Rangers
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Thu, Aug 13 · 19:30
Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,784 kmRest days7.1 · 7.1Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Rangers—%
Draw—%
Jagiellonia—%
Weather (Glasgow)
No weather data yet
RefereeVassilis Fotias
- Cards per match 4.7
- Penalties per match 0.39
- Matches 49
Team strength
Rangers
Jagiellonia
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
40
Current StrengthIn forecast
31
38
AttackIn forecast
27
34
DefenceIn forecast
28
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisJagiellonia
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RangersJagiellonia
—
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
—
—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
—
2.30
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
2.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.96
xGVia Att/Def
1.46
1.39
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.71
+0.34
Goals minus xGContext
+0.14
100%
Scored inContext
90%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
17.33
ShotsContext
15.11
6.56
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.56
38%
On target shareContext
43%
12.88
Shots in the boxContext
8.89
69%
Box shareContext
61%
14%
ConversionContext
10%
1.80
OffsidesContext
1.83
9.11
Shots allowedContext
13.78
3.67
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.78
2.13
BlocksContext
4.89
2.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
50%
Save rateContext
79%
58%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
444
PassesContext
455
371
Accurate passesContext
381
83%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.89
Team ratingContext
6.97
12.30
FoulsContext
12.10
12.70
Fouls sufferedContext
12.80
1.80
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Rangers
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km3,569 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
Jagiellonia
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,784 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Rangers |
Jagiellonia |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 10 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 6 Aug | 7.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 6 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,784 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 3,569 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 1 | 0 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 37.7 | 6.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Rangers
Confirmed XI
1I. Pandur(G)
21D. Sterling
37E. Fernandez
24O. Makhanya
17D. Yokota
43N. Raskin
6D. Neil
11Thelo Aasgaard
23D. Gassama
7L. Shankland
20Ryan Don Naderi
Jagiellonia
Confirmed XI
50S. Abramowicz(G)
15N. Wojtuszek
5Bernardo Vital
4Y. Kobayashi
23Guilherme Montóia
11Jesús Imaz
6T. Romanczuk
19A. Klynge
27Rodrigo Conceição
99N. Prelec
7K. Szmyt
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Rangers
Absences are shown before kick-off
Jagiellonia
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Rangers · Home
No home games yet this season.
Jagiellonia · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 Rangers wins0 draws1 Jagiellonia wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.00
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 6 Aug 2026Jagiellonia2–1Rangers
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Rangers | Jagiellonia | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| Rangers | Jagiellonia | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.67 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.78 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.44 | 3.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 100% | |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 100% | |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% | |
| Games | 9 | 1 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Rangers | Jagiellonia | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.00 | 1.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 1.00 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 6.00 | 6.00 | 9.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.00 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 4.00 | 5.42 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Rangers | Jagiellonia | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.00 | 4.67 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.00 | 3.78 | |
| Match total | 9.00 | 8.45 | 9.08 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 60% 6/10 | 22% 2/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 11% 1/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.80 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.20 | 1.90 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 3.70 | 5.42 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Vassilis Fotias 49 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.47league 3.86
Red cards0.22league 0.16
Cards 5+49%league 43%
Fouls25.9league 29.6
Penalties0.39league 0.24
Home wins45%league 51%
Rangers1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L23 Oct 25A · Brann0–32
Jagiellonia1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.0.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against2 · 0
- W31 Jul 24H · Panevėžys3–10
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Rangers1 games · scored 1 · conceded 2
1
1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Jagiellonia1 games · scored 2 · conceded 1
1
1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Rangers10 games · scored 23 · conceded 22
4
5
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
3
31-45
7
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
4
3
76-90
Jagiellonia10 games · scored 16 · conceded 10
4
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.