RAAL La Louvière vs Kortrijk – 13 Sep 2026

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Sep 13 · 18:15 Stade Communal du Tivoli, La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière 16th · 1 pts · 5 played LLLDL

3–0Full time

Kortrijk 18th · 0 pts · 5 played LLLLL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

RAAL La Louvière were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Kortrijk. RAAL La Louvière had 7.9 days of rest, Kortrijk 7.1 and had to travel 75 km.

Away travel75 kmRest days7.9 · 7.1Matches / 14d1 · 2

RAAL La Louvière49%

Draw25%

Kortrijk26%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.07

RAAL La Louvière51%

Draw24%

Kortrijk25%

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.08

RAAL La Louvière49%

Draw25%

Kortrijk26%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.07

RAAL La Louvière42%

Draw26%

Kortrijk32%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.19

RAAL La Louvière50%

Draw24%

Kortrijk26%

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.12

Over 2.5 49% Both score 52% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (La Louvière)

No weather data yet

Referee—Not recorded

Team strength

RAAL La Louvière

Kortrijk

17 L90 StrengthIn forecast 12

17 Current StrengthIn forecast 12

15 AttackIn forecast 10

15 DefenceIn forecast 16

8 Form indexContext 6

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

RAAL La Louvière

Attack—

Defense risk—

Kortrijk

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

RAAL La Louvière

Kortrijk

0.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.20

2.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.40

0.78 xGVia Att/Def 0.90

1.79 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.34

+0.02 Goals minus xGContext -0.70

60% Scored inContext 20%

0% Clean sheetsContext 0%

10.20 ShotsContext 10.40

3.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.80

35% On target shareContext 27%

6.25 Shots in the boxContext 6.00

52% Box shareContext 57%

8% ConversionContext 2%

2.75 OffsidesContext 3.25

18.00 Shots allowedContext 15.40

5.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.80

4.80 BlocksContext 3.20

3.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.60

57% Save rateContext 62%

34% PossessionIn forecast 42%

314 PassesContext 375

232 Accurate passesContext 288

74% Pass accuracyContext 77%

6.56 Team ratingContext 6.42

12.00 FoulsContext 11.20

8.80 Fouls sufferedContext 10.20

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

This league season, per match · 5 and 5 games

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.60

2.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.10

1.04 xGVia Att/Def —

1.76 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

-0.14 Goals minus xGContext —

50% Scored inContext 40%

0% Clean sheetsContext 10%

10.60 ShotsContext 9.90

3.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.90

33% On target shareContext 29%

7.33 Shots in the boxContext 5.90

64% Box shareContext 59%

9% ConversionContext 6%

2.50 OffsidesContext 2.71

14.70 Shots allowedContext 14.80

4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60

3.80 BlocksContext 3.40

2.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.70

55% Save rateContext 66%

39% PossessionIn forecast 43%

324 PassesContext 377

246 Accurate passesContext 282

76% Pass accuracyContext 75%

6.64 Team ratingContext 6.64

11.60 FoulsContext 10.70

10.30 Fouls sufferedContext 9.90

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

RAAL La Louvière LLLDL

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 8 · 1 pts vs 7.9 for an average club · -3.8 vs expected

L5 SepA · St. Truiden0–40.7 xPts
D29 AugH · KV Mechelen2–21.4 xPts
L21 AugA · Standard Liege0–20.8 xPts
L16 AugH · Gent1–21.2 xPts
L9 AugA · Anderlecht1–20.8 xPts

Kortrijk LLLLL

Rest7.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel75 km152 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 6 · 0 pts vs 7.7 for an average club · -3.8 vs expected

L6 SepH · Zulte Waregem0–21.0 xPts
L3 SepA · Anderlecht0–10.5 xPts
L29 AugH · Charleroi1–30.9 xPts
L15 AugH · Antwerp0–31.2 xPts
L7 AugA · Club Brugge KV0–30.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	RAAL La Louvière	Kortrijk
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.9Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 5 Sep	7.1Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 6 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	75 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	152 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	0 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	5.9	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

RAAL La Louvière Confirmed XI

3-4-3

21M. Peano(G)

99Y. Okou 33P. Nkoa 4Wagane Faye

18S. Delos 48I. Coulibaly 29M. Courcoul 7Máté Krisztián Kovács

78A. Tajaouart 11M. Ubandoma 30Z. Gruber

Kortrijk Confirmed XI

4-3-3

1P. Gunnarsson(G)

4H. Murray-Campbell 22G. Ruyssen 21A. Drouhin 25B. Vroninks

7S. Podgoreanu 24J. Roche 19B. Dejaegere

68T. Ambrose 10G. Koyalipou 17R. Štorman

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

RAAL La Louvière Absences are shown before kick-off

Kortrijk Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Kortrijk+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

RAAL La Louvière · Home 0.50points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-1
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 2.00

Kortrijk · Away 0.00points per game · 2 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-2
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	RAAL La Louvière	Kortrijk
Anderlecht	L 1–2 A	L 0–1 A
Points	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	RAAL La Louvière	Kortrijk	Forecast
Scored per game	0.80	0.20
Conceded per game	2.40	2.40
Match goals	3.20	2.60	2.63
Over 1.5	100%	80%
Over 2.5	80%	60%	49%
Over 3.5	40%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	20%	52%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	40%	80%
Games	5	5

	RAAL La Louvière	Kortrijk	Forecast
Scored per game	1.30	0.20
Conceded per game	2.10	2.40
Match goals	3.40	2.60	2.63
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	60%	49%
Over 3.5	40%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	20%	52%
Clean sheets	10%	0%
Failed to score	40%	80%
Games	10	5

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	RAAL La Louvière	Kortrijk	League
Corners
Corners won	2.80	3.60
Corners conceded	7.20	6.80
Match total	10.00	10.40	10.29
Over 8.5	60% 3/5	80% 4/5
Over 9.5	40% 2/5	60% 3/5
Over 10.5	40% 2/5	60% 3/5
Cards
Cards	2.20	1.40
Opponent cards	1.00	1.60
Match total	3.20	3.00	3.12
Over 3.5	40% 2/5	40% 2/5
Over 4.5	20% 1/5	20% 1/5

	RAAL La Louvière	Kortrijk	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	4.40
Corners conceded	6.00	6.40
Match total	10.00	10.80	10.29
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	70% 7/10
Cards
Cards	1.70	1.40
Opponent cards	1.10	1.40
Match total	2.80	2.80	3.12
Over 3.5	20% 2/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.