Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Konyaspor were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Konyaspor had 6.9 days of rest, Kocaelispor 4.9 and had to travel 473 km.
Away travel473 kmRest days6.9 · 4.9Matches / 14d2 · 2
Konyaspor43%
Draw26%
Kocaelispor31%
Konyaspor43%
Draw26%
Kocaelispor31%
Konyaspor43%
Draw26%
Kocaelispor31%
Konyaspor36%
Draw26%
Kocaelispor38%
Konyaspor43%
Draw26%
Kocaelispor31%
Over 2.5 50%
Both score 54%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeGurcan Hasova
- Cards per match 5.4
- Penalties per match 0.63
- Matches 8
Team strength
Konyaspor
Kocaelispor
19
L90 StrengthIn forecast
20
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
22
13
AttackIn forecast
16
31
DefenceIn forecast
32
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKocaelispor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporKocaelispor
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
2.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.39
xGVia Att/Def
0.87
1.94
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.28
-0.39
Goals minus xGContext
+0.13
50%
Scored inContext
50%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
12.00
ShotsContext
9.50
5.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.50
46%
On target shareContext
37%
8.50
Shots in the boxContext
5.00
75%
Box shareContext
51%
8%
ConversionContext
11%
—
OffsidesContext
2.00
17.00
Shots allowedContext
14.50
7.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.00
4.50
BlocksContext
5.00
4.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.00
64%
Save rateContext
67%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
47%
411
PassesContext
419
353
Accurate passesContext
341
86%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.72
Team ratingContext
6.90
11.00
FoulsContext
11.50
11.00
Fouls sufferedContext
15.00
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.50
1.60
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.30
1.33
xGVia Att/Def
0.70
1.57
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.99
+0.17
Goals minus xGContext
-0.20
80%
Scored inContext
40%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
11.10
ShotsContext
8.80
4.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.13
41%
On target shareContext
19%
7.60
Shots in the boxContext
5.80
69%
Box shareContext
66%
14%
ConversionContext
6%
1.38
OffsidesContext
2.44
15.00
Shots allowedContext
11.30
6.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.50
4.22
BlocksContext
3.30
4.20
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.44
70%
Save rateContext
65%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
52%
364
PassesContext
391
297
Accurate passesContext
319
82%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.82
Team ratingContext
6.69
13.60
FoulsContext
13.00
9.40
Fouls sufferedContext
14.80
2.50
Yellow cardsContext
1.90
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
LL
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km926 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 0 pts vs 3.1 for an average club · -2.0 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Kocaelispor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 22 Aug | 4.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 24 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 473 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 926 km | 394 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 2 | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.9 | 8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
1D. Ertaş(G)
17Y. Andzouana
4A. Demirbağ
15C. Awaziem
5U. Yazğılı
8M. Jevtović
77M. İbrahimoğlu
19E. Colley
7Diogo Gonçalves
9D. Türüç
11J. Muleka
Kocaelispor
Confirmed XI
83S. Öztaşdelen(G)
21M. Haïdara
6M. Maglica
4B. Zoukrou
2A. Dijksteel
14Show
32M. Baku
20Mahamadou Susoho
10B. Kutlu
11G. Sousa
7Daniel Agyei
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Kocaelispor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Kocaelispor+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
0.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Kocaelispor · Away
0.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
1 Konyaspor wins0 draws1 Kocaelispor wins
Goals per game2.00 – 2.00
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 14 Mar 2026Kocaelispor1–2Konyaspor
- 18 Oct 2025Konyaspor2–3Kocaelispor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Kocaelispor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.50 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.50 | 2.00 | 2.66 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 50% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Konyaspor | Kocaelispor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 0.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.60 | 1.30 | |
| Match goals | 3.10 | 1.80 | 2.66 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 60% | |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 10% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 10% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 30% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 60% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Kocaelispor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.00 | 2.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 7.00 | 7.50 | |
| Match total | 9.00 | 10.00 | 9.59 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 1/2 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 1/2 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/2 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 1/2 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Konyaspor | Kocaelispor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.40 | 2.44 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 4.44 | |
| Match total | 8.40 | 6.88 | 9.59 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 5/10 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 2/10 | 0% 0/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.70 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.20 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.90 | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Gurcan Hasova Türkiye · 8 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards5.25league 3.00
Red cards0.13league 0.16
Cards 5+75%league 32%
Fouls24.0league 25.6
Penalties0.63league 0.37
Home wins50%league 42%
KonyasporNo previous matches with this referee.
Kocaelispor2 with this referee
Record2-0-0
Cards · opp.2.5 · 3.0
Pens for · against1 · 0
- W9 Mar 26A · Eyüpspor1–02
- W19 Dec 25H · Antalyaspor2–13
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor2 games · scored 2 · conceded 5
1
1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
1
76-90
Kocaelispor2 games · scored 2 · conceded 2
1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 15 · conceded 16
1
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
61-75
6
2
76-90
Kocaelispor10 games · scored 5 · conceded 13
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
31-45
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
