RAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Gent were slight favourites.
Gent were the stronger side on L90 Strength (35 vs 20). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Gent. RAAL La Louvière had 6.9 days of rest, Gent 7.1 and had to travel 71 km.
Away travel71 kmRest days6.9 · 7.1Matches / 14d1 · 1
RAAL La Louvière29%
Draw26%
Gent45%
RAAL La Louvière33%
Draw26%
Gent41%
RAAL La Louvière29%
Draw26%
Gent45%
RAAL La Louvière23%
Draw24%
Gent52%
RAAL La Louvière30%
Draw25%
Gent45%
Over 2.5 49%
Both score 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (La Louvière)
No weather data yet
RefereeBert Put
- Cards per match 3.9
- Penalties per match 0.34
- Matches 32
Team strength
RAAL La Louvière
Gent
20
L90 StrengthIn forecast
35
17
Current StrengthIn forecast
46
15
AttackIn forecast
46
15
DefenceIn forecast
61
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGent
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RAAL La LouvièreGent
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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On target shareContext
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Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
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ConversionContext
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OffsidesContext
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
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BlocksContext
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
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PassesContext
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
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1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.50
2.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.30
1.31
xGVia Att/Def
1.19
1.78
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.29
+0.09
Goals minus xGContext
-0.69
50%
Scored inContext
40%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
12.70
ShotsContext
11.80
4.20
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.00
33%
On target shareContext
23%
10.56
Shots in the boxContext
8.88
77%
Box shareContext
68%
11%
ConversionContext
4%
1.88
OffsidesContext
1.67
14.00
Shots allowedContext
13.70
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.20
4.00
BlocksContext
4.20
3.33
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.20
63%
Save rateContext
81%
44%
PossessionIn forecast
47%
329
PassesContext
407
252
Accurate passesContext
334
76%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.82
Team ratingContext
6.92
10.50
FoulsContext
8.90
11.50
Fouls sufferedContext
10.60
1.60
Yellow cardsContext
1.90
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
RAAL La Louvière
L
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km84 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 38 · 0 pts vs 1.3 for an average club · -0.8 vs expected
- L9 AugA · Anderlecht1–20.8 xPts
Gent
W
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel71 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 59 · 3 pts vs 2.0 for an average club · +1.2 vs expected
- W9 AugH · KV Mechelen2–01.8 xPts
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| RAAL La Louvière |
Gent |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6.9Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 9 Aug | 7.1Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 9 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 71 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 84 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 1 | 0 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 5.2 | 13.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
5T. Lutonda
99Y. Okou
33P. Nkoa
4Wagane Faye
18S. Delos
78A. Tajaouart
48I. Coulibaly
10M. Wade
11M. Isah
9E. Filet
Gent
Confirmed XI
33D. Roef(G)
20Tiago Araújo
44S. Van der Heyden
16C. Burgess
5M. Ngom
22Leonardo Lopes
10A. Omgba
11M. Sonko
37A. Kadri
57M. Volckaert
75Ibrahima Cisse
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
Gent
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Gent+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
RAAL La Louvière · Home
No home games yet this season.
Gent · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
0 RAAL La Louvière wins1 draws1 Gent wins
Goals per game0.50 – 1.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets0% · 50%
- 30 Jan 2026RAAL La Louvière1–1Gent
- 2 Aug 2025Gent1–0RAAL La Louvière
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| RAAL La Louvière | Gent | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 0.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.62 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 100% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| RAAL La Louvière | Gent | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.30 | 1.90 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.60 | 1.20 | |
| Match goals | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| RAAL La Louvière | Gent | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 1.00 | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 10.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match total | 11.00 | 5.00 | 11.07 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.00 | 0.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match total | 5.00 | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| RAAL La Louvière | Gent | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.40 | 4.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.80 | 4.90 | |
| Match total | 10.20 | 9.40 | 11.07 |
| Over 8.5 | 70% 7/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 70% 7/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 5/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 0.80 | |
| Match total | 3.50 | 2.70 | 2.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Bert Put 32 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.72league 2.67
Red cards0.22league 0.13
Cards 5+44%league 27%
Fouls23.3league 21.8
Penalties0.34league 0.27
Home wins31%league 53%
RAAL La Louvière2 with this referee
Record2-0-0
Cards · opp.1.5 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 2
- W2 Nov 25H · Cercle Brugge2–13
- W13 Sep 25H · Club Brugge KV1–00
Gent6 with this referee
Record3-1-2
Cards · opp.1.8 · 2.2
Pens for · against1 · 1
Reds1
- D22 Nov 25A · KVC Westerlo0–03
- W28 Sep 25A · Cercle Brugge4–23
- L27 Jul 25A · St. Truiden1–31
- W18 Feb 24A · AS Eupen2–01
- W21 Dec 23H · OH Leuven4–00
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
RAAL La Louvière1 games · scored 1 · conceded 2
0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Gent1 games · scored 2 · conceded 0
0-15
16-30
2
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 14 · conceded 21
1
4
0-15
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
4
1
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
5
76-90
Gent10 games · scored 5 · conceded 13
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
