UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs Play-offs Thu, Aug 27 · 18:00 Neo GSP, Levkosía
Omonia Nicosia 16th · 0 pts · 1 played
First leg0–1 4–2Full time
St. Truiden 11th · 3 pts · 1 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Rest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Omonia Nicosia—%
Draw—%
St. Truiden—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Levkosía)

No weather data yet

RefereeDamian Sylwestrzak
  • Cards per match 5.0
  • Penalties per match 0.35
  • Matches 49

Team strength

Omonia NicosiaSt. Truiden
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
33 Current StrengthIn forecast 35
34 AttackIn forecast 37
41 DefenceIn forecast 32
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Omonia Nicosia

Attack—
Defense risk—

St. Truiden

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Omonia NicosiaSt. Truiden
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
0.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80
0.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
1.46 xGVia Att/Def 1.44
1.04 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.62
-0.76 Goals minus xGContext +0.36
60% Scored inContext 90%
40% Clean sheetsContext 30%
11.00 ShotsContext 15.22
3.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00
35% On target shareContext 33%
9.00 Shots in the boxContext 9.56
71% Box shareContext 61%
7% ConversionContext 12%
1.75 OffsidesContext 2.14
12.00 Shots allowedContext 14.00
5.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.22
3.17 BlocksContext 4.22
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.57
77% Save rateContext 69%
46% PossessionIn forecast 57%
377 PassesContext 503
299 Accurate passesContext 431
79% Pass accuracyContext 86%
6.63 Team ratingContext 7.04
10.00 FoulsContext 9.80
16.29 Fouls sufferedContext 7.80
2.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.20
0.20 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Omonia Nicosia
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
St. Truiden
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel—0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 38 · 2 pts vs 3.4 for an average club · -1.2 vs expected
  • D14 AugA · Cercle Brugge3–31.5 xPts
  • D8 AugH · Lommel United1–11.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Omonia Nicosia St. Truiden
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs, 20 Aug7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs, 20 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one202.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

Omonia Nicosia Confirmed XI
4-3-3
40Fabiano(G)
29J. Balkovec 30N. Panagiotou 5S. Coulibaly 93J. Duverne
74P. Andreou 14M. Marić 22M. Tankovic
7J. Montnor 99L. Diony 11Ewandro
St. Truiden Confirmed XI
16L. Kokubo(G) 26V. Musliu 5S. Taniguchi 23J. Pupe 60R. Vanwesemael 14R. Merlen 8A. Sissako 18N. Ishiwatari 7A. Muja 10I. Sebaoui 9S. Baždar

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Omonia Nicosia Absences are shown before kick-off
St. Truiden Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Omonia Nicosia · Home No home games yet this season.
St. Truiden · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 Omonia Nicosia wins0 draws1 St. Truiden wins
Goals per game0.00 – 1.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets0% · 100%
  • 20 Aug 2026St. Truiden1–0Omonia Nicosia

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Omonia NicosiaSt. TruidenForecast
Scored per game 0.001.00
Conceded per game 1.000.00
Match goals 1.001.00
Over 1.5 0%0%
Over 2.5 0%0%
Over 3.5 0%0%
Both teams scored 0%0%
Clean sheets 0%100%
Failed to score 100%0%
Games11
Omonia NicosiaSt. TruidenForecast
Scored per game 0.601.90
Conceded per game 0.601.30
Match goals 1.203.20
Over 1.5 20%70%
Over 2.5 0%60%
Over 3.5 0%50%
Both teams scored 20%60%
Clean sheets 40%20%
Failed to score 40%20%
Games510

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Omonia NicosiaSt. TruidenLeague
Corners
Corners won1.006.00
Corners conceded6.001.00
Match total7.007.009.57
Over 8.50% 0/10% 0/1
Over 9.50% 0/10% 0/1
Over 10.50% 0/10% 0/1
Cards
Cards2.001.00
Opponent cards1.002.00
Match total3.003.004.21
Over 3.50% 0/10% 0/1
Over 4.50% 0/10% 0/1
Omonia NicosiaSt. TruidenLeague
Corners
Corners won3.145.10
Corners conceded4.004.30
Match total7.149.409.57
Over 8.543% 3/750% 5/10
Over 9.514% 1/750% 5/10
Over 10.514% 1/740% 4/10
Cards
Cards2.701.30
Opponent cards2.901.50
Match total5.602.804.21
Over 3.590% 9/1030% 3/10
Over 4.570% 7/1010% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Damian Sylwestrzak 49 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.69league 4.00
Red cards0.33league 0.21
Cards 5+57%league 43%
Fouls27.3league 22.9
Penalties0.35league 0.57
Home wins51%league 57%
Omonia Nicosia

No previous matches with this referee.

St. Truiden

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Omonia Nicosia1 games · scored 0 · conceded 1
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1 76-90
St. Truiden1 games · scored 1 · conceded 0
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1 76-90
Omonia Nicosia10 games · scored 7 · conceded 8
2 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 2 46-60
2 61-75
1 3 76-90
St. Truiden10 games · scored 18 · conceded 12
1 1 0-15
1 4 16-30
3 2 31-45
2 1 46-60
5 61-75
6 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.