Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir – 28 Sep 2025

Süper Lig Gameweek 7 Sun, Sep 28 · 15:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya

Konyaspor 10th · 7 pts · 5 played WWDLL

2–1Full time

Istanbul Basaksehir 11th · 6 pts · 5 played DDLWD

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Absences weigh more on Istanbul Basaksehir. Konyaspor had 5.9 days of rest, Istanbul Basaksehir 7 and had to travel 463 km.

Away travel463 kmRest days5.9 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 2

Konyaspor41%

Draw27%

Istanbul Basaksehir33%

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.30

Konyaspor40%

Draw27%

Istanbul Basaksehir33%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.27

Konyaspor40%

Draw27%

Istanbul Basaksehir33%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.30

Konyaspor33%

Draw27%

Istanbul Basaksehir40%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.45

Konyaspor41%

Draw27%

Istanbul Basaksehir32%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.26

Over 2.5 52% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Konya)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeOguzhan Cakir

Cards per match 3.2
Penalties per match 0.40
Matches 5

Team strength

Konyaspor

Istanbul Basaksehir

21 L90 StrengthIn forecast 26

18 Current StrengthIn forecast 36

13 AttackIn forecast 32

31 DefenceIn forecast 34

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Istanbul Basaksehir

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Konyaspor

Istanbul Basaksehir

2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.80

1.30 xGVia Att/Def 0.83

1.42 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.99

+0.70 Goals minus xGContext +0.17

100% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 40%

13.40 ShotsContext 9.80

4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.40

36% On target shareContext 35%

8.20 Shots in the boxContext 6.20

60% Box shareContext 62%

15% ConversionContext 10%

2.20 OffsidesContext 3.00

14.20 Shots allowedContext 12.00

4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.60

3.50 BlocksContext 3.00

3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.80

74% Save rateContext 78%

53% PossessionIn forecast 51%

396 PassesContext 396

322 Accurate passesContext 331

81% Pass accuracyContext 84%

7.01 Team ratingContext 6.86

11.40 FoulsContext 15.20

13.20 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.60

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 5 and 5 games

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10

1.49 xGVia Att/Def 0.83

1.14 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.99

+0.21 Goals minus xGContext +0.67

90% Scored inContext 90%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

14.00 ShotsContext 10.20

5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.50

36% On target shareContext 34%

9.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.20

59% Box shareContext 68%

12% ConversionContext 15%

2.11 OffsidesContext 2.60

12.40 Shots allowedContext 12.80

4.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.10

3.13 BlocksContext 3.10

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

70% Save rateContext 73%

51% PossessionIn forecast 55%

380 PassesContext 430

313 Accurate passesContext 361

82% Pass accuracyContext 84%

7.02 Team ratingContext 6.93

11.90 FoulsContext 12.80

12.10 Fouls sufferedContext 12.90

2.10 Yellow cardsContext 2.60

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor

Rest5.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km926 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Istanbul Basaksehir

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel463 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Konyaspor	Istanbul Basaksehir
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 22 Sep	7Süper Lig 2025-2026, 21 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	463 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	926 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 2	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	6.9	7.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

1D. Ertaş(G)

4A. Demirbağ 16M. Jevtović 5U. Yazğılı

12G. Sityá 10E. Bardhi 77M. İbrahimoğlu 23Y. Andzouana

40J. Muleka 18A. Ndao

22M. Nayir

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Istanbul Basaksehir Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

16M. Şengezer(G)

21C. Opéri 3J. Opoku 27O. Ba 36F. Ebosele

2B. Özdemir

77I. Brnić 25A. Harit 13Miguel Crespo 7Y. Sarı

14E. Shomurodov

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Konyaspor Absences are shown before kick-off

Istanbul Basaksehir Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Konyaspor+0.9 pp
Draw-0.2 pp
Istanbul Basaksehir-0.8 pp

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home 1.50points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.00

Istanbul Basaksehir · Away 1.50points per game · 2 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-1
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Konyaspor	Istanbul Basaksehir
Alanyaspor	L 1–2 H	D 1–1 H
Eyüpspor	W 4–1 A	D 0–0 H
Points	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game	2 of 6 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

2 Konyaspor wins0 draws2 Istanbul Basaksehir wins

Goals per game1.50 – 1.50 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets25% · 25%

5 Apr 2025Istanbul Basaksehir1–0Konyaspor
3 Nov 2024Konyaspor3–2Istanbul Basaksehir
28 Jan 2024Konyaspor2–3Istanbul Basaksehir
2 Sep 2023Istanbul Basaksehir0–1Konyaspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Konyaspor	Istanbul Basaksehir	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	1.00
Conceded per game	1.40	0.80
Match goals	3.40	1.80	2.76
Over 1.5	100%	80%
Over 2.5	80%	20%	52%
Over 3.5	40%	0%
Both teams scored	80%	60%	57%
Clean sheets	20%	40%
Failed to score	0%	20%
Games	5	5

	Konyaspor	Istanbul Basaksehir	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	1.00
Conceded per game	1.40	0.80
Match goals	3.40	1.80	2.76
Over 1.5	100%	80%
Over 2.5	80%	20%	52%
Over 3.5	40%	0%
Both teams scored	80%	60%	57%
Clean sheets	20%	40%
Failed to score	0%	20%
Games	5	5

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Konyaspor	Istanbul Basaksehir	League
Corners
Corners won	5.40	5.00
Corners conceded	4.80	5.40
Match total	10.20	10.40	9.61
Over 8.5	60% 3/5	80% 4/5
Over 9.5	60% 3/5	60% 3/5
Over 10.5	40% 2/5	60% 3/5
Cards
Cards	2.20	2.80
Opponent cards	2.20	2.80
Match total	4.40	5.60	4.78
Over 3.5	60% 3/5	80% 4/5
Over 4.5	40% 2/5	60% 3/5

	Konyaspor	Istanbul Basaksehir	League
Corners
Corners won	4.89	4.50
Corners conceded	4.56	5.80
Match total	9.45	10.30	9.61
Over 8.5	44% 4/9	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	22% 2/9	60% 6/10
Cards
Cards	2.30	2.80
Opponent cards	2.80	2.70
Match total	5.10	5.50	4.78
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Oguzhan Cakir Türkiye · 5 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.00league 4.55

Red cards0.20league 0.25

Cards 5+20%league 50%

Fouls21.8league 26.5

Penalties0.40league 0.25

Home wins60%league 36%

Konyaspor1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.0.0 · 4.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L31 May 25A · Fenerbahce1–20

Istanbul Basaksehir

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.