Konyaspor vs Kasimpasa – 8 Mar 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 25 Sun, Mar 8 · 13:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya

Konyaspor 14th · 23 pts · 24 played LDLWL

1–1Full time

Kasimpasa 16th · 20 pts · 24 played LLWDL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Konyaspor were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Konyaspor. Konyaspor had 8.8 days of rest, Kasimpasa 8.1 and had to travel 463 km.

Away travel463 kmRest days8.8 · 8.1Matches / 14d1 · 2

Konyaspor49%

Draw27%

Kasimpasa24%

Expected goals 1.49 – 0.96

Konyaspor45%

Draw27%

Kasimpasa28%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.16

Konyaspor49%

Draw28%

Kasimpasa23%

Expected goals 1.48 – 0.94

Konyaspor42%

Draw29%

Kasimpasa30%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.08

Konyaspor48%

Draw28%

Kasimpasa24%

Expected goals 1.48 – 0.96

Over 2.5 44% Both score 49% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Konya)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeUmit Ozturk

Cards per match 3.9
Penalties per match 0.25
Matches 8

Team strength

Konyaspor

Kasimpasa

17 L90 StrengthIn forecast 16

18 Current StrengthIn forecast 23

13 AttackIn forecast 21

31 DefenceIn forecast 32

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Kasimpasa

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Konyaspor

Kasimpasa

1.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.83

1.54 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.46

1.15 xGVia Att/Def 0.80

1.41 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.16

-0.02 Goals minus xGContext +0.03

75% Scored inContext 58%

17% Clean sheetsContext 21%

12.88 ShotsContext 9.79

3.88 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.95

30% On target shareContext 26%

7.58 Shots in the boxContext 6.00

59% Box shareContext 59%

9% ConversionContext 9%

2.35 OffsidesContext 1.95

12.50 Shots allowedContext 11.83

4.17 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00

3.13 BlocksContext 3.59

2.64 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.95

62% Save rateContext 69%

53% PossessionIn forecast 45%

399 PassesContext 334

328 Accurate passesContext 261

82% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.77 Team ratingContext 6.71

11.63 FoulsContext 15.38

12.75 Fouls sufferedContext 12.75

2.21 Yellow cardsContext 2.29

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.04

This league season, per match · 24 and 24 games

0.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.60

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.14 xGVia Att/Def 0.73

1.37 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.00

-0.34 Goals minus xGContext -0.13

70% Scored inContext 40%

20% Clean sheetsContext 30%

11.90 ShotsContext 7.80

3.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.75

27% On target shareContext 28%

7.10 Shots in the boxContext 5.00

59% Box shareContext 59%

7% ConversionContext 8%

2.75 OffsidesContext 2.00

12.70 Shots allowedContext 11.70

4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50

3.00 BlocksContext 4.11

2.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.44

67% Save rateContext 67%

53% PossessionIn forecast 44%

409 PassesContext 340

336 Accurate passesContext 265

82% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.70 Team ratingContext 6.67

11.10 FoulsContext 16.60

12.30 Fouls sufferedContext 13.20

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor

Rest8.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km926 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Kasimpasa

Rest8.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel463 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Konyaspor	Kasimpasa
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8.8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 27 Feb	8.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 28 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	463 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	926 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 4	0 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	5.9	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13B. Güngördü(G)

24A. Boşluk 4A. Demirbağ 5U. Yazğılı 23Y. Andzouana

18B. Kutlu 77M. İbrahimoğlu

70K. Olaigbe 42M. Bjørlo 9D. Türüç

40J. Muleka

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

Kasimpasa Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1A. Gianniotis(G)

21G. Frimpong 20N. Opoku 50Rodrigo Becão 2C. Winck Neto

71İ. Kahveci 16A. Baldursson

19A. Benedyczak 12A. Ben Ouanes 34F. Diabaté

77P. Guèye

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Konyaspor Scores -0.03 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Kasimpasa Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Konyaspor-0.2 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Kasimpasa+0.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home 1.17points per game · 12 home games

