UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 Qualifying rounds Tue, Aug 4 · 19:00 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
0–0Full time
NEC Nijmegen
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel2,075 kmRest days? · 79.2Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Olympiakos Piraeus—%
Draw—%
NEC Nijmegen—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Piraeus)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainJose Maria Sanchez Martinez
  • Cards per match 4.6
  • Penalties per match 0.26
  • Matches 61

Team strength

Olympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
63 Current StrengthIn forecast 32
54 AttackIn forecast 37
68 DefenceIn forecast 33
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus

Attack—
Defense risk—

NEC Nijmegen

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Olympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80
0.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30
1.58 xGVia Att/Def 2.04
0.62 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.20
-0.58 Goals minus xGContext -0.24
40% Scored inContext 100%
70% Clean sheetsContext 20%
18.80 ShotsContext 19.10
5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.70
27% On target shareContext 35%
11.40 Shots in the boxContext 12.10
59% Box shareContext 63%
5% ConversionContext 9%
2.22 OffsidesContext 2.13
4.70 Shots allowedContext 10.00
2.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.20
1.67 BlocksContext 2.43
1.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.90
80% Save rateContext 75%
63% PossessionIn forecast 55%
491 PassesContext 406
405 Accurate passesContext 323
83% Pass accuracyContext 80%
6.96 Team ratingContext 6.97
12.40 FoulsContext 11.30
10.20 Fouls sufferedContext 10.00
1.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Olympiakos Piraeus
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
NEC Nijmegen
Rest79.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel2,075 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Olympiakos Piraeus NEC Nijmegen
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match—79.2Eredivisie 2025-2026, 17 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km2,075 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 00 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one73.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Olympiakos Piraeus Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
31B. Popović(G)
70S. Onyemaechi 6David Carmo 45P. Retsos 2E. Saliakas
96C. Mouzakitis 14Dani García
73Joel Roca 22Chiquinho 23Rodinei
9A. El Kaabi
NEC Nijmegen Confirmed XI
3-1-4-2
1G. Crettaz(G)
24D. Fonville 3P. Sandler 21T. Storm
6D. Nejašmić
99Clement Bischoff 20N. Lebreton 35Jamiro Monteiro 25S. Ouaissa
30B. Linssen 9T. Chery

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Olympiakos Piraeus Absences are shown before kick-off
NEC Nijmegen Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Olympiakos Piraeus · Home No home games yet this season.
NEC Nijmegen · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Olympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenForecast
Scored per game ——
Conceded per game ——
Match goals ——
Over 1.5 ——
Over 2.5 ——
Over 3.5 ——
Both teams scored ——
Clean sheets ——
Failed to score ——
Games00
Olympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenForecast
Scored per game —1.80
Conceded per game —1.30
Match goals —3.10
Over 1.5 —100%
Over 2.5 —60%
Over 3.5 —30%
Both teams scored —80%
Clean sheets —20%
Failed to score —0%
Games010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Olympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenLeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——10.19
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards——
Opponent cards——
Match total——4.88
Over 3.5——
Over 4.5——
Olympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenLeague
Corners
Corners won6.147.56
Corners conceded2.863.11
Match total9.0010.6710.19
Over 8.557% 4/767% 6/9
Over 9.543% 3/767% 6/9
Over 10.529% 2/744% 4/9
Cards
Cards1.201.50
Opponent cards1.701.20
Match total2.902.704.88
Over 3.530% 3/1020% 2/10
Over 4.510% 1/1020% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez Spain · 61 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.28league 4.32
Red cards0.31league 0.25
Cards 5+48%league 43%
Fouls25.0league 25.9
Penalties0.26league 0.33
Home wins51%league 50%
Olympiakos Piraeus1 with this referee
Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.1.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 0
  • D8 Mar 26H · PAOK0–01
NEC Nijmegen

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Olympiakos Piraeus
No complete event data.
NEC Nijmegen
No complete event data.
Olympiakos Piraeus10 games · scored 10 · conceded 4
1 1 0-15
2 16-30
1 31-45
2 1 46-60
2 1 61-75
2 1 76-90
NEC Nijmegen10 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
1 1 0-15
5 2 16-30
3 5 31-45
2 3 46-60
3 1 61-75
4 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.