UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 Qualifying rounds Thu, Aug 6 · 18:00 Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
Lincoln Red Imps FC
1–1Full time
Omonia Nicosia
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel3,475 kmRest days? · 8.1Matches / 14d0 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Lincoln Red Imps FC—%
Draw—%
Omonia Nicosia—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Gibraltar)

No weather data yet

Referee · AzerbaijanAliyar Aghayev
  • Cards per match 4.7
  • Penalties per match 0.25
  • Matches 12

Team strength

Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia Nicosia
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
3 Current StrengthIn forecast 33
3 AttackIn forecast 34
4 DefenceIn forecast 41
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FC

Attack—
Defense risk—

Omonia Nicosia

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia Nicosia
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.70
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.90
0.99 xGVia Att/Def 1.24
2.36 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.98
+0.11 Goals minus xGContext -0.54
70% Scored inContext 60%
10% Clean sheetsContext 30%
9.17 ShotsContext 10.50
3.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.75
31% On target shareContext 36%
5.17 Shots in the boxContext 7.86
52% Box shareContext 70%
13% ConversionContext 7%
2.33 OffsidesContext 2.14
20.67 Shots allowedContext 12.38
7.17 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.38
5.67 BlocksContext 4.43
4.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25
63% Save rateContext 74%
42% PossessionIn forecast 46%
318 PassesContext 378
234 Accurate passesContext 302
74% Pass accuracyContext 80%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.68
10.67 FoulsContext 10.88
16.83 Fouls sufferedContext 13.63
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.60
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lincoln Red Imps FC
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Omonia Nicosia
Rest8.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel3,475 km7,627 km in 14d
Schedule load30%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Lincoln Red Imps FC Omonia Nicosia
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Moderate · 30
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match—8.1UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 29 Jul
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km3,475 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km7,627 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 00 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Lincoln Red Imps FC Confirmed XI
4-1-4-1
13J. Hankins(G)
66J. Eersteling 3O. Rutjens 6B. Lopes 5G. Cardozo
23Joe
4N. Pinto 32F. Álvarez 19Yussef Flalhi Idrissi 44M. Toledano
99Ayman El Ghobashy
Omonia Nicosia Confirmed XI
4-3-3
40Fabiano(G)
29J. Balkovec 30N. Panagiotou 27S. Simič 82A. Christou
14M. Marić 11Ewandro 74P. Andreou
7J. Montnor 99L. Diony 21M. Mayambela

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Lincoln Red Imps FC Absences are shown before kick-off
Omonia Nicosia Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Lincoln Red Imps FC · Home No home games yet this season.
Omonia Nicosia · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaForecast
Scored per game ——
Conceded per game ——
Match goals ——
Over 1.5 ——
Over 2.5 ——
Over 3.5 ——
Both teams scored ——
Clean sheets ——
Failed to score ——
Games00
Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaForecast
Scored per game —0.50
Conceded per game —0.50
Match goals —1.00
Over 1.5 —0%
Over 2.5 —0%
Over 3.5 —0%
Both teams scored —0%
Clean sheets —50%
Failed to score —50%
Games02

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaLeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——8.40
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards——
Opponent cards——
Match total——5.00
Over 3.5——
Over 4.5——
Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaLeague
Corners
Corners won2.504.38
Corners conceded5.333.63
Match total7.838.018.40
Over 8.550% 3/650% 4/8
Over 9.533% 2/638% 3/8
Over 10.517% 1/625% 2/8
Cards
Cards2.402.90
Opponent cards2.502.50
Match total4.905.405.00
Over 3.560% 6/1090% 9/10
Over 4.550% 5/1070% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Aliyar Aghayev Azerbaijan · 12 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.42league 3.47
Red cards0.25league 0.17
Cards 5+58%league 33%
Fouls24.9league 31.0
Penalties0.25league 0.19
Home wins25%league 47%
Lincoln Red Imps FC

No previous matches with this referee.

Omonia Nicosia

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Lincoln Red Imps FC
No complete event data.
Omonia Nicosia
No complete event data.
Lincoln Red Imps FC10 games · scored 11 · conceded 20
2 0-15
3 4 16-30
1 4 31-45
1 46-60
3 5 61-75
3 5 76-90
Omonia Nicosia10 games · scored 7 · conceded 9
2 1 0-15
1 16-30
3 2 31-45
1 2 46-60
2 61-75
2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.