Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Konyaspor were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Konyaspor had 15.2 days of rest, Antalyaspor 16 and had to travel 191 km.
Away travel191 kmRest days15.2 · 16Matches / 14d0 · 0
Konyaspor51%
Draw25%
Antalyaspor24%
Konyaspor49%
Draw26%
Antalyaspor25%
Konyaspor50%
Draw26%
Antalyaspor24%
Konyaspor43%
Draw27%
Antalyaspor30%
Konyaspor50%
Draw26%
Antalyaspor24%
Over 2.5 52%
Both score 55%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeOguzhan Aksu
- Cards per match 2.5
- Penalties per match 0.00
- Matches 4
Team strength
Konyaspor
Antalyaspor
18
L90 StrengthIn forecast
13
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
13
13
AttackIn forecast
11
31
DefenceIn forecast
14
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAntalyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporAntalyaspor
1.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.08
1.67
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.92
1.14
xGVia Att/Def
0.79
1.41
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.51
+0.36
Goals minus xGContext
+0.29
83%
Scored inContext
75%
8%
Clean sheetsContext
17%
13.75
ShotsContext
8.50
4.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
34%
On target shareContext
47%
8.00
Shots in the boxContext
5.75
58%
Box shareContext
64%
11%
ConversionContext
13%
2.10
OffsidesContext
1.82
12.50
Shots allowedContext
15.42
3.83
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.50
3.27
BlocksContext
3.33
2.45
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.58
63%
Save rateContext
65%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
43%
388
PassesContext
345
318
Accurate passesContext
279
82%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.85
Team ratingContext
6.71
11.67
FoulsContext
11.67
13.33
Fouls sufferedContext
13.50
2.08
Yellow cardsContext
2.67
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.10
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
1.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.20
0.98
xGVia Att/Def
0.73
1.39
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.63
+0.12
Goals minus xGContext
+0.27
80%
Scored inContext
70%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
13.40
ShotsContext
7.90
4.40
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.80
33%
On target shareContext
48%
7.50
Shots in the boxContext
5.20
56%
Box shareContext
63%
8%
ConversionContext
13%
2.13
OffsidesContext
1.78
11.70
Shots allowedContext
16.20
4.20
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.20
3.00
BlocksContext
3.20
2.56
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.00
59%
Save rateContext
65%
55%
PossessionIn forecast
43%
400
PassesContext
346
331
Accurate passesContext
282
83%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.76
Team ratingContext
6.70
11.10
FoulsContext
12.00
14.00
Fouls sufferedContext
13.80
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
2.70
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
Rest15.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Antalyaspor
Rest16 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel191 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Antalyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 15.2Süper Lig 2025-2026, 9 Nov | 16Süper Lig 2025-2026, 8 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 191 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 5 | 5.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
12G. Sityá
3K. Subaşı
5U. Yazğılı
23Y. Andzouana
21J. Jo
40J. Muleka
10E. Bardhi
77M. İbrahimoğlu
11M. Ștefănescu
22M. Nayir
Antalyaspor
Confirmed XI
21A. Yiğiter(G)
3K. Paal
4H. Türkmen
89V. Sarı
7B. Balcı
88D. Šarić
23Jesper Ceesay
26N. Storm
22S. van de Streek
10A. Ömür
77Yohan Boli
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Antalyaspor
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor+0.7 pp
- Draw-0.3 pp
- Antalyaspor-0.4 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
1.00points per game · 6 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-0-4
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 1.83
Antalyaspor · Away
1.50points per game · 6 away games
- W-D-L
- 3-0-3
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.17
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 8 this season
| Opponent | Konyaspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Fatih Karagümrük | L 0–2 A | L 1–2 H |
| Samsunspor | L 1–3 H | W 2–1 A |
| Genclerbirligi | W 2–1 A | W 1–0 A |
| Besiktas | L 0–2 H | L 1–3 H |
| Kasimpasa | D 1–1 A | W 2–1 H |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | W 2–1 H | L 0–4 H |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | W 3–0 H | L 2–3 A |
| Eyüpspor | W 4–1 A | W 1–0 A |
| Points | 13 of 24 · 1.63 per game | 12 of 24 · 1.50 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
0 Konyaspor wins3 draws1 Antalyaspor wins
Goals per game0.75 – 1.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored75%
Clean sheets0% · 25%
- 2 May 2025Antalyaspor1–0Konyaspor
- 7 Dec 2024Konyaspor1–1Antalyaspor
- 21 Jan 2024Konyaspor1–1Antalyaspor
- 18 Aug 2023Antalyaspor1–1Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Antalyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 1.08 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.67 | 1.92 | |
| Match goals | 3.17 | 3.00 | 2.77 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 58% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% | |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 58% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 8% | 17% | |
| Failed to score | 17% | 25% | |
| Games | 12 | 12 |
| Konyaspor | Antalyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.10 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.90 | 2.20 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.77 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 40% | |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Antalyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.83 | 4.17 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.17 | 4.75 | |
| Match total | 11.00 | 8.92 | 9.54 |
| Over 8.5 | 58% 7/12 | 50% 6/12 | |
| Over 9.5 | 58% 7/12 | 50% 6/12 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 6/12 | 25% 3/12 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.17 | 2.83 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.42 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 4.59 | 5.33 | 4.82 |
| Over 3.5 | 67% 8/12 | 75% 9/12 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 4/12 | 58% 7/12 | |
| Konyaspor | Antalyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.10 | 4.40 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.80 | 4.60 | |
| Match total | 10.90 | 9.00 | 9.54 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 60% 6/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 5/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.20 | 2.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.40 | 2.70 | |
| Match total | 4.60 | 5.60 | 4.82 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Oguzhan Aksu Türkiye · 4 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards2.25league 4.52
Red cards0.25league 0.27
Cards 5+0%league 49%
Fouls21.3league 26.0
Penalties0.00league 0.26
Home wins25%league 37%
KonyasporNo previous matches with this referee.
Antalyaspor2 with this referee
Record1-0-1
Cards · opp.1.0 · 0.5
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W17 Aug 25A · Genclerbirligi1–02
- L24 May 25A · Eyüpspor1–20
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor12 games · scored 18 · conceded 20
1
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
5
4
46-60
5
61-75
5
1
76-90
Antalyaspor12 games · scored 13 · conceded 23
2
4
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
7
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 11 · conceded 19
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
3
46-60
5
61-75
3
1
76-90
Antalyaspor10 games · scored 10 · conceded 22
2
4
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
7
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
