Levski Sofia
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Wed, Jul 22 · 18:30
Vivacom Arena – Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel184 kmRest days8 · ?Matches / 14d1 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Levski Sofia—%
Draw—%
Universitatea Craiova—%
Weather (Sofia)
No weather data yet
Referee · SwedenAdam Ladeback
- Cards per match 3.5
- Penalties per match 0.00
- Matches 2
Team strength
Levski Sofia
Universitatea Craiova
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
26
Current StrengthIn forecast
22
24
AttackIn forecast
20
26
DefenceIn forecast
27
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisUniversitatea Craiova
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Levski SofiaUniversitatea Craiova
2.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.50
0.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.50
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
100%
Scored inContext
100%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
33%
On target shareContext
25%
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
33%
ConversionContext
25%
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
—
—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
0.50
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.10
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.10
—
xGVia Att/Def
0.92
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.39
—
Goals minus xGContext
+0.68
70%
Scored inContext
90%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
9.00
ShotsContext
9.78
2.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.88
24%
On target shareContext
35%
3.50
Shots in the boxContext
6.50
39%
Box shareContext
57%
13%
ConversionContext
14%
—
OffsidesContext
1.67
10.20
Shots allowedContext
12.67
4.75
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.33
2.00
BlocksContext
4.25
2.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.50
53%
Save rateContext
69%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
43%
450
PassesContext
345
374
Accurate passesContext
264
83%
Pass accuracyContext
77%
6.56
Team ratingContext
6.80
12.25
FoulsContext
16.63
13.25
Fouls sufferedContext
10.88
1.60
Yellow cardsContext
2.70
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Levski Sofia
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Universitatea Craiova
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel184 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Levski Sofia |
Universitatea Craiova |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 8UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 14 Jul | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 184 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 2 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Levski Sofia
Confirmed XI
92S. Vutsov(G)
3Maicon
31N. Serafimov
50K. Dimitrov
21Aldair
7Reinaldo
19E. El Moubarik
35Serginho
47A. Bouras
17Everton Bala
11A. Oko-Flex
Universitatea Craiova
Confirmed XI
21I. Popescu(G)
6V. Screciu
28A. Rus
3O. Romanchuk
11N. Bancu
20A. Cicâldău
5A. Mekvabishvili
17C. Mora
10Ș. Baiaram
22S. Elisor
12Monday Etim
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Levski Sofia
Absences are shown before kick-off
Universitatea Craiova
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Levski Sofia · Home
3.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 4.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Universitatea Craiova · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Levski Sofia | Universitatea Craiova | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.50 | — | |
| Conceded per game | 0.50 | — | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | — | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | — | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | — | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | — | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | — | |
| Clean sheets | 50% | — | |
| Failed to score | 0% | — | |
| Games | 2 | 0 |
| Levski Sofia | Universitatea Craiova | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.50 | — | |
| Conceded per game | 0.50 | — | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | — | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | — | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | — | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | — | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | — | |
| Clean sheets | 50% | — | |
| Failed to score | 0% | — | |
| Games | 2 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Levski Sofia | Universitatea Craiova | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 7.00 | 2.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match total | 9.00 | 3.00 | 8.67 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 0.50 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.50 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 3.50 | 4.58 |
| Over 3.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/2 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Levski Sofia | Universitatea Craiova | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.40 | 2.88 | |
| Corners conceded | 2.00 | 5.25 | |
| Match total | 6.40 | 8.13 | 8.67 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 2/5 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 20% 1/5 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 1/5 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.70 | 2.80 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.70 | 2.70 | |
| Match total | 4.40 | 5.50 | 4.58 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Adam Ladeback Sweden · 2 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.50league 4.03
Red cards0.00league 0.28
Cards 5+50%league 35%
Fouls—league 26.0
Penalties0.00league 0.38
Home wins0%league 50%
Levski SofiaNo previous matches with this referee.
Universitatea CraiovaNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Levski Sofia2 games · scored 5 · conceded 1
1
0-15
16-30
31-45
3
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Universitatea Craiova2 games · scored 5 · conceded 1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
2
76-90
Levski Sofia10 games · scored 11 · conceded 11
4
0-15
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
4
76-90
Universitatea Craiova10 games · scored 16 · conceded 11
2
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.