Lillestrom vs Torreense – 17 Sep 2026

UEFA Europa League Matchday 1 Thu, Sep 17 · 20:00 Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller

Lillestrom

1–2Full time

Torreense

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Lillestrom were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Lillestrom had 21.1 days of rest, Torreense ? and had to travel 2,721 km.

Away travel2,721 kmRest days21.1 · ?Matches / 14d0 · 0

Lillestrom47%

Draw24%

Torreense28%

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.21

Lillestrom47%

Draw25%

Torreense28%

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.15

Lillestrom47%

Draw24%

Torreense28%

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.21

Lillestrom40%

Draw25%

Torreense35%

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.36

Lillestrom47%

Draw25%

Torreense29%

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.20

Over 2.5 54% Both score 56% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Kjeller)

No weather data yet

RefereeOndrej Berka

Cards per match 4.5
Penalties per match 0.12
Matches 17

Team strength

Lillestrom

Torreense

28 L90 StrengthIn forecast 25

27 Current StrengthIn forecast 26

23 AttackIn forecast 21

31 DefenceIn forecast 28

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lillestrom

Attack—

Defense risk—

Torreense

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Lillestrom

Torreense

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lillestrom

Rest21.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Torreense

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel2,721 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Lillestrom	Torreense
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	21.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs, 27 Aug	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	2,721 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 1	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	27.9	27.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Lillestrom Confirmed XI

4-3-3

12P. Dahlberg(G)

11F. Elkaer 28L. Gabrielsen 5S. Foss 2Lars Ranger

14G. Nyheim 21F. Ottosson 29Y. Ibrahimaj

20Vá 8F. Gulbrandsen 26W. Paintsil

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Torreense Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

31Adriel

23Javi Vázquez 4V. Feltes 5M. Diadie 22David Bruno

8Alejandro Alfaro 6A. Oudrhiri

7D. Jean 33João Marques 11Manu Pozo

27A. Abubakari

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Lillestrom Absences are shown before kick-off

Torreense Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Lillestrom-0.1 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Torreense+0.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Lillestrom · Home No home games yet this season.

Torreense · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Lillestrom	Torreense	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.84
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	54%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	56%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Lillestrom	Torreense	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	—
Conceded per game	0.50	—
Match goals	1.50	—	2.84
Over 1.5	50%	—
Over 2.5	50%	—	54%
Over 3.5	0%	—
Both teams scored	50%	—	56%
Clean sheets	50%	—
Failed to score	50%	—
Games	2	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Lillestrom	Torreense	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	10.70
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	3.10
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Lillestrom	Torreense	League
Corners
Corners won	6.50	7.00
Corners conceded	7.00	4.50
Match total	13.50	11.50	10.70
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.00
Opponent cards	1.50	4.50
Match total	3.50	6.50	3.10
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Ondrej Berka 17 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.47league 3.27

Red cards0.00league 0.00

Cards 5+59%league 45%

Fouls26.8league 25.0

Penalties0.12league 0.09

Home wins35%league 45%

Lillestrom

No previous matches with this referee.

Torreense

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.