Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Konyaspor
12th · 27 pts · 26 played
LWLDW
1–0Full time
Genclerbirligi
13th · 25 pts · 26 played
DLDDL
Our take
Konyaspor were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Konyaspor. Konyaspor had 5.3 days of rest, Genclerbirligi 4 and had to travel 230 km.
Away travel230 kmRest days5.3 · 4Matches / 14d2 · 2
Konyaspor58%
Draw25%
Genclerbirligi17%
Konyaspor50%
Draw26%
Genclerbirligi25%
Konyaspor58%
Draw25%
Genclerbirligi17%
Konyaspor51%
Draw27%
Genclerbirligi22%
Konyaspor58%
Draw25%
Genclerbirligi17%
Over 2.5 47%
Both score 46%
Likeliest score 1–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeAli Yilmaz
- Cards per match 4.3
- Penalties per match 0.28
- Matches 18
Team strength
KonyasporGenclerbirligi
19
L90 StrengthIn forecast
13
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
15
13
AttackIn forecast
13
31
DefenceIn forecast
16
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGenclerbirligi
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporGenclerbirligi
1.15
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.08
1.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.38
1.24
xGVia Att/Def
0.95
1.39
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.45
-0.09
Goals minus xGContext
+0.13
77%
Scored inContext
65%
15%
Clean sheetsContext
19%
13.00
ShotsContext
10.31
3.96
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.67
31%
On target shareContext
33%
7.69
Shots in the boxContext
6.12
59%
Box shareContext
57%
9%
ConversionContext
10%
2.29
OffsidesContext
2.05
12.15
Shots allowedContext
14.85
4.04
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.46
3.00
BlocksContext
4.43
2.54
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.12
62%
Save rateContext
70%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
41%
403
PassesContext
301
331
Accurate passesContext
235
82%
Pass accuracyContext
78%
6.78
Team ratingContext
6.74
11.38
FoulsContext
12.27
13.31
Fouls sufferedContext
12.88
2.27
Yellow cardsContext
2.12
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.12
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.10
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
1.38
xGVia Att/Def
0.89
1.22
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.37
-0.38
Goals minus xGContext
+0.21
80%
Scored inContext
60%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
12.10
ShotsContext
10.80
3.40
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
28%
On target shareContext
33%
7.60
Shots in the boxContext
6.78
61%
Box shareContext
58%
8%
ConversionContext
10%
2.75
OffsidesContext
2.00
11.70
Shots allowedContext
14.50
3.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.10
2.90
BlocksContext
4.22
2.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.70
71%
Save rateContext
73%
56%
PossessionIn forecast
42%
421
PassesContext
300
344
Accurate passesContext
231
82%
Pass accuracyContext
77%
6.79
Team ratingContext
6.74
11.20
FoulsContext
11.90
13.60
Fouls sufferedContext
12.40
2.80
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
Rest5.3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km946 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Genclerbirligi
Rest4 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel230 km768 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Genclerbirligi |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 5.3Süper Lig 2025-2026, 14 Mar | 4Süper Lig 2025-2026, 15 Mar |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 230 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 946 km | 768 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 16.8 | 15.8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
18B. Kutlu
4A. Demirbağ
39A. Nagalo
23Y. Andzouana
77M. İbrahimoğlu
16M. Jevtović
10E. Bardhi
40J. Muleka
9D. Türüç
99B. Kramer
Genclerbirligi
Confirmed XI
24Ricardo Velho(G)
2T. da Silva
4Žan Žužek
6D. Goutas
13Pedro Pereira
15A. Dele-Bashiru
10M. Mimaroğlu
70F. Tongya
11G. Gürpüz
20A. Traoré
29M. Niang
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Genclerbirligi
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor+1.0 pp
- Draw-0.5 pp
- Genclerbirligi-0.5 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
1.15points per game · 13 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-6-4
- Scored
- 1.15
- Conceded
- 1.15
Genclerbirligi · Away
