Real Sociedad vs Espanyol – 24 Aug 2025

La Liga Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 24 · 18:30 Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián

Real Sociedad 12th · 1 pts · 1 played D

2–2Full time

Espanyol 7th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Real Sociedad were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Real Sociedad had 7.9 days of rest, Espanyol 6.9 and had to travel 399 km.

Away travel399 kmRest days7.9 · 6.9Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real Sociedad46%

Draw28%

Espanyol27%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.04

Real Sociedad47%

Draw26%

Espanyol27%

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.14

Real Sociedad46%

Draw28%

Espanyol26%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.03

Real Sociedad39%

Draw29%

Espanyol33%

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.16

Real Sociedad46%

Draw26%

Espanyol27%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.15

Over 2.5 45% Both score 50% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Donostia-San Sebastián)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainAlejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Cards per match 3.0
Penalties per match 0.33
Matches 3

Team strength

Real Sociedad

Espanyol

54 L90 StrengthIn forecast 49

56 Current StrengthIn forecast 44

62 AttackIn forecast 36

48 DefenceIn forecast 51

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Real Sociedad

Attack—

Defense risk—

Espanyol

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Real Sociedad

Espanyol

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20

1.23 xGVia Att/Def 1.10

1.40 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.97

-0.33 Goals minus xGContext +0.00

40% Scored inContext 70%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

10.90 ShotsContext 9.40

4.22 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.20

35% On target shareContext 34%

8.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.20

66% Box shareContext 69%

8% ConversionContext 12%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.50

11.20 Shots allowedContext 14.00

3.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.20

3.11 BlocksContext 4.50

2.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.20

57% Save rateContext 81%

52% PossessionIn forecast 44%

435 PassesContext 352

368 Accurate passesContext 284

85% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.81 Team ratingContext 6.96

12.00 FoulsContext 11.20

9.80 Fouls sufferedContext 12.10

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Real Sociedad

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km894 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Espanyol

Rest6.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel399 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Real Sociedad	Espanyol
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.9La Liga 2025-2026, 16 Aug	6.9La Liga 2025-2026, 17 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	399 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	894 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	6	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Real Sociedad Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

1Álex Remiro(G)

17Sergio Gómez 5Zubeldia 31Jon Martín 2J. Aramburu

8Beñat Turrientes

7Barrenetxea 28Pablo Marín 24L. Sučić 14T. Kubo

10Mikel Oyarzabal

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Espanyol Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13M. Dmitrović(G)

22Carlos Romero 6L. Cabrera 15Miguel Rubio 23O. El Hilali

8Edu Expósito 10Pol Lozano

7Javi Puado 11Pere Milla 24T. Dolan

9R. Fernández Jaén

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Real Sociedad Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Espanyol Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Real Sociedad-0.4 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Espanyol+0.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Real Sociedad · Home No home games yet this season.

Espanyol · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

5 Real Sociedad wins0 draws1 Espanyol wins

Goals per game1.50 – 0.83 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets33% · 17%

9 Feb 2025Real Sociedad2–1Espanyol
24 Aug 2024Espanyol0–1Real Sociedad
13 Feb 2023Espanyol2–3Real Sociedad
18 Sep 2022Real Sociedad2–1Espanyol
4 Apr 2022Real Sociedad1–0Espanyol
28 Nov 2021Espanyol1–0Real Sociedad

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Real Sociedad	Espanyol	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	2.00
Conceded per game	1.00	1.00
Match goals	2.00	3.00	2.47
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	0%	100%	45%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Real Sociedad	Espanyol	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	2.00
Conceded per game	1.00	1.00
Match goals	2.00	3.00	2.47
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	0%	100%	45%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Real Sociedad	Espanyol	League
Corners
Corners won	7.00	1.00
Corners conceded	8.00	3.00
Match total	15.00	4.00	8.69
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	2.00	3.00
Opponent cards	1.00	3.00
Match total	3.00	6.00	3.92
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1

	Real Sociedad	Espanyol	League
Corners
Corners won	6.50	4.30
Corners conceded	4.70	6.50
Match total	11.20	10.80	8.69
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	60% 6/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.90	1.70
Opponent cards	1.40	2.00
Match total	3.30	3.70	3.92
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez Spain · 3 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.00league 3.40

Red cards0.00league 0.40

Cards 5+33%league 33%

Fouls27.3league 23.0

Penalties0.33league 0.33

Home wins33%league 47%

Real Sociedad

No previous matches with this referee.

Espanyol

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.