini 11J. Akpa Akpro

18K. Bowie 10T. Suslov

+7 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Juventus Absences are shown before kick-off

Verona Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.05 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Juventus+1.1 pp
Draw-0.7 pp
Verona-0.5 pp

Home / Away this season

Juventus · Home 2.12points per game · 17 home games

W-D-L: 10-6-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 0.76

Verona · Away 0.65points per game · 17 away games

W-D-L: 2-5-10
Scored: 0.65
Conceded: 1.82

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Juventus	Verona
AC Milan	D 0–0 AD 0–0 H	L 0–1 HL 0–3 A
Bologna	W 2–0 HW 1–0 A	W 2–1 AL 2–3 H
Atalanta	W 1–0 AD 1–1 H	L 0–1 AW 3–1 H
Genoa	W 2–0 HW 1–0 A	L 0–2 HL 1–2 A
Sassuolo	D 1–1 HW 3–0 A	L 0–3 AL 0–1 H
Udinese	W 1–0 AW 3–1 H	L 1–3 HD 1–1 A
Pisa	W 4–0 HW 2–0 A	D 0–0 HD 0–0 A
AS Roma	D 3–3 AW 2–1 H	L 0–2 A
Como	L 0–2 HL 0–2 A	L 1–3 A
Inter	L 2–3 AW 4–3 H	L 1–2 H
Lazio	D 2–2 HL 0–1 A	L 0–1 HL 0–4 A
Parma	W 4–1 AW 2–0 H	L 1–2 AL 1–2 H
Napoli	W 3–0 HL 1–2 A	L 1–2 HD 2–2 A
Cagliari	L 0–1 AW 2–1 H	L 0–4 AD 2–2 H
Cremonese	W 5–0 HW 2–1 A	D 0–0 AD 0–0 H
Lecce	D 1–1 H	D 0–0 HD 0–0 A
Fiorentina	D 1–1 A	L 0–1 HW 2–1 A
Torino	D 0–0 H	L 1–2 AL 0–3 H
Points	63 of 99 · 1.91 per game	18 of 99 · 0.55 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 9 of 9 meetings

6 Juventus wins2 draws1 Verona wins

Goals per game1.56 – 0.56 Over 2.533% Both scored33% Clean sheets67% · 0%

20 Sep 2025Verona1–1Juventus
3 Mar 2025Juventus2–0Verona
26 Aug 2024Verona0–3Juventus
17 Feb 2024Verona2–2Juventus
28 Oct 2023Juventus1–0Verona
1 Apr 2023Juventus1–0Verona

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Juventus	Verona	Forecast
Scored per game	1.68	0.68
Conceded per game	0.85	1.65
Match goals	2.53	2.32	2.68
Over 1.5	74%	68%
Over 2.5	41%	56%	50%
Over 3.5	24%	24%
Both teams scored	44%	47%	38%
Clean sheets	44%	18%
Failed to score	21%	53%
Games	34	34

	Juventus	Verona	Forecast
Scored per game	1.60	0.50
Conceded per game	0.90	1.50
Match goals	2.50	2.00	2.68
Over 1.5	70%	60%
Over 2.5	30%	50%	50%
Over 3.5	30%	0%
Both teams scored	30%	40%	38%
Clean sheets	60%	10%
Failed to score	20%	60%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Juventus	Verona	League
Corners
Corners won	5.06	3.91
Corners conceded	3.84	4.33
Match total	8.90	8.24	8.66
Over 8.5	44% 14/32	52% 17/33
Over 9.5	34% 11/32	27% 9/33
Over 10.5	25% 8/32	18% 6/33
Cards
Cards	1.47	2.38
Opponent cards	2.06	1.71
Match total	3.53	4.09	3.88
Over 3.5	53% 18/34	53% 18/34
Over 4.5	35% 12/34	41% 14/34

	Juventus	Verona	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	4.22
Corners conceded	4.00	3.22
Match total	9.00	7.44	8.66
Over 8.5	40% 4/10	33% 3/9
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	0% 0/9
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	0% 0/9
Cards
Cards	1.90	2.80
Opponent cards	1.70	2.00
Match total	3.60	4.80	3.88
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Giovanni Ayroldi Italy · 50 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.44league 3.71

Red cards0.28league 0.18

Cards 5+76%league 35%

Fouls27.9league 24.8

Penalties0.16league 0.29

Home wins38%league 40%

Juventus10 with this referee

Record5-2-3 Cards · opp.2.8 · 3.0 Pens for · against1 · 1

L19 Oct 25A · Como0–21
W18 May 25H · Udinese2–00
D20 May 24A · Bologna3–35
W3 Sep 23A · Empoli2–03
L22 May 23A · Empoli1–42

Verona8 with this referee

Record3-4-1 Cards · opp.3.8 · 2.6 Pens for · against1 · 0 Reds3

L22 Mar 26A · Atalanta0–13
W15 Mar 25A · Udinese1–02
W30 Dec 24A · Bologna3–25
W1 Sep 24A · Genoa2–06
D9 Dec 23H · Lazio1–12

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.