Red Bull Salzburg
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs
Play-offs Thu, Aug 27 · 18:00
Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim
Red Bull Salzburg
9th · 3 pts · 1 played
W
First leg1–0
3–0Full time
Mjallby AIF
17th · 0 pts · 1 played
L
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel926 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Red Bull Salzburg—%
Draw—%
Mjallby AIF—%
Weather (Wals-Siezenheim)
No weather data yet
RefereeIrfan Peljto
- Cards per match 4.0
- Penalties per match 0.52
- Matches 44
Team strength
Red Bull SalzburgMjallby AIF
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
39
Current StrengthIn forecast
21
36
AttackIn forecast
17
29
DefenceIn forecast
21
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisMjallby AIF
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Red Bull SalzburgMjallby AIF
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
—
—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
—
1.60
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.80
1.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.27
xGVia Att/Def
—
1.16
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
+0.33
Goals minus xGContext
—
90%
Scored inContext
40%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
12.14
ShotsContext
—
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
33%
On target shareContext
—
7.71
Shots in the boxContext
—
64%
Box shareContext
—
13%
ConversionContext
—
1.67
OffsidesContext
—
9.29
Shots allowedContext
—
3.57
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
2.43
BlocksContext
—
2.14
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
60%
Save rateContext
—
57%
PossessionIn forecast
—
437
PassesContext
—
360
Accurate passesContext
—
83%
Pass accuracyContext
—
6.84
Team ratingContext
—
9.11
FoulsContext
—
9.56
Fouls sufferedContext
—
1.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Red Bull Salzburg
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km6,182 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
Mjallby AIF
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel926 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Red Bull Salzburg |
Mjallby AIF |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 10 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs, 20 Aug | 7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs, 20 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 926 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 6,182 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 2 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 21 | — |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Red Bull Salzburg
Confirmed XI
52C. Zawieschitzky(G)
31D. Schmid
47V. Zabransky
44K. Boma
18N. Veratschnig
15B. Mazurek
32A. Barry
20E. Baidoo
19K. Konaté
23D. Redzic
9H. Tabaković
Mjallby AIF
Confirmed XI
13R. Wallinder(G)
24T. Pettersson
4A. Norén
33T. Miettinen
7V. Gustafson
6M. Enggård
22P. Gustavsson
10J. Kjær
14V. Granath
18A. Bergström
25M. Nielsen
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Red Bull Salzburg
Absences are shown before kick-off
Mjallby AIF
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Red Bull Salzburg · Home
No home games yet this season.
Mjallby AIF · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
1 Red Bull Salzburg wins0 draws0 Mjallby AIF wins
Goals per game1.00 – 0.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets100% · 0%
- 20 Aug 2026Mjallby AIF0–1Red Bull Salzburg
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Red Bull Salzburg | Mjallby AIF | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 0.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% | |
| Clean sheets | 100% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 100% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Mjallby AIF | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 0.33 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.70 | 1.67 | |
| Match goals | 3.20 | 2.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 67% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% | |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 67% | |
| Games | 10 | 3 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Red Bull Salzburg | Mjallby AIF | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.00 | 2.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 2.00 | 6.00 | |
| Match total | 8.00 | 8.00 | 9.57 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 0.00 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 0.00 | |
| Match total | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4.21 |
| Over 3.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Mjallby AIF | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.43 | 3.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.14 | 4.00 | |
| Match total | 9.57 | 7.00 | 9.57 |
| Over 8.5 | 43% 3/7 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 43% 3/7 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 43% 3/7 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.00 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.90 | 1.80 | |
| Match total | 2.90 | 4.00 | 4.21 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 2/5 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Irfan Peljto 44 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.70league 4.00
Red cards0.25league 0.21
Cards 5+41%league 43%
Fouls22.3league 22.9
Penalties0.52league 0.57
Home wins48%league 57%
Red Bull Salzburg2 with this referee
Record0-1-1
Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.5
Pens for · against1 · 0
- L12 Aug 25A · Club Brugge KV2–30
- D13 Aug 24A · Twente3–32
Mjallby AIFNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Red Bull Salzburg1 games · scored 1 · conceded 0
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Mjallby AIF1 games · scored 0 · conceded 1
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Red Bull Salzburg10 games · scored 16 · conceded 15
1
2
0-15
5
1
16-30
5
31-45
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
7
5
76-90
Mjallby AIF5 games · scored 4 · conceded 5
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.