Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Konyaspor were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Konyaspor had 14.9 days of rest, Alanyaspor 12.9 and had to travel 154 km.
Away travel154 kmRest days14.9 · 12.9Matches / 14d0 · 1
Konyaspor44%
Draw27%
Alanyaspor30%
Konyaspor44%
Draw27%
Alanyaspor30%
Konyaspor44%
Draw27%
Alanyaspor30%
Konyaspor36%
Draw27%
Alanyaspor36%
Konyaspor44%
Draw27%
Alanyaspor30%
Over 2.5 50%
Both score 55%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeHalil Umut Meler
- Cards per match 4.8
- Penalties per match 0.20
- Matches 15
Team strength
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
23
L90 StrengthIn forecast
23
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
24
13
AttackIn forecast
18
31
DefenceIn forecast
24
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAlanyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporAlanyaspor
2.67
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
0.67
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.67
1.48
xGVia Att/Def
1.12
1.56
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.41
+1.19
Goals minus xGContext
-0.12
100%
Scored inContext
67%
33%
Clean sheetsContext
67%
13.67
ShotsContext
9.33
4.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
1.67
34%
On target shareContext
18%
8.67
Shots in the boxContext
5.67
62%
Box shareContext
61%
20%
ConversionContext
11%
2.00
OffsidesContext
3.00
17.00
Shots allowedContext
9.00
4.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.33
4.00
BlocksContext
—
3.67
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.67
92%
Save rateContext
80%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
371
PassesContext
386
299
Accurate passesContext
316
81%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
7.21
Team ratingContext
6.80
11.00
FoulsContext
14.67
12.33
Fouls sufferedContext
16.00
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.67
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.90
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.40
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.90
1.63
xGVia Att/Def
1.09
1.16
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.16
+0.27
Goals minus xGContext
+0.31
90%
Scored inContext
90%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
13.60
ShotsContext
9.80
4.70
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.10
35%
On target shareContext
32%
9.20
Shots in the boxContext
6.50
63%
Box shareContext
66%
14%
ConversionContext
14%
1.89
OffsidesContext
2.00
13.70
Shots allowedContext
10.30
4.10
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.33
3.78
BlocksContext
3.00
3.10
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.33
76%
Save rateContext
77%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
47%
360
PassesContext
411
292
Accurate passesContext
347
81%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
7.10
Team ratingContext
6.99
11.80
FoulsContext
12.00
11.20
Fouls sufferedContext
13.70
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
2.10
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
Rest14.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Alanyaspor
Rest12.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel154 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Alanyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 29 Aug | 12.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 31 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 154 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 9 | 4 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
1D. Ertaş(G)
12G. Sityá
20R. Bazoer
4A. Demirbağ
5U. Yazğılı
77M. İbrahimoğlu
10E. Bardhi
42M. Bjørlo
23Y. Andzouana
18A. Ndao
22M. Nayir
Alanyaspor
Confirmed XI
1M. Taşkıran(G)
50Ü. Akdağ
5F. Aliti
3Nuno Lima
88Y. Özdemir
58Maestro
42G. Makouta
8Enes Keskin
16U. Hwang
27Ibrahim Kaya
22Uchenna Ogundu
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Alanyaspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Alanyaspor+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
3.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 3.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Alanyaspor · Away
0.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | Konyaspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Eyüpspor | W 4–1 A | L 1–2 A |
| Points | 3 of 3 · 3.00 per game | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
0 Konyaspor wins1 draws3 Alanyaspor wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.00
Over 2.575%
Both scored75%
Clean sheets0% · 25%
- 25 May 2025Konyaspor1–2Alanyaspor
- 3 Jan 2025Alanyaspor2–1Konyaspor
- 20 Apr 2024Konyaspor0–2Alanyaspor
- 2 Dec 2023Alanyaspor2–2Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Alanyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.67 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.67 | 0.67 | |
| Match goals | 3.33 | 1.67 | 2.69 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 67% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 67% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 33% | |
| Games | 3 | 3 |
| Konyaspor | Alanyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.67 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.67 | 0.67 | |
| Match goals | 3.33 | 1.67 | 2.69 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 67% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 67% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 33% | |
| Games | 3 | 3 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Alanyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.00 | 2.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.33 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 11.33 | 5.50 | 9.23 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 2/3 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 2/3 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 67% 2/3 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.67 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.33 | 2.67 | |
| Match total | 4.33 | 4.34 | 4.23 |
| Over 3.5 | 67% 2/3 | 67% 2/3 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 1/3 | 33% 1/3 | |
| Konyaspor | Alanyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.33 | 3.63 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.89 | 3.13 | |
| Match total | 9.22 | 6.76 | 9.23 |
| Over 8.5 | 44% 4/9 | 13% 1/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 4/9 | 13% 1/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 22% 2/9 | 0% 0/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.30 | 2.10 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.60 | 2.70 | |
| Match total | 4.90 | 4.80 | 4.23 |
| Over 3.5 | 80% 8/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Halil Umut Meler Türkiye · 15 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.60league 4.06
Red cards0.20league 0.24
Cards 5+60%league 39%
Fouls23.6league 25.2
Penalties0.20league 0.30
Home wins33%league 36%
Konyaspor1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.1.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W18 Apr 25A · Hatayspor3–21
AlanyasporNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor3 games · scored 8 · conceded 2
1
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
61-75
3
76-90
Alanyaspor3 games · scored 3 · conceded 2
1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 19 · conceded 11
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
7
1
76-90
Alanyaspor10 games · scored 14 · conceded 9
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
6
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
