Omonia Nicosia
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Thu, Aug 13 · 18:00
Neo GSP, Levkosía
Omonia Nicosia
10th · 1 pts · 1 played
D
First leg1–1
1–0Full time
Lincoln Red Imps FC
9th · 1 pts · 1 played
D
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel3,475 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Omonia Nicosia—%
Draw—%
Lincoln Red Imps FC—%
Weather (Levkosía)
No weather data yet
RefereeSebastian Gishamer
- Cards per match 3.9
- Penalties per match 0.25
- Matches 48
Team strength
Omonia NicosiaLincoln Red Imps FC
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
33
Current StrengthIn forecast
3
34
AttackIn forecast
3
41
DefenceIn forecast
4
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisLincoln Red Imps FC
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Omonia NicosiaLincoln Red Imps FC
—
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
—
—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
—
0.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.20
0.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.60
1.38
xGVia Att/Def
1.10
0.91
xG allowedVia Att/Def
2.16
-0.58
Goals minus xGContext
+0.10
70%
Scored inContext
80%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
10.86
ShotsContext
9.40
3.86
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.40
36%
On target shareContext
36%
8.17
Shots in the boxContext
5.80
69%
Box shareContext
57%
8%
ConversionContext
15%
2.17
OffsidesContext
2.33
11.86
Shots allowedContext
20.00
4.71
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.60
3.43
BlocksContext
5.50
3.57
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.40
76%
Save rateContext
67%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
41%
382
PassesContext
303
306
Accurate passesContext
220
80%
Pass accuracyContext
73%
6.66
Team ratingContext
6.85
11.63
FoulsContext
13.00
15.75
Fouls sufferedContext
16.50
2.70
Yellow cardsContext
2.60
0.20
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Omonia Nicosia
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km6,951 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel3,475 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Omonia Nicosia |
Lincoln Red Imps FC |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 10 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 6 Aug | 7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 6 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 3,475 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 6,951 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | — |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Omonia Nicosia
Confirmed XI
40Fabiano(G)
5S. Coulibaly
30N. Panagiotou
29J. Balkovec
77L. Nego
14M. Marić
22M. Tankovic
74P. Andreou
7J. Montnor
99L. Diony
11Ewandro
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Confirmed XI
1Nauzet García(G)
5G. Cardozo
3O. Rutjens
6B. Lopes
2E. Jolley
23Joe
66J. Eersteling
4N. Pinto
32F. Álvarez
19Yussef Flalhi Idrissi
44M. Toledano
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Omonia Nicosia
Absences are shown before kick-off
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Omonia Nicosia · Home
No home games yet this season.
Lincoln Red Imps FC · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 Omonia Nicosia wins1 draws0 Lincoln Red Imps FC wins
Goals per game1.00 – 1.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 6 Aug 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC1–1Omonia Nicosia
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Omonia Nicosia | Lincoln Red Imps FC | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| Omonia Nicosia | Lincoln Red Imps FC | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.67 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.67 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 1.33 | 2.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 33% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% | |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% | |
| Games | 3 | 1 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Omonia Nicosia | Lincoln Red Imps FC | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.00 | 7.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 7.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 9.00 | 9.00 | 9.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 5.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 5.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 7.00 | 7.00 | 5.42 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Omonia Nicosia | Lincoln Red Imps FC | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.13 | 3.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.50 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 7.63 | 8.00 | 9.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 4/8 | 67% 4/6 | |
| Over 9.5 | 25% 2/8 | 33% 2/6 | |
| Over 10.5 | 13% 1/8 | 17% 1/6 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.00 | 2.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.90 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 5.90 | 5.10 | 5.42 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 10/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 80% 8/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Sebastian Gishamer 48 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.71league 3.82
Red cards0.17league 0.18
Cards 5+31%league 43%
Fouls23.0league 29.6
Penalties0.25league 0.20
Home wins56%league 50%
Omonia NicosiaNo previous matches with this referee.
Lincoln Red Imps FC2 with this referee
Record0-1-1
Cards · opp.2.0 · 2.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D14 Aug 25A · FC Noah0–04
- L5 Jul 22A · Shkupi 19270–30
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Omonia Nicosia1 games · scored 1 · conceded 1
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Lincoln Red Imps FC1 games · scored 1 · conceded 1
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Omonia Nicosia10 games · scored 8 · conceded 9
2
1
0-15
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
61-75
1
2
76-90
Lincoln Red Imps FC10 games · scored 12 · conceded 16
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
46-60
4
4
61-75
3
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.