0.46points per game · 13 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-3-9
- Scored
- 0.69
- Conceded
- 1.38
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Konyaspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | W 2–1 AL 2–3 H | L 0–1 A |
| Kasimpasa | D 1–1 HD 1–1 A | D 0–0 A |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | L 0–2 AW 2–1 H | W 2–1 H |
| Galatasaray | W 2–0 HL 1–3 A | L 2–3 A |
| Alanyaspor | L 1–2 AL 1–2 H | D 0–0 AD 2–2 H |
| Goztepe | D 0–0 HD 1–1 A | L 0–1 A |
| Besiktas | L 1–2 AL 0–2 H | L 0–2 HW 2–1 A |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | D 1–1 AW 3–0 H | W 2–1 HL 1–2 A |
| Eyüpspor | D 1–1 HW 4–1 A | L 0–1 AW 1–0 H |
| Kayserispor | D 1–1 H | D 0–0 HD 1–1 A |
| Fenerbahce | L 0–4 A | L 1–3 AL 1–3 H |
| Rizespor | D 1–1 H | D 2–2 HL 0–1 A |
| Trabzonspor | L 1–3 A | W 4–3 H |
| Antalyaspor | D 0–0 H | L 1–2 AL 0–1 H |
| Fatih Karagümrük | L 0–2 A | W 3–0 H |
| Samsunspor | L 1–3 H | D 1–1 HL 1–2 A |
| Points | 24 of 75 · 0.96 per game | 25 of 75 · 1.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
1 Konyaspor wins0 draws0 Genclerbirligi wins
Goals per game2.00 – 1.00
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 26 Oct 2025Genclerbirligi1–2Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Genclerbirligi | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.15 | 1.08 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.50 | 1.38 | |
| Match goals | 2.65 | 2.46 | 2.55 |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 65% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 54% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 23% | |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 58% | 46% |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 19% | |
| Failed to score | 23% | 35% | |
| Games | 26 | 26 |
| Konyaspor | Genclerbirligi | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.10 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.10 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.10 | 2.60 | 2.55 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 46% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Genclerbirligi | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.04 | 4.16 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.65 | 5.36 | |
| Match total | 9.69 | 9.52 | 9.43 |
| Over 8.5 | 46% 12/26 | 68% 17/25 | |
| Over 9.5 | 46% 12/26 | 48% 12/25 | |
| Over 10.5 | 38% 10/26 | 44% 11/25 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.31 | 2.35 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.50 | 1.96 | |
| Match total | 4.81 | 4.31 | 4.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 69% 18/26 | 58% 15/26 | |
| Over 4.5 | 38% 10/26 | 46% 12/26 | |
| Konyaspor | Genclerbirligi | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.20 | 4.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.90 | 6.20 | |
| Match total | 9.10 | 10.30 | 9.43 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 4/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.80 | 2.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.90 | 1.70 | |
| Match total | 5.70 | 4.00 | 4.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 90% 9/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 60% 6/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Ali Yilmaz Türkiye · 18 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.17league 4.39
Red cards0.11league 0.21
Cards 5+50%league 44%
Fouls24.9league 26.0
Penalties0.28league 0.26
Home wins56%league 38%
Konyaspor1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.0
Pens for · against0 · 1
- L14 Feb 26A · Alanyaspor1–23
Genclerbirligi2 with this referee
Record1-0-1
Cards · opp.0.5 · 1.5
Pens for · against0 · 1
- W7 Dec 25H · Fatih Karagümrük3–01
- L9 Aug 25A · Samsunspor1–20
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor26 games · scored 30 · conceded 39
1
2
0-15
7
6
16-30
3
11
31-45
5
9
46-60
3
6
61-75
11
5
76-90
Genclerbirligi26 games · scored 28 · conceded 36
4
2
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
9
31-45
5
7
46-60
4
7
61-75
6
7
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 10 · conceded 11
0-15
2
16-30
4
31-45
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
6
3
76-90
Genclerbirligi10 games · scored 11 · conceded 15
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
61-75
1
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
