Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Konyaspor were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Konyaspor had 4.8 days of rest, Kayserispor 6.9 and had to travel 279 km.
Away travel279 kmRest days4.8 · 6.9Matches / 14d2 · 2
Konyaspor46%
Draw26%
Kayserispor28%
Konyaspor45%
Draw27%
Kayserispor29%
Konyaspor45%
Draw27%
Kayserispor28%
Konyaspor38%
Draw27%
Kayserispor35%
Konyaspor45%
Draw26%
Kayserispor29%
Over 2.5 52%
Both score 56%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
RefereeÖmer Tolga Güldibi
- Cards per match 4.8
- Penalties per match 0.25
- Matches 4
Team strength
Konyaspor
Kayserispor
17
L90 StrengthIn forecast
16
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
13
13
AttackIn forecast
16
31
DefenceIn forecast
17
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKayserispor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporKayserispor
1.25
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.94
1.75
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
1.15
xGVia Att/Def
0.95
1.50
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.45
+0.10
Goals minus xGContext
-0.01
75%
Scored inContext
69%
13%
Clean sheetsContext
13%
13.56
ShotsContext
11.06
4.31
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
32%
On target shareContext
36%
7.75
Shots in the boxContext
6.00
58%
Box shareContext
54%
9%
ConversionContext
9%
2.00
OffsidesContext
2.08
12.44
Shots allowedContext
13.25
4.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.38
3.07
BlocksContext
3.42
2.57
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.38
57%
Save rateContext
71%
52%
PossessionIn forecast
48%
392
PassesContext
354
323
Accurate passesContext
284
82%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.78
Team ratingContext
6.68
11.50
FoulsContext
12.94
13.13
Fouls sufferedContext
13.06
1.94
Yellow cardsContext
2.56
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.06
0.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.10
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
1.09
xGVia Att/Def
1.15
1.53
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.48
-0.29
Goals minus xGContext
-0.05
60%
Scored inContext
70%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
13.70
ShotsContext
12.00
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.50
29%
On target shareContext
38%
7.50
Shots in the boxContext
6.60
56%
Box shareContext
53%
6%
ConversionContext
9%
1.86
OffsidesContext
2.25
11.20
Shots allowedContext
13.30
4.33
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.80
3.00
BlocksContext
4.43
2.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.43
44%
Save rateContext
74%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
49%
406
PassesContext
362
339
Accurate passesContext
294
83%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.66
Team ratingContext
6.72
11.20
FoulsContext
13.30
13.70
Fouls sufferedContext
13.40
1.80
Yellow cardsContext
2.50
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
Rest4.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km926 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Kayserispor
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel279 km1,225 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Kayserispor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 4.8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 15 Dec | 6.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 13 Dec |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 279 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 926 km | 1,225 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 30.1 | 30.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
12G. Sityá
3K. Subaşı
5U. Yazğılı
23Y. Andzouana
21J. Jo
8Pedrinho
10E. Bardhi
42M. Bjørlo
40J. Muleka
22M. Nayir
Kayserispor
Confirmed XI
25B. Bayazıt(G)
28R. Civelek
4S. Denswil
15Y. Ait Bennasser
30A. Opoku
8L. Bénes
33F. Soyalp
7Miguel Cardoso
10João Mendes
20Carlos Mané
9G. Onugkha
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Kayserispor
Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor+0.5 pp
- Draw-0.3 pp
- Kayserispor-0.2 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
1.00points per game · 8 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-2-4
- Scored
- 1.25
- Conceded
- 1.50
Kayserispor · Away
1.00points per game · 8 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-5-2
- Scored
- 1.13
- Conceded
- 1.75
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Konyaspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce | L 0–4 A | L 2–4 A |
| Rizespor | D 1–1 H | W 1–0 A |
| Trabzonspor | L 1–3 A | L 0–4 A |
| Antalyaspor | D 0–0 H | D 1–1 A |
| Fatih Karagümrük | L 0–2 A | D 2–2 A |
| Samsunspor | L 1–3 H | L 1–3 H |
| Genclerbirligi | W 2–1 A | D 1–1 H |
| Besiktas | L 0–2 H | L 0–4 H |
| Kocaelispor | L 2–3 H | D 1–1 A |
| Kasimpasa | D 1–1 A | W 3–2 H |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | W 2–1 H | D 1–1 A |
| Galatasaray | L 1–3 A | L 0–4 H |
| Alanyaspor | L 1–2 H | D 0–0 H |
| Goztepe | D 1–1 A | D 1–1 H |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | W 3–0 H | L 0–3 H |
| Eyüpspor | W 4–1 A | D 1–1 A |
| Points | 16 of 48 · 1.00 per game | 14 of 48 · 0.88 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
1 Konyaspor wins2 draws1 Kayserispor wins
Goals per game1.50 – 1.25
Over 2.550%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets50% · 25%
- 8 Feb 2025Kayserispor3–2Konyaspor
- 31 Aug 2024Konyaspor0–0Kayserispor
- 18 May 2024Kayserispor2–2Konyaspor
- 24 Dec 2023Konyaspor2–0Kayserispor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Kayserispor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.25 | 0.94 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.94 | 2.76 |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 88% | |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 44% | |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 63% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 13% | |
| Failed to score | 25% | 31% | |
| Games | 16 | 16 |
| Konyaspor | Kayserispor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.80 | 1.10 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.76 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Kayserispor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.56 | 4.36 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.50 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 10.06 | 9.36 | 9.43 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 8/16 | 64% 9/14 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 8/16 | 43% 6/14 | |
| Over 10.5 | 44% 7/16 | 29% 4/14 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 2.63 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.25 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 4.25 | 4.63 | 4.72 |
| Over 3.5 | 56% 9/16 | 75% 12/16 | |
| Over 4.5 | 25% 4/16 | 50% 8/16 | |
| Konyaspor | Kayserispor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.00 | 3.75 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.70 | 4.63 | |
| Match total | 9.70 | 8.38 | 9.43 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 4/10 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 13% 1/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.80 | 2.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.50 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 4.30 | 4.60 | 4.72 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Ömer Tolga Güldibi 4 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.75league 4.46
Red cards0.00league 0.26
Cards 5+50%league 48%
Fouls30.0league 25.9
Penalties0.25league 0.27
Home wins50%league 34%
KonyasporNo previous matches with this referee.
KayserisporNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor16 games · scored 20 · conceded 28
1
2
0-15
5
6
16-30
3
7
31-45
5
6
46-60
1
5
61-75
5
2
76-90
Kayserispor16 games · scored 15 · conceded 32
1
2
0-15
3
16-30
1
9
31-45
3
7
46-60
5
5
61-75
5
6
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 8 · conceded 20
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
6
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
1
1
76-90
Kayserispor10 games · scored 11 · conceded 20
1
1
0-15
3
16-30
1
5
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
5
61-75
3
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
