UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 Qualifying rounds Thu, Aug 6 · 18:00 Enea Stadion, Poznań
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,768 kmRest days8 · ?Matches / 14d1 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Lech Poznan—%
Draw—%
KI Klaksvik—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Poznań)

No weather data yet

RefereeOrel Grinfeld
  • Cards per match 2.5
  • Penalties per match 0.00
  • Matches 2

Team strength

Lech PoznanKI Klaksvik
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
34 Current StrengthIn forecast 5
35 AttackIn forecast 5
23 DefenceIn forecast 6
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lech Poznan

Attack—
Defense risk—

KI Klaksvik

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Lech PoznanKI Klaksvik
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30
1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
1.78 xGVia Att/Def —
1.02 xG allowedVia Att/Def —
+0.22 Goals minus xGContext —
80% Scored inContext 70%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
17.90 ShotsContext —
6.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
35% On target shareContext —
11.80 Shots in the boxContext —
65% Box shareContext —
11% ConversionContext —
1.43 OffsidesContext —
9.90 Shots allowedContext —
3.67 On target allowedVia Att/Def —
2.50 BlocksContext —
2.11 Goalkeeper savesContext —
59% Save rateContext —
57% PossessionIn forecast —
470 PassesContext —
399 Accurate passesContext —
85% Pass accuracyContext —
6.92 Team ratingContext —
10.10 FoulsContext —
12.10 Fouls sufferedContext —
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.40
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lech Poznan
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
KI Klaksvik
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel1,768 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Lech Poznan KI Klaksvik
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match8UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 29 Jul—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,768 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 20 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one88

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Lech Poznan Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
1M. Lis(G)
15M. Gurgul 27W. Mońka 59T. Yegbe 2Joel Pereira
22R. Murawski 43A. Kozubal
17A. Sayyadmanesh 21Pablo Rodríguez 10J. Wålemark
9M. Ishak
KI Klaksvik Confirmed XI
3-4-3
96M. Jensen(G)
2G. Tellechea 26G. Rólantsson 5D. Pavlović
36Jean Carlos 28O. Ali 4M. Sinyan 23J. Danielsen
17F. Brattbakk 9P. Klettskarð 7Á. Frederiksberg

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Lech Poznan Absences are shown before kick-off
KI Klaksvik Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Lech Poznan · Home No home games yet this season.
KI Klaksvik · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Referee · Orel Grinfeld 2 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards2.50league 3.47
Red cards0.00league 0.17
Cards 5+0%league 33%
Fouls26.0league 31.0
Penalties0.00league 0.19
Home wins50%league 47%
Lech Poznan

No previous matches with this referee.

KI Klaksvik

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Lech Poznan
No complete event data.
KI Klaksvik
No complete event data.
Lech Poznan9 games · scored 20 · conceded 9
1 1 0-15
4 16-30
6 1 31-45
4 4 46-60
4 61-75
1 3 76-90
KI Klaksvik10 games · scored 13 · conceded 10
2 1 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
4 2 46-60
3 61-75
1 6 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.