Levante
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Real Betis were slight favourites.
Real Betis were the stronger side on L90 Strength (64 vs 43). Real Betis usually keep the ball (50% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Levante had 15.9 days of rest, Real Betis 13.9 and had to travel 540 km.
Away travel540 kmRest days15.9 · 13.9Matches / 14d0 · 1
Levante30%
Draw29%
Real Betis41%
Levante31%
Draw27%
Real Betis42%
Levante30%
Draw29%
Real Betis41%
Levante24%
Draw28%
Real Betis48%
Levante31%
Draw27%
Real Betis42%
Over 2.5 42%
Both score 48%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Valencia)
No weather data yet
Referee · SpainAlejandro Muñiz Ruiz
- Cards per match 5.2
- Penalties per match 0.42
- Matches 26
Team strength
Levante
Real Betis
43
L90 StrengthIn forecast
64
48
Current StrengthIn forecast
72
55
AttackIn forecast
79
41
DefenceIn forecast
59
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisReal Betis
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
LevanteReal Betis
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
2.33
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.24
xGVia Att/Def
1.19
1.42
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.94
-0.24
Goals minus xGContext
-0.19
67%
Scored inContext
100%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
25%
8.67
ShotsContext
11.00
3.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.25
35%
On target shareContext
30%
4.50
Shots in the boxContext
6.25
51%
Box shareContext
56%
12%
ConversionContext
9%
3.33
OffsidesContext
2.33
19.00
Shots allowedContext
11.50
6.33
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.50
5.33
BlocksContext
2.25
4.67
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.75
74%
Save rateContext
83%
29%
PossessionIn forecast
47%
236
PassesContext
453
165
Accurate passesContext
387
70%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.58
Team ratingContext
6.89
13.33
FoulsContext
10.75
12.00
Fouls sufferedContext
14.50
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.25
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.90
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.20
2.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.80
1.24
xGVia Att/Def
1.16
1.42
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.57
+0.66
Goals minus xGContext
+0.04
80%
Scored inContext
100%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
14.30
ShotsContext
13.10
4.90
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.50
34%
On target shareContext
34%
9.22
Shots in the boxContext
8.00
61%
Box shareContext
57%
13%
ConversionContext
9%
2.63
OffsidesContext
2.14
16.50
Shots allowedContext
14.50
6.20
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.60
3.50
BlocksContext
3.40
4.56
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.70
67%
Save rateContext
66%
44%
PossessionIn forecast
47%
347
PassesContext
452
269
Accurate passesContext
387
78%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.72
Team ratingContext
6.90
12.60
FoulsContext
11.80
10.60
Fouls sufferedContext
12.80
2.60
Yellow cardsContext
1.90
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Levante
Rest15.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Real Betis
Rest13.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel540 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Levante |
Real Betis |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 15.9La Liga 2025-2026, 29 Aug | 13.9La Liga 2025-2026, 31 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 540 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 1 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 5.9 | 5.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Levante
Confirmed XI
13M. Ryan(G)
23Manu Sánchez
2M. Moreno
5Unai Elguezabal
22J. Toljan
8Jon Ander Olasagasti
10Pablo Martínez
20Oriol Rey
24Carlos Álvarez
21E. Eyong
9Iván Romero
Real Betis
Confirmed XI
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
23J. Firpo
16Valentín Gómez
4Natan
2Héctor Bellerín
6Sergi Altimira
8Pablo Fornals
17Rodrigo Riquelme
18Nelson Alexander Deossa Suarez
7Antony
19C. Hernández
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Levante
Absences are shown before kick-off
Real Betis
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Levante+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Real Betis+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Levante · Home
0.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 3.00
Real Betis · Away
1.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-2-0
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 2 this season
| Opponent | Levante | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Elche | L 0–2 A | D 1–1 A |
| Alaves | L 1–2 A | W 1–0 H |
| Points | 0 of 6 · 0.00 per game | 4 of 6 · 2.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
1 Levante wins0 draws3 Real Betis wins
Goals per game1.75 – 3.00
Over 2.575%
Both scored75%
Clean sheets0% · 25%
- 13 Feb 2022Levante2–4Real Betis
- 28 Nov 2021Real Betis3–1Levante
- 19 Mar 2021Real Betis2–0Levante
- 29 Dec 2020Levante4–3Real Betis
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Levante | Real Betis | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.33 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.33 | 2.00 | 2.37 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 25% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 75% | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 25% | |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% | |
| Games | 3 | 4 |
| Levante | Real Betis | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.33 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.33 | 2.00 | 2.37 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 25% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 75% | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 25% | |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% | |
| Games | 3 | 4 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Levante | Real Betis | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 1.50 | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 7.00 | 5.50 | |
| Match total | 8.50 | 9.50 | 9.40 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.25 | |
| Opponent cards | 0.67 | 2.25 | |
| Match total | 2.67 | 3.50 | 4.03 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% 1/3 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/3 | 25% 1/4 | |
| Levante | Real Betis | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.56 | 4.90 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.11 | 6.10 | |
| Match total | 10.67 | 11.00 | 9.40 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 6/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 6/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 56% 5/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.60 | 1.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.90 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 5.50 | 4.40 | 4.03 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz Spain · 26 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.88league 3.73
Red cards0.35league 0.24
Cards 5+58%league 35%
Fouls24.6league 24.5
Penalties0.42league 0.32
Home wins54%league 43%
LevanteNo previous matches with this referee.
Real Betis3 with this referee
Record2-1-0
Cards · opp.2.3 · 2.3
Pens for · against0 · 0
Reds1
- W12 May 24H · Almeria3–20
- D3 Dec 23A · Almeria0–04
- W2 Sep 23H · Rayo Vallecano1–03
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Levante3 games · scored 3 · conceded 7
1
0-15
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
46-60
1
61-75
2
76-90
Real Betis4 games · scored 4 · conceded 4
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
2
46-60
61-75
1
2
76-90
Levante10 games · scored 19 · conceded 22
1
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
7
5
76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 12 · conceded 18
1
1
0-15
3
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
5
61-75
2
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
