Levski Sofia
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Tue, Jul 14 · 18:30
Vivacom Arena – Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Levski Sofia
5th · 1 pts · 1 played
D
First leg1–1
4–0Full time
Borac Banja Luka
4th · 1 pts · 1 played
D
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel543 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Levski Sofia—%
Draw—%
Borac Banja Luka—%
Weather (Sofia)
No weather data yet
RefereeAndy Madley
- Cards per match 3.5
- Penalties per match 0.17
- Matches 142
Team strength
Levski SofiaBorac Banja Luka
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
26
Current StrengthIn forecast
20
24
AttackIn forecast
20
26
DefenceIn forecast
22
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisBorac Banja Luka
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Levski SofiaBorac Banja Luka
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
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0.90
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.90
1.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.20
—
xGVia Att/Def
1.00
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.62
—
Goals minus xGContext
-0.10
70%
Scored inContext
70%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
8.60
ShotsContext
12.00
2.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
23%
On target shareContext
33%
3.50
Shots in the boxContext
6.86
39%
Box shareContext
54%
9%
ConversionContext
6%
1.00
OffsidesContext
2.50
11.20
Shots allowedContext
13.14
4.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.14
2.00
BlocksContext
5.50
2.40
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.14
55%
Save rateContext
76%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
49%
450
PassesContext
424
374
Accurate passesContext
338
83%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.56
Team ratingContext
6.97
13.20
FoulsContext
12.29
12.80
Fouls sufferedContext
16.29
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
2.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Levski Sofia
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,086 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Borac Banja Luka
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel543 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Levski Sofia |
Borac Banja Luka |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 7 Jul | 7UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 7 Jul |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 543 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,086 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 1 | 1 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8 | — |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Levski Sofia
Confirmed XI
92S. Vutsov(G)
3Maicon
31N. Serafimov
50K. Dimitrov
71W. Kamdem
20Álex Centelles
35Serginho
18G. Trdin
11A. Oko-Flex
17Everton Bala
7Reinaldo
Borac Banja Luka
Confirmed XI
21N. Ćetković(G)
6S. Saničanin
3Abel Pascual
30N. Jakšić
16S. Herrera
18M. Jojić
98S. Ogrinec
19V. Rogan
77S. Savić
7L. Juričić
12A. Hiroš
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Levski Sofia
Absences are shown before kick-off
Borac Banja Luka
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Levski Sofia · Home
No home games yet this season.
Borac Banja Luka · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 Levski Sofia wins1 draws0 Borac Banja Luka wins
Goals per game1.00 – 1.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 7 Jul 2026Borac Banja Luka1–1Levski Sofia
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Levski Sofia | Borac Banja Luka | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| Levski Sofia | Borac Banja Luka | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Levski Sofia | Borac Banja Luka | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 6.50 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.00 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 3.00 | 8.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Levski Sofia | Borac Banja Luka | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.60 | 5.83 | |
| Corners conceded | 2.20 | 3.67 | |
| Match total | 5.80 | 9.50 | 6.50 |
| Over 8.5 | 20% 1/5 | 67% 4/6 | |
| Over 9.5 | 20% 1/5 | 50% 3/6 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 1/5 | 17% 1/6 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.20 | 2.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.90 | 2.90 | |
| Match total | 5.10 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 80% 8/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Andy Madley 142 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.35league 4.47
Red cards0.13league 0.32
Cards 5+28%league 37%
Fouls23.1league 18.0
Penalties0.17league 0.53
Home wins46%league 42%
Levski SofiaNo previous matches with this referee.
Borac Banja LukaNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Levski Sofia1 games · scored 1 · conceded 1
1
0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
76-90
Borac Banja Luka1 games · scored 1 · conceded 1
1
0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
76-90
Levski Sofia10 games · scored 9 · conceded 12
1
4
0-15
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
61-75
5
5
76-90
Borac Banja Luka10 games · scored 9 · conceded 12
1
1
0-15
1
16-30
3
31-45
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.