Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Konyaspor
15th · 4 pts · 6 played
LLLWD
0–0Full time
Istanbul Basaksehir
14th · 7 pts · 6 played
LDLLW
Our take
It was too close to call.
Istanbul Basaksehir were the stronger side on L90 Strength (35 vs 19). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Konyaspor. Konyaspor had 22.7 days of rest, Istanbul Basaksehir 21.7 and had to travel 463 km.
Away travel463 kmRest days22.7 · 21.7Matches / 14d0 · 0
Konyaspor36%
Draw24%
Istanbul Basaksehir39%
Konyaspor32%
Draw26%
Istanbul Basaksehir42%
Konyaspor36%
Draw24%
Istanbul Basaksehir39%
Konyaspor29%
Draw24%
Istanbul Basaksehir47%
Konyaspor37%
Draw24%
Istanbul Basaksehir39%
Over 2.5 57%
Both score 60%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
RefereeBatuhan Kolak
- Cards per match 4.6
- Penalties per match 0.36
- Matches 22
Team strength
KonyasporIstanbul Basaksehir
19
L90 StrengthIn forecast
35
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
36
13
AttackIn forecast
32
31
DefenceIn forecast
35
18
Form indexContext
17
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisIstanbul Basaksehir
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporIstanbul Basaksehir
0.67
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.67
1.33
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.83
1.16
xGVia Att/Def
1.54
1.18
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.66
-0.49
Goals minus xGContext
+0.13
50%
Scored inContext
83%
33%
Clean sheetsContext
33%
11.67
ShotsContext
12.83
4.20
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.33
30%
On target shareContext
34%
8.00
Shots in the boxContext
7.33
69%
Box shareContext
56%
6%
ConversionContext
13%
2.33
OffsidesContext
2.00
14.33
Shots allowedContext
12.67
5.17
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.20
4.00
BlocksContext
3.50
4.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.40
77%
Save rateContext
65%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
395
PassesContext
474
327
Accurate passesContext
406
83%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.77
Team ratingContext
6.73
13.17
FoulsContext
12.67
12.17
Fouls sufferedContext
12.00
2.67
Yellow cardsContext
2.50
0.17
Red cardsContext
0.17
0.90
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.00
1.70
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
1.12
xGVia Att/Def
1.81
1.49
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.27
-0.22
Goals minus xGContext
+0.19
60%
Scored inContext
90%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
11.70
ShotsContext
13.20
4.11
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.80
32%
On target shareContext
36%
7.90
Shots in the boxContext
8.80
68%
Box shareContext
66%
8%
ConversionContext
15%
1.86
OffsidesContext
2.00
15.80
Shots allowedContext
12.20
6.10
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.78
4.10
BlocksContext
3.78
4.40
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.33
72%
Save rateContext
70%
46%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
376
PassesContext
455
308
Accurate passesContext
390
82%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.74
Team ratingContext
6.85
13.40
FoulsContext
12.30
10.50
Fouls sufferedContext
11.80
2.60
Yellow cardsContext
2.40
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
LLLWD
Rest22.7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 18 · 4 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · -1.3 vs expected
Istanbul Basaksehir
LDLLW
Rest21.7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel463 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.5 for an average club · -3.4 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Istanbul Basaksehir |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 22.7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 18 Sep | 21.7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 19 Sep |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 463 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 1 | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.1 | 7.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
26A. Masuaku
4A. Demirbağ
22R. Baniya
5U. Yazğılı
77M. İbrahimoğlu
8M. Jevtović
7Diogo Gonçalves
66R. Tóth
9D. Türüç
11J. Muleka
Istanbul Basaksehir
Confirmed XI
16M. Şengezer(G)
38S. Kharebashvili
27O. Ba
23E. Bayram
33M. Karbownik
20U. Güneş
8O. Kemen
77I. Brnić
14E. Shomurodov
70A. Skov Olsen
91B. Yıldırım
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Istanbul Basaksehir
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor-0.1 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Istanbul Basaksehir+0.1 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
1.00points per game · 3 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-2
- Scored
- 0.67
- Conceded
- 1.00
Istanbul Basaksehir · Away
0.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-2
- Scored
- 0.50
- Conceded
- 3.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 3 this season
| Opponent | Konyaspor | Istanbul Basaksehir |
|---|---|---|
| Kasimpasa | D 0–0 A | D 1–1 H |
| Trabzonspor | W 1–0 H | L 1–2 A |
| Kocaelispor | L 1–2 H | W 2–0 H |
| Points | 4 of 9 · 1.33 per game | 4 of 9 · 1.33 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings
3 Konyaspor wins0 draws3 Istanbul Basaksehir wins
Goals per game1.33 – 1.50
Over 2.550%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets17% · 33%
- 27 Feb 2026Istanbul Basaksehir2–0Konyaspor
- 28 Sep 2025Konyaspor2–1Istanbul Basaksehir
- 5 Apr 2025Istanbul Basaksehir1–0Konyaspor
- 3 Nov 2024Konyaspor3–2Istanbul Basaksehir
- 28 Jan 2024Konyaspor2–3Istanbul Basaksehir
- 2 Sep 2023Istanbul Basaksehir0–1Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Istanbul Basaksehir | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.67 | 1.67 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.83 | |
| Match goals | 2.00 | 3.50 | 2.98 |
| Over 1.5 | 33% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 33% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 17% | |
| Games | 6 | 6 |
| Konyaspor | Istanbul Basaksehir | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.90 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.70 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.98 |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 80% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 10% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Istanbul Basaksehir | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.50 | 4.33 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.67 | 3.83 | |
| Match total | 8.17 | 8.16 | 9.13 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 3/6 | 50% 3/6 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 2/6 | 33% 2/6 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/6 | 17% 1/6 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.83 | 2.67 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.33 | 1.83 | |
| Match total | 5.16 | 4.50 | 4.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 83% 5/6 | 67% 4/6 | |
| Over 4.5 | 83% 5/6 | 33% 2/6 | |
| Konyaspor | Istanbul Basaksehir | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.20 | 3.70 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.50 | 4.60 | |
| Match total | 7.70 | 8.30 | 9.13 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 10% 1/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.80 | 2.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.60 | 1.90 | |
| Match total | 4.40 | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Batuhan Kolak 22 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.32league 4.03
Red cards0.23league 0.19
Cards 5+36%league 44%
Fouls26.1league 24.8
Penalties0.36league 0.34
Home wins36%league 46%
Konyaspor2 with this referee
Record1-0-1
Cards · opp.3.5 · 2.5
Pens for · against1 · 0
- L31 Jan 26A · Besiktas1–26
- W10 Aug 25A · Eyüpspor4–11
Istanbul Basaksehir3 with this referee
Record2-0-1
Cards · opp.1.3 · 1.0
Pens for · against2 · 0
Reds1
- L14 Mar 26A · Galatasaray0–32
- W24 Jan 26A · Kayserispor3–00
- W31 Oct 25H · Kocaelispor1–02
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor6 games · scored 4 · conceded 8
2
1
0-15
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
Istanbul Basaksehir6 games · scored 10 · conceded 11
2
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
3
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 9 · conceded 17
2
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
61-75
2
3
76-90
Istanbul Basaksehir10 games · scored 20 · conceded 15
5
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
5
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
