Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Trabzonspor were slight favourites.
Trabzonspor were the stronger side on L90 Strength (49 vs 22). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Konyaspor. Konyaspor had 10 days of rest, Trabzonspor 8 and had to travel 713 km.
Away travel713 kmRest days10 · 8Matches / 14d1 · 1
Konyaspor30%
Draw26%
Trabzonspor43%
Konyaspor27%
Draw26%
Trabzonspor47%
Konyaspor32%
Draw27%
Trabzonspor42%
Konyaspor24%
Draw25%
Trabzonspor51%
Konyaspor30%
Draw27%
Trabzonspor43%
Over 2.5 52%
Both score 56%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeHalil Umut Meler
- Cards per match 4.7
- Penalties per match 0.34
- Matches 35
Team strength
Konyaspor
Trabzonspor
22
L90 StrengthIn forecast
49
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
46
13
AttackIn forecast
54
31
DefenceIn forecast
48
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisTrabzonspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporTrabzonspor
1.27
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.90
1.37
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.07
1.28
xGVia Att/Def
1.46
1.35
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.20
-0.01
Goals minus xGContext
+0.44
80%
Scored inContext
93%
23%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
12.60
ShotsContext
14.73
4.03
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.17
32%
On target shareContext
35%
7.60
Shots in the boxContext
9.31
60%
Box shareContext
62%
10%
ConversionContext
13%
2.13
OffsidesContext
2.21
12.00
Shots allowedContext
12.87
4.03
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
3.11
BlocksContext
3.61
2.64
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.29
65%
Save rateContext
78%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
397
PassesContext
438
325
Accurate passesContext
379
82%
Pass accuracyContext
87%
6.81
Team ratingContext
7.00
11.83
FoulsContext
11.77
12.87
Fouls sufferedContext
13.03
2.33
Yellow cardsContext
1.50
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.90
0.80
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.90
1.47
xGVia Att/Def
1.54
1.10
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.97
-0.07
Goals minus xGContext
+0.36
80%
Scored inContext
100%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
10.90
ShotsContext
13.70
3.80
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.60
35%
On target shareContext
34%
6.90
Shots in the boxContext
9.00
62%
Box shareContext
66%
13%
ConversionContext
14%
2.25
OffsidesContext
1.89
10.20
Shots allowedContext
12.00
3.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.33
2.78
BlocksContext
3.10
2.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.75
74%
Save rateContext
82%
52%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
392
PassesContext
462
316
Accurate passesContext
405
81%
Pass accuracyContext
88%
6.82
Team ratingContext
7.04
12.40
FoulsContext
11.30
12.50
Fouls sufferedContext
11.40
2.70
Yellow cardsContext
1.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
Rest10 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km382 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Trabzonspor
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel713 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Trabzonspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 10Süper Lig 2025-2026, 17 Apr | 8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 19 Apr |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 713 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 382 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 3.9 | 5 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
1D. Ertaş(G)
18B. Kutlu
4A. Demirbağ
39A. Nagalo
5U. Yazğılı
16M. Jevtović
77M. İbrahimoğlu
70K. Olaigbe
10E. Bardhi
9D. Türüç
40J. Muleka
Trabzonspor
Confirmed XI
24A. Onana(G)
19M. Eskihellaç
14M. Løvik
27Chibuike Nwaiwu
20Wagner Pina
42Christ Inao Oulaï
26Tim Jabol-Folcarelli
9A. Nwakaeme
10E. Muçi
22O. Zubkov
30E. Onuachu
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Scores -0.05 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Trabzonspor
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor-1.5 pp
- Draw-0.1 pp
- Trabzonspor+1.6 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
1.40points per game · 15 home games
- W-D-L
- 5-6-4
- Scored
- 1.27
- Conceded
- 1.00
Trabzonspor · Away
2.20points per game · 15 away games
- W-D-L
- 10-3-2
- Scored
- 1.93
- Conceded
