Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Goztepe were slight favourites.
Goztepe were the stronger side on L90 Strength (35 vs 16). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Konyaspor. Konyaspor had 7.9 days of rest, Goztepe 7.9 and had to travel 471 km.
Away travel471 kmRest days7.9 · 7.9Matches / 14d1 · 2
Konyaspor31%
Draw28%
Goztepe42%
Konyaspor29%
Draw27%
Goztepe44%
Konyaspor31%
Draw28%
Goztepe41%
Konyaspor25%
Draw27%
Goztepe49%
Konyaspor30%
Draw27%
Goztepe43%
Over 2.5 47%
Both score 52%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
RefereeYasin Kol
- Cards per match 5.6
- Penalties per match 0.32
- Matches 31
Team strength
Konyaspor
Goztepe
16
L90 StrengthIn forecast
35
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
29
13
AttackIn forecast
39
31
DefenceIn forecast
36
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGoztepe
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporGoztepe
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.35
1.65
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.60
1.19
xGVia Att/Def
1.14
1.48
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.01
+0.01
Goals minus xGContext
+0.21
80%
Scored inContext
80%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
55%
13.45
ShotsContext
13.35
4.15
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.84
31%
On target shareContext
35%
7.95
Shots in the boxContext
8.70
59%
Box shareContext
65%
9%
ConversionContext
10%
2.06
OffsidesContext
1.71
12.90
Shots allowedContext
12.10
4.37
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.47
3.26
BlocksContext
3.74
2.72
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.89
61%
Save rateContext
83%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
38%
400
PassesContext
242
330
Accurate passesContext
167
82%
Pass accuracyContext
69%
6.80
Team ratingContext
6.84
11.55
FoulsContext
17.05
13.05
Fouls sufferedContext
9.25
2.15
Yellow cardsContext
2.25
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
0.70
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
1.80
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.60
1.17
xGVia Att/Def
1.10
1.57
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.00
-0.47
Goals minus xGContext
+0.40
70%
Scored inContext
90%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
13.60
ShotsContext
13.90
3.70
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.11
27%
On target shareContext
33%
7.80
Shots in the boxContext
9.90
57%
Box shareContext
71%
5%
ConversionContext
11%
1.88
OffsidesContext
1.57
13.00
Shots allowedContext
12.50
4.89
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.67
3.50
BlocksContext
4.00
2.78
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
57%
Save rateContext
82%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
39%
422
PassesContext
243
349
Accurate passesContext
166
83%
Pass accuracyContext
68%
6.71
Team ratingContext
6.88
11.10
FoulsContext
17.80
12.90
Fouls sufferedContext
8.80
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
2.30
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
Rest7.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km926 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Goztepe
Rest7.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel471 km656 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Goztepe |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 31 Jan | 7.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 31 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 471 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 926 km | 656 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 2 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
12G. Sityá
4A. Demirbağ
5U. Yazğılı
70K. Olaigbe
10E. Bardhi
18B. Kutlu
77M. İbrahimoğlu
23Y. Andzouana
40J. Muleka
99B. Kramer
Goztepe
Confirmed XI
1M. Lis(G)
26M. Bokele
5Héliton
3Allan
15A. Cherni
30A. Dennis
20N. Miroshi
77O. Bayrak
10F. Krastev
9Juan
39Janderson
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.05 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Goztepe
Scores -0.03 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor-0.6 pp
- Draw-0.2 pp
- Goztepe+0.7 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
1.00points per game · 10 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-4-4
- Scored
- 1.20
- Conceded
- 1.40
Goztepe · Away
1.80points per game · 10 away games
- W-D-L
- 5-3-2
- Scored
- 1.30
- Conceded
- 0.70
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Konyaspor | Goztepe |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas | L 1–2 AL 0–2 H | W 3–0 H |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | D 1–1 AW 3–0 H | W 1–0 A |
| Eyüpspor | D 1–1 HW 4–1 A | D 0–0 A |
| Kayserispor | D 1–1 H | D 1–1 A |
| Fenerbahce | L 0–4 A | D 1–1 AD 0–0 H |
| Rizespor | D 1–1 H | W 3–1 HW 3–0 A |
| Trabzonspor | L 1–3 A | L 1–2 H |
| Antalyaspor | D 0–0 H | W 2–1 A |
| Fatih Karagümrük | L 0–2 A | W 2–1 HW 2–0 A |
| Samsunspor | L 1–3 H | W 2–0 H |
| Genclerbirligi | W 2–1 A | W 1–0 H |
| Kocaelispor | L 2–3 H | D 0–0 H |
| Kasimpasa | D 1–1 A | W 2–0 A |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | W 2–1 H | W 1–0 H |
| Galatasaray | L 1–3 A | L 1–3 A |
| Alanyaspor | L 1–2 H | L 0–1 A |
| Points | 18 of 57 · 0.95 per game | 38 of 57 · 2.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings
1 Konyaspor wins1 draws1 Goztepe wins
Goals per game0.67 – 1.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored33%
Clean sheets33% · 33%
- 29 Aug 2025Goztepe1–1Konyaspor
- 12 Apr 2025Konyaspor1–0Goztepe
- 10 Nov 2024Goztepe2–0Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Goztepe | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.20 | 1.35 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.65 | 0.60 | |
| Match goals | 2.85 | 1.95 | 2.55 |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 65% | |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 35% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 10% | |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 40% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 55% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | |
| Games | 20 | 20 |
| Konyaspor | Goztepe | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.70 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.80 | 0.60 | |
| Match goals | 2.50 | 2.10 | 2.55 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 10% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Goztepe | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.15 | 4.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.70 | 4.95 | |
| Match total | 9.85 | 9.55 | 9.36 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 10/20 | 65% 13/20 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 10/20 | 55% 11/20 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 8/20 | 35% 7/20 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.20 | 2.45 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.40 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 4.60 | 4.85 | 4.66 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 12/20 | 65% 13/20 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 6/20 | 45% 9/20 | |
| Konyaspor | Goztepe | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.60 | 4.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.10 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 8.70 | 9.60 | 9.36 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 4/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.10 | 2.40 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.30 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 4.40 | 4.80 | 4.66 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Yasin Kol 31 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards5.13league 4.40
Red cards0.42league 0.23
Cards 5+61%league 45%
Fouls27.0league 25.9
Penalties0.32league 0.26
Home wins35%league 36%
Konyaspor3 with this referee
Record0-1-2
Cards · opp.3.0 · 3.7
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L22 Sep 25A · Galatasaray1–30
- L16 Feb 25H · Samsunspor0–14
- D21 Sep 24H · Sivasspor0–05
Goztepe5 with this referee
Record2-3-0
Cards · opp.2.6 · 2.6
Pens for · against1 · 1
Reds2
- W21 Dec 25H · Samsunspor2–01
- W1 Nov 25H · Genclerbirligi1–00
- D16 Aug 25H · Fenerbahce0–07
- D16 Mar 25H · Eyüpspor1–14
- D10 Feb 25A · BB Bodrumspor0–01
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor20 games · scored 24 · conceded 33
1
2
0-15
6
6
16-30
3
9
31-45
5
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
7
4
76-90
Goztepe20 games · scored 27 · conceded 12
2
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
5
1
31-45
6
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
6
3
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 7 · conceded 18
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
7
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
Goztepe10 games · scored 15 · conceded 6
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
3
61-75
2
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
