Süper Lig Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 15 · 17:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya
Konyaspor
0–1Full time
Rizespor
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Konyaspor were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Konyaspor had 90.1 days of rest, Rizespor 92 and had to travel 773 km.

Away travel773 kmRest days90.1 · 92Matches / 14d0 · 0
Konyaspor43%
Draw25%
Rizespor32%
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.31
Konyaspor43%
Draw26%
Rizespor31%
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.22
Konyaspor43%
Draw25%
Rizespor32%
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.31
Konyaspor36%
Draw25%
Rizespor39%
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.47
Konyaspor43%
Draw25%
Rizespor32%
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.31
Over 2.5 55% Both score 58% Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeCihan Aydin
  • Cards per match 4.4
  • Penalties per match 0.41
  • Matches 22

Team strength

KonyasporRizespor
21 L90 StrengthIn forecast 22
18 Current StrengthIn forecast 22
13 AttackIn forecast 22
31 DefenceIn forecast 35
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Rizespor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KonyasporRizespor
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70
1.52 xGVia Att/Def 1.42
1.43 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.35
+0.08 Goals minus xGContext +0.08
90% Scored inContext 70%
30% Clean sheetsContext 10%
11.60 ShotsContext 13.30
4.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.40
38% On target shareContext 33%
7.70 Shots in the boxContext 8.10
66% Box shareContext 61%
14% ConversionContext 11%
1.25 OffsidesContext 1.57
13.20 Shots allowedContext 12.70
5.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.80
3.56 BlocksContext 3.50
3.60 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.30
71% Save rateContext 69%
48% PossessionIn forecast 52%
373 PassesContext 396
300 Accurate passesContext 328
80% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.85 Team ratingContext 6.81
13.10 FoulsContext 13.20
11.20 Fouls sufferedContext 13.50
2.70 Yellow cardsContext 2.10
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor
Rest90.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Rizespor
Rest92 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel773 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Konyaspor Rizespor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match90.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 17 May92Süper Lig 2025-2026, 15 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km773 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 00 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one7.17

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Confirmed XI
4-1-4-1
13B. Güngördü(G)
3A. Boşluk 4A. Demirbağ 15C. Awaziem 17Y. Andzouana
5U. Yazğılı
19E. Colley 7Diogo Gonçalves 77M. İbrahimoğlu 9D. Türüç
11J. Muleka
Rizespor Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
75Y. Fofana(G)
17Z. Ariss 93M. Sagnan 4A. Mocsi 54M. Pala
14T. Antalyalı 20Q. Laçi
23A. Kutucu 8D. Varešanović 11A. Awokoya-Mebude
9A. Sowe

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Konyaspor Absences are shown before kick-off
Rizespor Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Konyaspor+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Rizespor+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home No home games yet this season.
Rizespor · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

1 Konyaspor wins3 draws2 Rizespor wins
Goals per game1.17 – 1.33 Over 2.550% Both scored83% Clean sheets17% · 17%
  • 1 May 2026Rizespor3–2Konyaspor
  • 6 Dec 2025Konyaspor1–1Rizespor
  • 10 May 2025Konyaspor2–1Rizespor
  • 14 Dec 2024Rizespor1–1Konyaspor
  • 3 Feb 2024Rizespor0–0Konyaspor
  • 16 Sep 2023Konyaspor1–2Rizespor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Referee · Cihan Aydin Türkiye · 22 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.18league 1.00
Red cards0.23league 1.00
Cards 5+36%league 0%
Fouls26.3league 17.0
Penalties0.41league 0.00
Home wins32%league 0%
Konyaspor2 with this referee
Record1-0-1 Cards · opp.1.5 · 4.0 Pens for · against2 · 0 Reds1
  • W14 Mar 26A · Kocaelispor2–11
  • L2 May 25A · Antalyaspor0–12
Rizespor3 with this referee
Record0-1-2 Cards · opp.2.3 · 1.7 Pens for · against0 · 0
  • L20 Dec 25A · Besiktas0–13
  • L29 Nov 25H · Kayserispor0–12
  • D27 Oct 25A · Samsunspor1–12

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Konyaspor
No complete event data.
Rizespor
No complete event data.
Konyaspor10 games · scored 16 · conceded 13
1 0-15
5 1 16-30
2 2 31-45
2 4 46-60
4 61-75
7 1 76-90
Rizespor10 games · scored 15 · conceded 17
1 0-15
2 4 16-30
4 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
2 1 61-75
3 8 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.