UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs Play-offs Thu, Aug 20 · 17:00 Strandvallen, Sölvesborg
Mjallby AIF
0–1Full time
Red Bull Salzburg
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel926 kmRest days8.9 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Mjallby AIF—%
Draw—%
Red Bull Salzburg—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Sölvesborg)

No weather data yet

RefereeMykola Balakin
  • Cards per match 4.2
  • Penalties per match 0.28
  • Matches 58

Team strength

Mjallby AIFRed Bull Salzburg
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
21 Current StrengthIn forecast 39
17 AttackIn forecast 36
21 DefenceIn forecast 29
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Mjallby AIF

Attack—
Defense risk—

Red Bull Salzburg

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Mjallby AIFRed Bull Salzburg
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70
1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60
— xGVia Att/Def 1.36
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.15
— Goals minus xGContext +0.34
50% Scored inContext 90%
50% Clean sheetsContext 10%
— ShotsContext 13.25
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50
— On target shareContext 34%
— Shots in the boxContext 8.75
— Box shareContext 65%
— ConversionContext 12%
— OffsidesContext 1.71
— Shots allowedContext 9.50
— On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50
— BlocksContext 2.29
— Goalkeeper savesContext 2.13
— Save rateContext 61%
— PossessionIn forecast 56%
— PassesContext 434
— Accurate passesContext 359
— Pass accuracyContext 83%
— Team ratingContext 6.84
— FoulsContext 9.11
— Fouls sufferedContext 9.00
2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.30
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 4 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Mjallby AIF
Rest8.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,791 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Red Bull Salzburg
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel926 km4,330 km in 14d
Schedule load22%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Mjallby AIF Red Bull Salzburg
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 5Moderate · 22
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match8.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 11 Aug7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 13 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km926 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,791 km4,330 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 21 / 2 / 2
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Mjallby AIF Confirmed XI
3-4-3
13R. Wallinder(G)
24T. Pettersson 25M. Nielsen 5A. Iqbal
29O. Lindberg 7V. Gustafson 22P. Gustavsson 33T. Miettinen
18A. Bergström 23Á. Samuelsen 10J. Kjær
Red Bull Salzburg Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
52C. Zawieschitzky(G)
31D. Schmid 47V. Zabransky 44K. Boma 18N. Veratschnig
32A. Barry 15B. Mazurek
20E. Baidoo 11Y. Vertessen 23D. Redzic
9H. Tabaković

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Mjallby AIF Absences are shown before kick-off
Red Bull Salzburg Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Mjallby AIF · Home No home games yet this season.
Red Bull Salzburg · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Mjallby AIFRed Bull SalzburgForecast
Scored per game ——
Conceded per game ——
Match goals ——
Over 1.5 ——
Over 2.5 ——
Over 3.5 ——
Both teams scored ——
Clean sheets ——
Failed to score ——
Games00
Mjallby AIFRed Bull SalzburgForecast
Scored per game 0.501.40
Conceded per game 2.001.80
Match goals 2.503.20
Over 1.5 100%70%
Over 2.5 50%50%
Over 3.5 0%50%
Both teams scored 50%50%
Clean sheets 0%20%
Failed to score 50%30%
Games210

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Mjallby AIFRed Bull SalzburgLeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——10.00
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards——
Opponent cards——
Match total——6.00
Over 3.5——
Over 4.5——
Mjallby AIFRed Bull SalzburgLeague
Corners
Corners won4.005.57
Corners conceded2.004.00
Match total6.009.5710.00
Over 8.50% 0/143% 3/7
Over 9.50% 0/143% 3/7
Over 10.50% 0/143% 3/7
Cards
Cards2.501.30
Opponent cards2.252.00
Match total4.753.306.00
Over 3.550% 2/440% 4/10
Over 4.550% 2/440% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Mykola Balakin 58 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.98league 5.00
Red cards0.21league 1.00
Cards 5+41%league 100%
Fouls22.9league 28.0
Penalties0.28league 0.00
Home wins29%league 0%
Mjallby AIF

No previous matches with this referee.

Red Bull Salzburg2 with this referee
Record0-1-1 Cards · opp.1.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 1
  • L26 Nov 24A · Bayer Leverkusen0–51
  • D29 Nov 23A · Real Sociedad0–01

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Mjallby AIF
No complete event data.
Red Bull Salzburg
No complete event data.
Mjallby AIF4 games · scored 4 · conceded 4
0-15
2 16-30
1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
3 76-90
Red Bull Salzburg10 games · scored 17 · conceded 16
1 2 0-15
5 2 16-30
5 31-45
4 46-60
1 2 61-75
6 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.