Lask Linz
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round
Play-off round Tue, Aug 25 · 20:00
Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,513 kmRest days6 · 6Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Lask Linz—%
Draw—%
Celtic—%
Weather (Linz)
No weather data yet
RefereeSzymon Marciniak
- Cards per match 4.2
- Penalties per match 0.34
- Matches 79
Team strength
Lask Linz
Celtic
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
37
Current StrengthIn forecast
52
48
AttackIn forecast
74
34
DefenceIn forecast
50
—
Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisCeltic
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Lask LinzCeltic
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
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—
Team ratingContext
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—
FoulsContext
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—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
—
2.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.60
1.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.80
1.83
xGVia Att/Def
2.25
0.98
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.78
+0.57
Goals minus xGContext
+0.35
90%
Scored inContext
100%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
15.60
ShotsContext
16.40
5.90
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.20
38%
On target shareContext
38%
10.20
Shots in the boxContext
9.90
65%
Box shareContext
57%
15%
ConversionContext
16%
1.88
OffsidesContext
1.83
9.10
Shots allowedContext
10.20
2.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.40
2.44
BlocksContext
2.89
1.86
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.78
52%
Save rateContext
76%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
61%
357
PassesContext
563
287
Accurate passesContext
485
80%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.97
Team ratingContext
7.11
9.90
FoulsContext
12.00
9.20
Fouls sufferedContext
9.30
1.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Lask Linz
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km3,026 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
Celtic
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,513 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Lask Linz |
Celtic |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 10 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round, 19 Aug | 6UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round, 19 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,513 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 3,026 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 1 | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 13.9 | 3.8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Lask Linz
Confirmed XI
1L. Jungwirth(G)
16A. Andrade
43Alemão
4X. Mbuyamba
2G. Bello
30S. Horvath
6M. Bogarde
10R. Ljubičić
20Kasper Jørgensen
7S. Adeniran
8M. Usor
Celtic
Confirmed XI
1V. Sinisalo(G)
63K. Tierney
6A. Trusty
20C. Carter-Vickers
51C. Donovan
22M. Baur
42C. McGregor
13H. Yang
8E. Nygren
11Camilo Duran
9K. Høgh
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Lask Linz
Absences are shown before kick-off
Celtic
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
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Home / Away this season
Lask Linz · Home
No home games yet this season.
Celtic · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 Lask Linz wins0 draws1 Celtic wins
Goals per game0.00 – 3.00
Over 2.5100%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets0% · 100%
- 19 Aug 2026Celtic3–0Lask Linz
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Lask Linz | Celtic | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 3.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 3.00 | 0.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 100% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| Lask Linz | Celtic | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 2.10 | |
| Conceded per game | 3.00 | 1.60 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.70 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 80% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 60% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 60% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 10% | |
| Games | 1 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Lask Linz | Celtic | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.00 | 8.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 8.00 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 11.00 | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.00 | 0.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 0.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match total | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Lask Linz | Celtic | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.11 | 5.89 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.22 | 4.33 | |
| Match total | 9.33 | 10.22 | 9.00 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 5/9 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 44% 4/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.20 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.40 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 2.60 | 4.20 | 2.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 20% 2/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 10% 1/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Szymon Marciniak 79 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.05league 2.63
Red cards0.13league 0.25
Cards 5+43%league 13%
Fouls23.9league 23.4
Penalties0.34league 0.13
Home wins54%league 38%
Lask LinzNo previous matches with this referee.
CelticNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Lask Linz1 games · scored 0 · conceded 3
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
Celtic1 games · scored 3 · conceded 0
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
Lask Linz10 games · scored 24 · conceded 15
6
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
4
76-90
Celtic10 games · scored 26 · conceded 8
3
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
7
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
5
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.