LE Havre vs Angers – 12 Sep 2026

Ligue 1 Gameweek 4 Sat, Sep 12 · 19:45 Stade Océane, Le Havre

LE Havre 16th · 1 pts · 3 played LDL

0–0Full time

Angers 12th · 3 pts · 3 played LWL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

LE Havre were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Angers. LE Havre had 7 days of rest, Angers 6.1 and had to travel 230 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel230 kmRest days7 · 6.1Matches / 14d2 · 2

LE Havre45%

Draw25%

Angers30%

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.22

LE Havre47%

Draw25%

Angers28%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.15

LE Havre45%

Draw25%

Angers30%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.21

LE Havre37%

Draw26%

Angers37%

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.37

LE Havre45%

Draw25%

Angers30%

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.26

Over 2.5 52% Both score 56% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Le Havre)

19°CMainly clear

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 12 km/h
Humidity 74%

RefereeRuddy Buquet

Cards per match 4.1
Penalties per match 0.33
Matches 80

Team strength

LE Havre

Angers

23 L90 StrengthIn forecast 20

20 Current StrengthIn forecast 19

20 AttackIn forecast 22

22 DefenceIn forecast 12

22 Form indexContext 37

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

LE Havre

Attack—

Defense risk—

Angers

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

LE Havre

Angers

0.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.33

1.33 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.67

0.63 xGVia Att/Def 1.82

1.55 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.27

+0.04 Goals minus xGContext -0.49

67% Scored inContext 67%

0% Clean sheetsContext 0%

15.00 ShotsContext 17.33

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.67

27% On target shareContext 21%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 11.67

66% Box shareContext 68%

4% ConversionContext 8%

2.33 OffsidesContext 1.50

16.33 Shots allowedContext 15.67

7.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.67

3.67 BlocksContext 3.67

5.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.67

81% Save rateContext 85%

50% PossessionIn forecast 47%

403 PassesContext 393

329 Accurate passesContext 325

82% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.75 Team ratingContext 6.90

14.67 FoulsContext 8.67

12.33 Fouls sufferedContext 14.67

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.67

0.33 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 3 and 3 games

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90

1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

1.11 xGVia Att/Def 1.13

1.47 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.48

+0.09 Goals minus xGContext -0.23

80% Scored inContext 70%

10% Clean sheetsContext 10%

11.20 ShotsContext 10.80

4.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.10

37% On target shareContext 29%

8.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.56

66% Box shareContext 63%

11% ConversionContext 8%

2.60 OffsidesContext 2.13

13.70 Shots allowedContext 15.40

5.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.60

3.50 BlocksContext 3.00

4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.20

81% Save rateContext 79%

48% PossessionIn forecast 40%

373 PassesContext 347

304 Accurate passesContext 283

81% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.83 Team ratingContext 6.75

15.00 FoulsContext 10.10

14.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.90

2.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.70

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

LE Havre LDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,102 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 22 · 1 pts vs 4.5 for an average club · -2.1 vs expected

L5 SepH · Stade Brestois 291–21.4 xPts
D29 AugA · Lyon1–10.7 xPts
L23 AugH · Monaco0–11.1 xPts

Angers LWL

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel230 km622 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 37 · 3 pts vs 4.5 for an average club · +0.1 vs expected

L6 SepH · Rennes1–21.1 xPts
W29 AugA · Auxerre3–11.0 xPts
L23 AugH · Lille0–20.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	LE Havre	Angers
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Ligue 1 2026-2027, 5 Sep	6.1Ligue 1 2026-2027, 6 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	230 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,102 km	622 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	1 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

LE Havre Confirmed XI

4-3-3

93G. Gallon(G)

20D. Ouziad 5A. Touba 15A. Seko 12E. Jelert

7M. Richardson 26S. Ebonog 17K. Mizuta

25M. Samatta 9J. Maja 30S. Nakamura

+8 more reported missing outside this XI

Angers Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1A. Lopes(G)

17Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa 21J. Lefort 4O. Camara 2C. Arcus

8B. van den Boomen 14Y. Belkhdim

10M. Sbaï 36Bané Diatta 18J. Allevinah

19A. El Ouazzani

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

LE Havre Absences are shown before kick-off

Angers Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

LE Havre-0.6 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Angers+0.6 pp

Home / Away this season

LE Havre · Home 0.00points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-2
Scored: 0.50
Conceded: 1.50

Angers · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

1 LE Havre wins2 draws1 Angers wins

Goals per game1.00 – 1.00 Over 2.525% Both scored75% Clean sheets0% · 25%

18 Apr 2026Angers1–1LE Havre
4 Jan 2026LE Havre2–1Angers
2 Feb 2025Angers1–1LE Havre
1 Dec 2024LE Havre0–1Angers

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	LE Havre	Angers	Forecast
Scored per game	0.67	1.33
Conceded per game	1.33	1.67
Match goals	2.00	3.00	2.77
Over 1.5	67%	100%
Over 2.5	33%	67%	52%
Over 3.5	0%	33%
Both teams scored	67%	67%	56%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	33%	33%
Games	3	3

	LE Havre	Angers	Forecast
Scored per game	1.20	0.90
Conceded per game	1.30	1.60
Match goals	2.50	2.50	2.77
Over 1.5	80%	90%
Over 2.5	20%	50%	52%
Over 3.5	10%	20%
Both teams scored	70%	70%	56%
Clean sheets	10%	10%
Failed to score	20%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	LE Havre	Angers	League
Corners
Corners won	5.67	10.00
Corners conceded	4.67	5.33
Match total	10.34	15.33	10.33
Over 8.5	100% 3/3	100% 3/3
Over 9.5	100% 3/3	100% 3/3
Over 10.5	33% 1/3	100% 3/3
Cards
Cards	2.33	1.67
Opponent cards	1.00	2.00
Match total	3.33	3.67	3.13
Over 3.5	33% 1/3	67% 2/3
Over 4.5	33% 1/3	33% 1/3

	LE Havre	Angers	League
Corners
Corners won	4.22	5.78
Corners conceded	5.44	5.67
Match total	9.66	11.45	10.33
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	22% 2/9	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	2.50	1.80
Opponent cards	1.40	1.80
Match total	3.90	3.60	3.13
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Ruddy Buquet 80 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.76league 2.97

Red cards0.38league 0.14

Cards 5+39%league 17%

Fouls23.6league 22.8

Penalties0.33league 0.41

Home wins43%league 28%

LE Havre2 with this referee

Record0-1-1 Cards · opp.0.5 · 1.0 Pens for · against1 · 0

D7 Dec 25H · Paris FC0–00
L16 Aug 25A · Monaco1–31

Angers4 with this referee

Record0-3-1 Cards · opp.2.0 · 2.3 Pens for · against0 · 0

D5 Apr 26H · Lyon0–03
L17 Jan 26H · Marseille2–51
D14 Aug 22A · Auxerre2–23
D22 Sep 21H · Marseille0–01

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.