- 1.20
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Konyaspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor | W 2–0 AD 0–0 H | D 1–1 AW 1–0 H |
| Fatih Karagümrük | W 3–0 HL 0–2 A | W 3–1 HW 4–3 A |
| Samsunspor | D 2–2 AL 1–3 H | W 3–0 AD 1–1 H |
| Genclerbirligi | W 1–0 HW 2–1 A | L 3–4 A |
| Kocaelispor | W 2–1 AL 2–3 H | W 2–1 AW 1–0 H |
| Kasimpasa | D 1–1 HD 1–1 A | W 2–1 HW 1–0 A |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | L 0–2 AW 2–1 H | D 1–1 HW 4–3 A |
| Galatasaray | W 2–0 HL 1–3 A | W 2–1 HD 0–0 A |
| Alanyaspor | L 1–2 AL 1–2 H | D 1–1 AD 1–1 H |
| Goztepe | D 0–0 HD 1–1 A | W 2–1 A |
| Besiktas | L 1–2 AL 0–2 H | D 3–3 H |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | D 1–1 AW 3–0 H | W 2–1 AD 1–1 H |
| Eyüpspor | D 1–1 HW 4–1 A | W 1–0 AW 2–0 H |
| Kayserispor | D 1–1 H | W 3–1 AW 4–0 H |
| Fenerbahce | L 0–4 A | L 2–3 HL 0–1 A |
| Rizespor | D 1–1 H | W 1–0 HW 2–1 A |
| Points | 37 of 87 · 1.28 per game | 62 of 87 · 2.14 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings
1 Konyaspor wins0 draws4 Trabzonspor wins
Goals per game1.20 – 2.20
Over 2.580%
Both scored80%
Clean sheets20% · 0%
- 29 Nov 2025Trabzonspor3–1Konyaspor
- 3 Mar 2025Konyaspor1–0Trabzonspor
- 29 Sep 2024Trabzonspor3–2Konyaspor
- 3 Apr 2024Konyaspor1–3Trabzonspor
- 10 Nov 2023Trabzonspor2–1Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Trabzonspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.27 | 1.90 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.37 | 1.07 | |
| Match goals | 2.63 | 2.97 | 2.76 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 53% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 67% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 23% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 7% | |
| Games | 30 | 30 |
| Konyaspor | Trabzonspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.40 | 1.90 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.80 | 0.90 | |
| Match goals | 2.20 | 2.80 | 2.76 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Trabzonspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.80 | 4.93 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.87 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 9.67 | 9.93 | 9.40 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 15/30 | 64% 18/28 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 15/30 | 54% 15/28 | |
| Over 10.5 | 37% 11/30 | 43% 12/28 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.40 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.37 | 2.43 | |
| Match total | 4.77 | 4.03 | 4.68 |
| Over 3.5 | 67% 20/30 | 50% 15/30 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 12/30 | 27% 8/30 | |
| Konyaspor | Trabzonspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.10 | 5.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.20 | 6.10 | |
| Match total | 9.30 | 11.20 | 9.40 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 5/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.80 | 1.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.30 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 5.10 | 3.60 | 4.68 |
| Over 3.5 | 80% 8/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 60% 6/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Halil Umut Meler Türkiye · 35 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.46league 4.46
Red cards0.26league 0.22
Cards 5+49%league 46%
Fouls23.9league 26.1
Penalties0.34league 0.29
Home wins29%league 41%
Konyaspor4 with this referee
Record2-1-1
Cards · opp.3.3 · 2.3
Pens for · against1 · 1
Reds1
- D5 Apr 26A · Samsunspor2–24
- W26 Oct 25A · Genclerbirligi2–13
- L13 Sep 25H · Alanyaspor1–25
- W18 Apr 25A · Hatayspor3–21
Trabzonspor5 with this referee
Record2-1-2
Cards · opp.1.8 · 3.2
Pens for · against2 · 1
- L14 Feb 26H · Fenerbahce2–34
- L22 Dec 25A · Genclerbirligi3–42
- W24 Nov 25A · Istanbul Basaksehir4–31
- W18 Oct 25A · Rizespor2–10
- D5 May 25A · Kasimpasa1–12
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor30 games · scored 38 · conceded 41
1
2
0-15
10
6
16-30
3
12
31-45
6
9
46-60
3
7
61-75
15
5
76-90
Trabzonspor30 games · scored 57 · conceded 32
6
2
0-15
8
9
16-30
10
7
31-45
15
4
46-60
7
3
61-75
11
7
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 14 · conceded 8
0-15
4
16-30
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
8
1
76-90
Trabzonspor10 games · scored 19 · conceded 9
2
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
