Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Konyaspor were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Absences weigh more on Konyaspor. Konyaspor had 6.9 days of rest, Rizespor 7.1 and had to travel 773 km.
Away travel773 kmRest days6.9 · 7.1Matches / 14d2 · 2
Konyaspor41%
Draw27%
Rizespor32%
Konyaspor42%
Draw27%
Rizespor31%
Konyaspor42%
Draw27%
Rizespor31%
Konyaspor34%
Draw27%
Rizespor39%
Konyaspor41%
Draw27%
Rizespor32%
Over 2.5 52%
Both score 56%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeUmit Ozturk
- Cards per match 4.3
- Penalties per match 0.17
- Matches 6
Team strength
Konyaspor
Rizespor
17
L90 StrengthIn forecast
19
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
22
13
AttackIn forecast
22
31
DefenceIn forecast
35
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisRizespor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporRizespor
1.36
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.14
1.64
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.57
1.16
xGVia Att/Def
1.23
1.43
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.31
+0.20
Goals minus xGContext
-0.09
79%
Scored inContext
71%
14%
Clean sheetsContext
29%
13.57
ShotsContext
11.50
4.36
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.93
32%
On target shareContext
26%
7.93
Shots in the boxContext
6.50
58%
Box shareContext
54%
10%
ConversionContext
10%
2.08
OffsidesContext
2.27
12.36
Shots allowedContext
14.21
4.15
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.54
3.23
BlocksContext
4.23
2.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.17
59%
Save rateContext
71%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
50%
392
PassesContext
393
322
Accurate passesContext
323
82%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.83
Team ratingContext
6.76
12.00
FoulsContext
14.29
13.07
Fouls sufferedContext
12.14
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.71
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.40
1.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.60
1.07
xGVia Att/Def
1.22
1.42
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.36
-0.07
Goals minus xGContext
+0.18
70%
Scored inContext
80%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
13.60
ShotsContext
11.80
4.20
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.80
31%
On target shareContext
24%
7.50
Shots in the boxContext
5.90
55%
Box shareContext
47%
7%
ConversionContext
12%
2.13
OffsidesContext
2.43
11.50
Shots allowedContext
14.30
4.22
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.22
3.00
BlocksContext
4.89
2.13
Goalkeeper savesContext
5.00
49%
Save rateContext
74%
52%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
387
PassesContext
403
320
Accurate passesContext
332
83%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.72
Team ratingContext
6.74
11.80
FoulsContext
14.60
13.50
Fouls sufferedContext
11.10
1.70
Yellow cardsContext
2.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,425 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Rizespor
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel773 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Rizespor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 29 Nov | 7.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 29 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 773 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,425 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 3 | 0 / 2 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 9.1 | 6.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
12G. Sityá
3K. Subaşı
5U. Yazğılı
23Y. Andzouana
21J. Jo
8Pedrinho
42M. Bjørlo
77M. İbrahimoğlu
10E. Bardhi
22M. Nayir
Rizespor
Confirmed XI
75Y. Fofana(G)
50L. Augusto
5C. Højer
3S. Akaydin
2K. Alikulov
37M. Şahin
10I. Olawoyin
6G. Papanikolaou
20Q. Laçi
9A. Sowe
19J. Rak-Sakyi
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Scores -0.05 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Rizespor
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor-0.9 pp
- Draw-0.1 pp
- Rizespor+1.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
1.00points per game · 7 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-1-4
- Scored
- 1.29
- Conceded
- 1.57
Rizespor · Away
1.17points per game · 6 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-4-1
- Scored
- 1.67
- Conceded
- 1.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 12 this season
| Opponent | Konyaspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | L 1–3 A | L 1–2 H |
| Antalyaspor | D 0–0 H | W 5–2 A |
| Fatih Karagümrük | L 0–2 A | W 1–0 H |
| Samsunspor | L 1–3 H | D 1–1 A |
| Genclerbirligi | W 2–1 A | W 1–0 H |
| Kocaelispor | L 2–3 H | D 1–1 A |
| Kasimpasa | D 1–1 A | L 1–2 H |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | W 2–1 H | D 0–0 H |
| Galatasaray | L 1–3 A | L 1–3 A |
| Alanyaspor | L 1–2 H | D 0–0 A |
| Goztepe | D 1–1 A | L 0–3 H |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | W 3–0 H | D 2–2 A |
| Points | 12 of 36 · 1.00 per game | 14 of 36 · 1.17 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
1 Konyaspor wins2 draws1 Rizespor wins
Goals per game1.00 – 1.00
Over 2.550%
Both scored75%
Clean sheets25% · 25%
- 10 May 2025Konyaspor2–1Rizespor
- 14 Dec 2024Rizespor1–1Konyaspor
- 3 Feb 2024Rizespor0–0Konyaspor
- 16 Sep 2023Konyaspor1–2Rizespor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Rizespor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.36 | 1.14 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.64 | 1.57 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.71 | 2.75 |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 64% | |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 29% | |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 57% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 29% | |
| Failed to score | 21% | 29% | |
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Konyaspor | Rizespor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.90 | 1.60 | |
| Match goals | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Rizespor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.86 | 3.17 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.79 | 5.25 | |
| Match total | 10.65 | 8.42 | 9.48 |
| Over 8.5 | 57% 8/14 | 50% 6/12 | |
| Over 9.5 | 57% 8/14 | 33% 4/12 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 7/14 | 17% 2/12 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.07 | 2.79 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.29 | 1.64 | |
| Match total | 4.36 | 4.43 | 4.76 |
| Over 3.5 | 57% 8/14 | 64% 9/14 | |
| Over 4.5 | 29% 4/14 | 43% 6/14 | |
| Konyaspor | Rizespor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.10 | 3.63 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.70 | 5.38 | |
| Match total | 10.80 | 9.01 | 9.48 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 63% 5/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 60% 6/10 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 5/10 | 13% 1/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.80 | 2.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.20 | 1.80 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 4.50 | 4.76 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Umit Ozturk Türkiye · 6 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.17league 4.48
Red cards0.17league 0.27
Cards 5+67%league 48%
Fouls23.8league 26.2
Penalties0.17league 0.27
Home wins17%league 36%
KonyasporNo previous matches with this referee.
Rizespor2 with this referee
Record1-1-0
Cards · opp.2.0 · 2.0
Pens for · against0 · 1
- D21 Sep 25A · Kocaelispor1–14
- W20 Apr 25H · Eyüpspor1–00
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor14 games · scored 19 · conceded 23
1
2
0-15
5
4
16-30
3
5
31-45
5
6
46-60
5
61-75
5
1
76-90
Rizespor14 games · scored 16 · conceded 22
4
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
7
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 10 · conceded 19
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
61-75
2
76-90
Rizespor10 games · scored 14 · conceded 16
4
4
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
61-75
3
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
