Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Galatasaray were clear favourites.
Galatasaray were the stronger side on L90 Strength (74 vs 16). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Galatasaray. Konyaspor had 7.1 days of rest, Galatasaray 8 and had to travel 463 km.
Away travel463 kmRest days7.1 · 8Matches / 14d2 · 2
Konyaspor10%
Draw17%
Galatasaray73%
Konyaspor12%
Draw19%
Galatasaray69%
Konyaspor10%
Draw17%
Galatasaray72%
Konyaspor7%
Draw14%
Galatasaray79%
Konyaspor11%
Draw18%
Galatasaray71%
Over 2.5 64%
Both score 52%
Likeliest score 0–2
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeAtilla Karaoglan
- Cards per match 6.2
- Penalties per match 0.40
- Matches 20
Team strength
Konyaspor
Galatasaray
16
L90 StrengthIn forecast
74
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
62
13
AttackIn forecast
57
31
DefenceIn forecast
55
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGalatasaray
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporGalatasaray
1.14
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.50
1.59
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.68
1.14
xGVia Att/Def
2.01
1.45
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.90
+0.00
Goals minus xGContext
+0.49
77%
Scored inContext
91%
14%
Clean sheetsContext
41%
13.14
ShotsContext
16.86
4.05
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.86
31%
On target shareContext
35%
7.77
Shots in the boxContext
12.05
59%
Box shareContext
70%
9%
ConversionContext
15%
2.00
OffsidesContext
1.94
12.86
Shots allowedContext
9.32
4.29
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.29
3.24
BlocksContext
2.79
2.70
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.65
62%
Save rateContext
79%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
63%
406
PassesContext
507
336
Accurate passesContext
446
83%
Pass accuracyContext
88%
6.79
Team ratingContext
7.10
11.45
FoulsContext
12.14
12.95
Fouls sufferedContext
10.14
2.18
Yellow cardsContext
1.73
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.05
0.70
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.90
1.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.90
1.14
xGVia Att/Def
1.70
1.50
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.90
-0.44
Goals minus xGContext
+1.20
70%
Scored inContext
90%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
12.40
ShotsContext
15.50
3.30
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.40
27%
On target shareContext
35%
7.50
Shots in the boxContext
12.20
60%
Box shareContext
76%
6%
ConversionContext
19%
1.88
OffsidesContext
1.71
13.30
Shots allowedContext
9.10
4.89
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.44
3.20
BlocksContext
3.00
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.44
61%
Save rateContext
71%
55%
PossessionIn forecast
61%
429
PassesContext
531
358
Accurate passesContext
471
83%
Pass accuracyContext
89%
6.73
Team ratingContext
7.05
11.20
FoulsContext
11.60
12.50
Fouls sufferedContext
11.10
2.30
Yellow cardsContext
1.70
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km382 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Galatasaray
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel463 km1,940 km in 14d
Schedule load11%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Galatasaray |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 11 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 14 Feb | 8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 13 Feb |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 463 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 382 km | 1,940 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 2 / 4 | 0 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
24A. Boşluk
4A. Demirbağ
5U. Yazğılı
23Y. Andzouana
18B. Kutlu
77M. İbrahimoğlu
70K. Olaigbe
42M. Bjørlo
9D. Türüç
40J. Muleka
Galatasaray
Confirmed XI
1U. Çakır(G)
17E. Elmalı
42A. Bardakcı
90W. Singo
93S. Boey
8Gabriel Sara
99M. Lemina
7R. Sallai
11Y. Akgün
10L. Sané
9M. Icardi
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Galatasaray
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor-0.2 pp
- Draw-0.2 pp
- Galatasaray+0.4 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
1.00points per game · 11 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-5-4
- Scored
- 1.09
- Conceded
- 1.27
Galatasaray · Away
2.50points per game · 10 away games
- W-D-L
- 8-1-1
- Scored
- 2.30
- Conceded
