Süper Lig Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 17 · 17:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Konyaspor were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Konyaspor had 6.9 days of rest, Gazişehir Gaziantep 8.9 and had to travel 442 km.

Away travel442 kmRest days6.9 · 8.9Matches / 14d1 · 1
Konyaspor45%
Draw27%
Gazişehir Gaziantep28%
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.14
Konyaspor46%
Draw27%
Gazişehir Gaziantep28%
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.16
Konyaspor45%
Draw27%
Gazişehir Gaziantep28%
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.14
Konyaspor38%
Draw28%
Gazişehir Gaziantep35%
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.28
Konyaspor46%
Draw27%
Gazişehir Gaziantep28%
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.16
Over 2.5 49% Both score 54% Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)

No weather data yet

RefereeA. D. Kayatepe

Team strength

KonyasporGazişehir Gaziantep
21 L90 StrengthIn forecast 19
18 Current StrengthIn forecast 16
13 AttackIn forecast 15
31 DefenceIn forecast 18
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KonyasporGazişehir Gaziantep
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70
1.71 xGVia Att/Def 1.25
1.03 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.83
-0.11 Goals minus xGContext -0.35
80% Scored inContext 60%
20% Clean sheetsContext 10%
13.90 ShotsContext 12.40
4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.10
35% On target shareContext 33%
9.30 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
63% Box shareContext 53%
12% ConversionContext 7%
1.67 OffsidesContext 2.38
11.50 Shots allowedContext 14.00
3.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.70
3.25 BlocksContext 3.89
2.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.90
72% Save rateContext 68%
46% PossessionIn forecast 47%
345 PassesContext 368
276 Accurate passesContext 299
80% Pass accuracyContext 81%
7.06 Team ratingContext 6.88
12.50 FoulsContext 13.10
11.20 Fouls sufferedContext 12.60
2.10 Yellow cardsContext 2.20
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km926 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Rest8.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel442 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Konyaspor Gazişehir Gaziantep
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match6.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 10 Aug8.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 8 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km442 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways926 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 10 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one12.16.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Confirmed XI
4-1-4-1
1D. Ertaş(G)
12G. Sityá 4A. Demirbağ 20R. Bazoer 23Y. Andzouana
16M. Jevtović
10E. Bardhi 9D. Aleksić 77M. İbrahimoğlu 18A. Ndao
22M. Nayir
+1 more reported missing outside this XI
Gazişehir Gaziantep Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
20Z. Görgen(G)
77K. Rodrigues 17S. Güler 14L. Abena 18D. Sorescu
5P. Ndiaye 7J. Bacuna
44A. Maxim 10K. Kozłowski 27E. Kulašin
21E. Boateng

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Konyaspor Absences are shown before kick-off
Gazişehir Gaziantep Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Konyaspor+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Gazişehir Gaziantep+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home No home games yet this season.
Gazişehir Gaziantep · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

2 Konyaspor wins1 draws1 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins
Goals per game1.25 – 1.00 Over 2.525% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%
  • 28 Mar 2025Konyaspor1–0Gazişehir Gaziantep
  • 27 Oct 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep3–1Konyaspor
  • 24 Jan 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep1–1Konyaspor
  • 25 Aug 2023Konyaspor2–0Gazişehir Gaziantep

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Konyaspor1 games · scored 4 · conceded 1
1 0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
1 46-60
61-75
1 76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep1 games · scored 0 · conceded 3
1 0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 16 · conceded 11
3 0-15
2 1 16-30
1 4 31-45
2 1 46-60
3 4 61-75
5 1 76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep10 games · scored 9 · conceded 17
2 2 0-15
1 1 16-30
3 5 31-45
2 2 46-60
1 4 61-75
3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.