Kocaelispor vs Amed – 24 Aug 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 2 Mon, Aug 24 · 19:30 Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli

Kocaelispor 16th · 0 pts · 1 played L

2–0Full time

Amed 8th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Amed were slight favourites.

Amed were the stronger side on L90 Strength (29 vs 19). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Amed. Kocaelispor had 8.1 days of rest, Amed 8 and had to travel 1,117 km.

Away travel1,117 kmRest days8.1 · 8Matches / 14d1 · 1

Kocaelispor32%

Draw27%

Amed41%

Expected goals 1.17 – 1.36

Kocaelispor36%

Draw26%

Amed38%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.36

Kocaelispor32%

Draw27%

Amed41%

Expected goals 1.17 – 1.36

Kocaelispor26%

Draw26%

Amed48%

Expected goals 1.04 – 1.52

Kocaelispor32%

Draw27%

Amed41%

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.35

Over 2.5 46% Both score 51% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Kocaeli)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeUmit Ozturk

Cards per match 4.6
Penalties per match 0.40
Matches 10

Team strength

Kocaelispor

Amed

19 L90 StrengthIn forecast 29

22 Current StrengthIn forecast 34

16 AttackIn forecast 38

32 DefenceIn forecast 46

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Kocaelispor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Amed

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Kocaelispor

Amed

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

0.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def —

0.63 xGVia Att/Def —

1.13 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

-0.23 Goals minus xGContext —

40% Scored inContext —

10% Clean sheetsContext —

8.70 ShotsContext —

2.13 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

20% On target shareContext —

5.50 Shots in the boxContext —

64% Box shareContext —

5% ConversionContext —

2.56 OffsidesContext —

11.90 Shots allowedContext —

4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def —

3.10 BlocksContext —

2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext —

64% Save rateContext —

52% PossessionIn forecast —

384 PassesContext —

313 Accurate passesContext —

82% Pass accuracyContext —

6.64 Team ratingContext —

14.20 FoulsContext —

13.60 Fouls sufferedContext —

2.20 Yellow cardsContext —

0.00 Red cardsContext —

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 0 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Kocaelispor L

Rest8.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km394 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 38 · 0 pts vs 1.3 for an average club · -0.7 vs expected

L16 AugA · Istanbul Basaksehir0–20.7 xPts

Amed W

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel1,117 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 59 · 3 pts vs 2.0 for an average club · +1.4 vs expected

W16 AugH · Erzurumspor FK3–01.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Kocaelispor	Amed
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8.1Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 Aug	8Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,117 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	394 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	0 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	4.9	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Kocaelispor Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

83S. Öztaşdelen(G)

21M. Haïdara 5E. Ortakaya 4B. Zoukrou 2A. Dijksteel

14Show

32M. Baku 20Mahamadou Susoho 10B. Kutlu 11G. Sousa

7Daniel Agyei

Amed Confirmed XI

4-4-1-1

40A. Lafont(G)

5L. Dellova 4D. Bates 21Mehmet Yeşil 7E. Krasniqi

11Y. Sor 6Cem Üstündag 22R. Raveloson 91D. Sabi'a

10S. Ballet

99G. Orban

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Kocaelispor Absences are shown before kick-off

Amed Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Kocaelispor+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Amed+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Kocaelispor · Home No home games yet this season.

Amed · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Kocaelispor	Amed	Forecast
Scored per game	0.00	3.00
Conceded per game	2.00	0.00
Match goals	2.00	3.00	2.52
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	0%	100%	46%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	0%	0%	51%
Clean sheets	0%	100%
Failed to score	100%	0%
Games	1	1

	Kocaelispor	Amed	Forecast
Scored per game	0.40	3.00
Conceded per game	1.50	0.00
Match goals	1.90	3.00	2.52
Over 1.5	60%	100%
Over 2.5	20%	100%	46%
Over 3.5	10%	0%
Both teams scored	40%	0%	51%
Clean sheets	10%	100%
Failed to score	60%	0%
Games	10	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Kocaelispor	Amed	League
Corners
Corners won	2.00	4.00
Corners conceded	8.00	4.00
Match total	10.00	8.00	9.67
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.00
Opponent cards	2.00	0.00
Match total	4.00	1.00	2.87
Over 3.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1

	Kocaelispor	Amed	League
Corners
Corners won	3.00	4.00
Corners conceded	4.44	4.00
Match total	7.44	8.00	9.67
Over 8.5	33% 3/9	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	33% 3/9	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	11% 1/9	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	2.30	1.00
Opponent cards	1.90	0.00
Match total	4.20	1.00	2.87
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	0% 0/1

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Umit Ozturk Türkiye · 10 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.40league 2.88

Red cards0.20league 0.18

Cards 5+60%league 29%

Fouls24.9league 25.6

Penalties0.40league 0.41

Home wins20%league 41%

Kocaelispor1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.4.0 · 4.0 Pens for · against1 · 0

D21 Sep 25H · Rizespor1–14

Amed

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.