- 0.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Konyaspor | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | L 1–2 AL 1–2 H | W 1–0 A |
| Goztepe | D 0–0 HD 1–1 A | W 3–1 H |
| Besiktas | L 1–2 AL 0–2 H | D 1–1 H |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | D 1–1 AW 3–0 H | D 1–1 HW 3–0 A |
| Eyüpspor | D 1–1 HW 4–1 A | W 5–1 HW 2–0 A |
| Kayserispor | D 1–1 H | W 4–0 HW 4–0 A |
| Fenerbahce | L 0–4 A | D 1–1 A |
| Rizespor | D 1–1 H | W 3–0 AW 3–1 H |
| Trabzonspor | L 1–3 A | D 0–0 H |
| Antalyaspor | D 0–0 H | W 4–1 A |
| Fatih Karagümrük | L 0–2 A | W 3–1 AW 3–0 H |
| Samsunspor | L 1–3 H | W 3–2 H |
| Genclerbirligi | W 2–1 A | W 3–2 H |
| Kocaelispor | L 2–3 H | L 0–1 A |
| Kasimpasa | D 1–1 A | W 3–0 H |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | W 2–1 H | W 2–1 A |
| Points | 20 of 63 · 0.95 per game | 52 of 63 · 2.48 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings
0 Konyaspor wins0 draws5 Galatasaray wins
Goals per game0.60 – 2.40
Over 2.580%
Both scored60%
Clean sheets0% · 40%
- 22 Sep 2025Galatasaray3–1Konyaspor
- 25 Jan 2025Galatasaray1–0Konyaspor
- 16 Aug 2024Konyaspor1–2Galatasaray
- 26 May 2024Konyaspor1–3Galatasaray
- 7 Jan 2024Galatasaray3–0Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Galatasaray | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.14 | 2.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.59 | 0.68 | |
| Match goals | 2.73 | 3.18 | 3.27 |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 86% | |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 68% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 45% | |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 55% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 41% | |
| Failed to score | 23% | 9% | |
| Games | 22 | 22 |
| Konyaspor | Galatasaray | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.70 | 3.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.50 | 0.90 | |
| Match goals | 2.20 | 3.90 | 3.27 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 80% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 60% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 0% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Galatasaray | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.00 | 5.38 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.59 | 3.43 | |
| Match total | 9.59 | 8.81 | 9.34 |
| Over 8.5 | 45% 10/22 | 48% 10/21 | |
| Over 9.5 | 45% 10/22 | 48% 10/21 | |
| Over 10.5 | 36% 8/22 | 29% 6/21 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.23 | 1.82 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.45 | 2.23 | |
| Match total | 4.68 | 4.05 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 64% 14/22 | 41% 9/22 | |
| Over 4.5 | 36% 8/22 | 36% 8/22 | |
| Konyaspor | Galatasaray | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | 5.90 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.90 | 3.60 | |
| Match total | 7.90 | 9.50 | 9.34 |
| Over 8.5 | 30% 3/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 30% 3/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 2/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.30 | 1.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.50 | 2.10 | |
| Match total | 4.80 | 3.80 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Atilla Karaoglan Türkiye · 20 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards5.90league 4.48
Red cards0.30league 0.22
Cards 5+70%league 47%
Fouls24.8league 26.0
Penalties0.40league 0.26
Home wins35%league 37%
Konyaspor1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.5.0 · 5.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
Reds1
- L25 May 25H · Alanyaspor1–25
Galatasaray3 with this referee
Record3-0-0
Cards · opp.3.3 · 1.3
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W24 Jan 26A · Fatih Karagümrük3–12
- W18 Oct 25A · Istanbul Basaksehir2–16
- W10 May 25A · Trabzonspor2–02
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor22 games · scored 25 · conceded 35
1
2
0-15
6
6
16-30
3
10
31-45
5
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
5
76-90
Galatasaray22 games · scored 55 · conceded 15
9
2
0-15
9
2
16-30
5
1
31-45
8
2
46-60
12
4
61-75
12
4
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 7 · conceded 15
0-15
2
2
16-30
6
31-45
3
46-60
2
61-75
3
4
76-90
Galatasaray10 games · scored 29 · conceded 9
7
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
6
46-60
5
3
61-75
7
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
