Konyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Trabzonspor were slight favourites.
Trabzonspor were the stronger side on L90 Strength (40 vs 17). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Konyaspor. Konyaspor had 7.1 days of rest, Trabzonspor 6 and had to travel 713 km.
Away travel713 kmRest days7.1 · 6Matches / 14d1 · 2
Konyaspor33%
Draw23%
Trabzonspor44%
Konyaspor28%
Draw25%
Trabzonspor46%
Konyaspor32%
Draw23%
Trabzonspor45%
Konyaspor26%
Draw22%
Trabzonspor52%
Konyaspor33%
Draw24%
Trabzonspor43%
Over 2.5 61%
Both score 62%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeResat Onur Coskunses
- Cards per match 4.2
- Penalties per match 0.00
- Matches 6
Team strength
Konyaspor
Trabzonspor
17
L90 StrengthIn forecast
40
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
46
13
AttackIn forecast
54
31
DefenceIn forecast
48
8
Form indexContext
47
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisTrabzonspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KonyasporTrabzonspor
0.75
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.25
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.21
xGVia Att/Def
1.32
1.55
xG allowedVia Att/Def
2.07
-0.46
Goals minus xGContext
+0.93
50%
Scored inContext
100%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
25%
12.00
ShotsContext
15.50
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
7.75
25%
On target shareContext
50%
8.25
Shots in the boxContext
11.00
70%
Box shareContext
71%
6%
ConversionContext
15%
—
OffsidesContext
3.00
15.25
Shots allowedContext
13.00
6.25
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.25
4.25
BlocksContext
1.75
4.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.25
72%
Save rateContext
81%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
434
PassesContext
472
369
Accurate passesContext
408
85%
Pass accuracyContext
87%
6.67
Team ratingContext
7.10
12.25
FoulsContext
11.00
11.75
Fouls sufferedContext
16.25
2.25
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.25
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.30
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.30
1.70
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.60
1.15
xGVia Att/Def
1.14
1.60
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.77
+0.15
Goals minus xGContext
+0.16
70%
Scored inContext
70%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
11.20
ShotsContext
14.38
4.22
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.00
34%
On target shareContext
42%
7.50
Shots in the boxContext
9.75
67%
Box shareContext
68%
12%
ConversionContext
11%
1.43
OffsidesContext
3.00
15.60
Shots allowedContext
14.00
6.30
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.75
3.90
BlocksContext
3.00
4.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.50
71%
Save rateContext
74%
47%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
385
PassesContext
444
316
Accurate passesContext
383
82%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.74
Team ratingContext
6.99
13.80
FoulsContext
10.50
9.50
Fouls sufferedContext
15.40
2.50
Yellow cardsContext
1.90
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.20
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Konyaspor
LLLL
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,587 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Form 8 · 0 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · -4.6 vs expected
Trabzonspor
DWLW
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel713 km693 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 47 · 7 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Konyaspor |
Trabzonspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 5 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.1Süper Lig 2026-2027, 5 Sep | 6Süper Lig 2026-2027, 6 Sep |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 713 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,587 km | 693 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
26A. Masuaku
4A. Demirbağ
22R. Baniya
5U. Yazğılı
77M. İbrahimoğlu
8M. Jevtović
7Diogo Gonçalves
66R. Tóth
9D. Türüç
11J. Muleka
Trabzonspor
Confirmed XI
24A. Onana(G)
19M. Eskihellaç
15S. Savić
27Chibuike Nwaiwu
20Wagner Pina
7E. Muçi
6Fabinho
11O. Tufan
58D. Şimşir
30E. Onuachu
10Mohamed Salah
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Konyaspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Trabzonspor
Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Konyaspor+1.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Trabzonspor-1.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Konyaspor · Home
0.00points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-2
- Scored
- 0.50
- Conceded
- 1.50
Trabzonspor · Away
0.50points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-1-1
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings
2 Konyaspor wins0 draws4 Trabzonspor wins
Goals per game1.33 – 2.00
Over 2.583%
Both scored83%
Clean sheets17% · 0%
- 27 Apr 2026Konyaspor2–1Trabzonspor
- 29 Nov 2025Trabzonspor3–1Konyaspor
- 3 Mar 2025Konyaspor1–0Trabzonspor
- 29 Sep 2024Trabzonspor3–2Konyaspor
- 3 Apr 2024Konyaspor1–3Trabzonspor
- 10 Nov 2023Trabzonspor2–1Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Konyaspor | Trabzonspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.75 | 2.25 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.75 | 3.25 | 3.14 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 75% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 25% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Konyaspor | Trabzonspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.30 | 1.30 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.70 | 1.60 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.90 | 3.14 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Konyaspor | Trabzonspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.00 | 6.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.50 | 2.25 | |
| Match total | 7.50 | 8.75 | 9.31 |
| Over 8.5 | 25% 1/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 9.5 | 25% 1/4 | 25% 1/4 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/4 | 25% 1/4 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 4.50 | 5.00 | 3.71 |
| Over 3.5 | 75% 3/4 | 75% 3/4 | |
| Over 4.5 | 75% 3/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Konyaspor | Trabzonspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.90 | 5.40 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.70 | 4.20 | |
| Match total | 7.60 | 9.60 | 9.31 |
| Over 8.5 | 30% 3/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 2/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.70 | 2.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.40 | 2.80 | |
| Match total | 4.10 | 5.10 | 3.71 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Resat Onur Coskunses Türkiye · 6 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.83league 3.54
Red cards0.33league 0.18
Cards 5+33%league 36%
Fouls27.7league 26.1
Penalties0.00league 0.36
Home wins50%league 44%
KonyasporNo previous matches with this referee.
TrabzonsporNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Konyaspor4 games · scored 3 · conceded 8
1
1
0-15
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
Trabzonspor4 games · scored 9 · conceded 4
4
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
61-75
1
1
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 13 · conceded 17
1
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
61-75
4
3
76-90
Trabzonspor10 games · scored 13 · conceded 16
5
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
5
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
61-75
3
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
