UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 Qualifying rounds Fri, Aug 14 · 19:00 Injector Arena, Klaksvík, Borðoy
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,768 kmRest days8 · 8Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
KI Klaksvik—%
Draw—%
Lech Poznan—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Klaksvík, Borðoy)

No weather data yet

RefereeIgor Pajač
  • Cards per match 3.5
  • Penalties per match 0.30
  • Matches 23

Team strength

KI KlaksvikLech Poznan
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
5 Current StrengthIn forecast 34
5 AttackIn forecast 35
6 DefenceIn forecast 23
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

KI Klaksvik

Attack—
Defense risk—

Lech Poznan

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KI KlaksvikLech Poznan
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
— xGVia Att/Def 1.88
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.08
— Goals minus xGContext +0.22
60% Scored inContext 90%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
— ShotsContext 18.22
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.56
— On target shareContext 36%
— Shots in the boxContext 12.22
— Box shareContext 66%
— ConversionContext 12%
— OffsidesContext 1.43
— Shots allowedContext 9.89
— On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.75
— BlocksContext 2.40
— Goalkeeper savesContext 2.00
— Save rateContext 55%
— PossessionIn forecast 58%
— PassesContext 469
— Accurate passesContext 397
— Pass accuracyContext 85%
— Team ratingContext 6.92
— FoulsContext 10.10
— Fouls sufferedContext 11.70
2.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

KI Klaksvik
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km3,536 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Lech Poznan
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,768 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
KI Klaksvik Lech Poznan
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 10Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match8UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 6 Aug8UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 6 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,768 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways3,536 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 10 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one—6

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

KI Klaksvik Confirmed XI
3-4-3
96M. Jensen(G)
2G. Tellechea 5D. Pavlović 26G. Rólantsson
28O. Ali 10H. Hánsson 4M. Sinyan 23J. Danielsen
36Jean Carlos 9P. Klettskarð 7Á. Frederiksberg
Lech Poznan Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
1M. Lis(G)
15M. Gurgul 72M. Skrzypczak 27W. Mońka 2Joel Pereira
21Pablo Rodríguez 43A. Kozubal
17A. Sayyadmanesh 77L. Palma 10J. Wålemark
9M. Ishak

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
KI Klaksvik Absences are shown before kick-off
Lech Poznan Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

KI Klaksvik · Home No home games yet this season.
Lech Poznan · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 KI Klaksvik wins0 draws1 Lech Poznan wins
Goals per game0.00 – 1.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets0% · 100%
  • 6 Aug 2026Lech Poznan1–0KI Klaksvik

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Referee · Igor Pajač 23 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.39league 3.87
Red cards0.13league 0.20
Cards 5+35%league 44%
Fouls22.7league 29.6
Penalties0.30league 0.25
Home wins57%league 51%
KI Klaksvik

No previous matches with this referee.

Lech Poznan

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

KI Klaksvik1 games · scored 0 · conceded 1
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1 76-90
Lech Poznan1 games · scored 1 · conceded 0
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1 76-90
KI Klaksvik10 games · scored 11 · conceded 9
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
3 2 46-60
2 61-75
1 6 76-90
Lech Poznan9 games · scored 21 · conceded 9
1 1 0-15
4 16-30
6 1 31-45
4 4 46-60
4 61-75
2 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.