W-D-L: 3-5-4
Scored: 1.17
Conceded: 1.17

Kasimpasa · Away 1.00points per game · 12 away games

W-D-L: 3-3-6
Scored: 0.92
Conceded: 1.42

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 16 this season

Opponent	Konyaspor	Kasimpasa
Istanbul Basaksehir	L 0–2 AW 2–1 H	L 1–3 H
Galatasaray	W 2–0 HL 1–3 A	L 0–3 A
Alanyaspor	L 1–2 AL 1–2 H	W 2–1 A
Goztepe	D 0–0 HD 1–1 A	L 0–2 H
Besiktas	L 1–2 AL 0–2 H	D 1–1 H
Gazişehir Gaziantep	D 1–1 AW 3–0 H	L 1–2 AL 2–3 H
Eyüpspor	D 1–1 HW 4–1 A	L 0–2 A
Kayserispor	D 1–1 H	L 2–3 A
Fenerbahce	L 0–4 A	D 1–1 AD 1–1 H
Rizespor	D 1–1 H	L 0–3 HW 2–1 A
Trabzonspor	L 1–3 A	L 1–2 AL 0–1 H
Antalyaspor	D 0–0 H	D 0–0 HL 1–2 A
Fatih Karagümrük	L 0–2 A	W 3–2 HW 1–0 A
Samsunspor	L 1–3 H	L 0–1 HD 0–0 A
Genclerbirligi	W 2–1 A	D 0–0 H
Kocaelispor	L 2–3 H	D 0–0 A
Points	22 of 69 · 0.96 per game	19 of 69 · 0.83 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

3 Konyaspor wins2 draws0 Kasimpasa wins

Goals per game2.20 – 1.20 Over 2.540% Both scored60% Clean sheets40% · 0%

5 Oct 2025Kasimpasa1–1Konyaspor
19 Jan 2025Konyaspor3–3Kasimpasa
10 Aug 2024Kasimpasa2–3Konyaspor
13 Apr 2024Kasimpasa0–2Konyaspor
25 Nov 2023Konyaspor2–0Kasimpasa

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Konyaspor	Kasimpasa	Forecast
Scored per game	1.13	0.83
Conceded per game	1.54	1.46
Match goals	2.67	2.29	2.46
Over 1.5	92%	71%
Over 2.5	50%	46%	44%
Over 3.5	25%	17%
Both teams scored	67%	54%	49%
Clean sheets	17%	21%
Failed to score	25%	42%
Games	24	24

	Konyaspor	Kasimpasa	Forecast
Scored per game	0.80	0.60
Conceded per game	1.40	1.40
Match goals	2.20	2.00	2.46
Over 1.5	90%	60%
Over 2.5	30%	50%	44%
Over 3.5	10%	10%
Both teams scored	60%	40%	49%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	30%	60%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Konyaspor	Kasimpasa	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	4.50
Corners conceded	4.58	4.64
Match total	9.58	9.14	9.35
Over 8.5	46% 11/24	50% 11/22
Over 9.5	46% 11/24	36% 8/22
Over 10.5	38% 9/24	23% 5/22
Cards
Cards	2.25	2.46
Opponent cards	2.46	2.21
Match total	4.71	4.67	4.66
Over 3.5	67% 16/24	71% 17/24
Over 4.5	38% 9/24	38% 9/24

	Konyaspor	Kasimpasa	League
Corners
Corners won	3.80	3.60
Corners conceded	4.30	4.10
Match total	8.10	7.70	9.35
Over 8.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	20% 2/10
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	10% 1/10
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.70
Opponent cards	2.70	2.10
Match total	5.20	4.80	4.66
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Umit Ozturk Türkiye · 8 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.75league 4.43

Red cards0.13league 0.21

Cards 5+50%league 45%

Fouls23.8league 26.0

Penalties0.25league 0.25

Home wins13%league 38%

Konyaspor1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against1 · 0

D6 Dec 25H · Rizespor1–11

Kasimpasa

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.