Rizespor vs Besiktas – 15 May 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 34 Fri, May 15 · 18:00 Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize

Rizespor 8th · 40 pts · 33 played WDLWL

2–2Full time

Besiktas 4th · 59 pts · 33 played WLDWL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Besiktas were slight favourites.

Besiktas were the stronger side on L90 Strength (41 vs 22). Rizespor had 6 days of rest, Besiktas 6 and had to travel 970 km.

Away travel970 kmRest days6 · 6Matches / 14d1 · 2

Rizespor31%

Draw26%

Besiktas44%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.61

Rizespor31%

Draw27%

Besiktas42%

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.47

Rizespor30%

Draw25%

Besiktas44%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.63

Rizespor24%

Draw24%

Besiktas51%

Expected goals 1.18 – 1.81

Rizespor31%

Draw26%

Besiktas43%

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.54

Over 2.5 56% Both score 59% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Rize)

No weather data yet

RefereeAsen Albayrak

Cards per match 6.0
Penalties per match 1.00
Matches 1

Team strength

Rizespor

Besiktas

22 L90 StrengthIn forecast 41

22 Current StrengthIn forecast 50

22 AttackIn forecast 60

35 DefenceIn forecast 48

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Rizespor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Rizespor

Besiktas

1.33 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.73

1.52 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.15

1.22 xGVia Att/Def 1.78

1.27 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.03

+0.11 Goals minus xGContext -0.05

73% Scored inContext 85%

24% Clean sheetsContext 30%

11.97 ShotsContext 15.85

3.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.97

31% On target shareContext 38%

6.67 Shots in the boxContext 10.18

55% Box shareContext 65%

11% ConversionContext 11%

2.15 OffsidesContext 2.48

13.21 Shots allowedContext 11.64

4.68 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.81

3.81 BlocksContext 3.10

3.27 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.79

69% Save rateContext 72%

50% PossessionIn forecast 56%

381 PassesContext 436

312 Accurate passesContext 365

82% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.77 Team ratingContext 6.91

13.45 FoulsContext 12.61

12.79 Fouls sufferedContext 11.82

2.33 Yellow cardsContext 2.15

0.03 Red cardsContext 0.12

This league season, per match · 33 and 33 games

1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.90

1.29 xGVia Att/Def 1.52

1.24 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.07

+0.31 Goals minus xGContext -0.22

70% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 40%

12.50 ShotsContext 16.00

4.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.20

36% On target shareContext 33%

7.20 Shots in the boxContext 9.80

59% Box shareContext 60%

13% ConversionContext 8%

1.71 OffsidesContext 2.86

11.60 Shots allowedContext 10.90

4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.78

3.20 BlocksContext 3.11

2.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

69% Save rateContext 80%

52% PossessionIn forecast 59%

393 PassesContext 479

323 Accurate passesContext 410

82% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.80 Team ratingContext 6.95

14.00 FoulsContext 12.20

14.10 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Rizespor

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,940 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Besiktas

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel970 km1,700 km in 14d

Schedule load17%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Rizespor	Besiktas
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 17
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6Süper Lig 2025-2026, 9 May	6Süper Lig 2025-2026, 9 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	970 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,940 km	1,700 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	92	69

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Rizespor Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

75Y. Fofana(G)

5C. Højer 27M. Sagnan 4A. Mocsi 54M. Pala

14T. Antalyalı 10I. Olawoyin

7V. Mihăilă 20Q. Laçi 17A. Awokoya-Mebude

9A. Sowe

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Besiktas Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

30E. Destanoğlu(G)

58Y. Özcan 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 62A. Murillo

4O. Ndidi 23K. Asllani

19E. Touré 10O. Kökçü 11C. Ünder

91M. Hekimoğlu

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Rizespor Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Besiktas Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Rizespor+0.5 pp
Draw+0.1 pp
Besiktas-0.6 pp

Home / Away this season

Rizespor · Home 1.63points per game · 16 home games

W-D-L: 8-2-6
Scored: 1.38
Conceded: 1.31

Besiktas · Away 1.75points per game · 16 away games

W-D-L: 8-4-4
Scored: 1.69
Conceded: 1.13

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 16 this season

Opponent	Rizespor	Besiktas
Eyüpspor	L 0–4 AW 3–0 H	D 2–2 AW 2–1 H
Konyaspor	W 3–2 HD 1–1 A	W 2–1 HW 2–0 A
Kayserispor	L 0–2 AL 0–1 H	W 1–0 HW 4–0 A
Fenerbahce	D 2–2 AL 2–5 H	L 0–1 AL 2–3 H
Gazişehir Gaziantep	W 2–1 HD 2–2 A	W 2–0 AD 2–2 H
Samsunspor	W 4–1 HD 1–1 A	L 1–2 AD 1–1 H
Fatih Karagümrük	L 1–2 AW 1–0 H	D 0–0 HW 2–0 A
Trabzonspor	L 0–1 AL 1–2 H	L 1–2 HD 3–3 A
Antalyaspor	W 1–0 HW 5–2 A	W 4–2 HW 3–1 A
Kasimpasa	W 3–0 AL 1–2 H	W 2–1 HD 1–1 A
Kocaelispor	W 2–0 HD 1–1 A	W 1–0 AW 3–1 H
Genclerbirligi	D 2–2 AW 1–0 H	W 2–0 AL 1–2 H
Galatasaray	L 0–3 HL 1–3 A	L 0–1 HD 1–1 A
Istanbul Basaksehir	D 2–2 AD 0–0 H	W 3–2 AW 2–1 H
Alanyaspor	D 1–1 HD 0–0 A	D 2–2 HL 0–2 A
Goztepe	L 1–3 AL 0–3 H	W 4–0 HL 0–3 A
Points	40 of 96 · 1.25 per game	56 of 96 · 1.75 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

1 Rizespor wins1 draws3 Besiktas wins

Goals per game1.00 – 2.00 Over 2.560% Both scored60% Clean sheets0% · 40%

20 Dec 2025Besiktas1–0Rizespor
25 May 2025Besiktas1–2Rizespor
3 Jan 2025Rizespor1–1Besiktas
3 May 2024Besiktas3–2Rizespor
9 Jan 2024Rizespor0–4Besiktas

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Rizespor	Besiktas	Forecast
Scored per game	1.33	1.73
Conceded per game	1.52	1.15
Match goals	2.85	2.88	2.94
Over 1.5	76%	82%
Over 2.5	58%	58%	56%
Over 3.5	33%	33%
Both teams scored	55%	58%	59%
Clean sheets	24%	30%
Failed to score	27%	15%
Games	33	33

	Rizespor	Besiktas	Forecast
Scored per game	1.60	1.30
Conceded per game	1.50	0.90
Match goals	3.10	2.20	2.94
Over 1.5	80%	60%
Over 2.5	70%	40%	56%
Over 3.5	40%	10%
Both teams scored	50%	40%	59%
Clean sheets	20%	40%
Failed to score	30%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Rizespor	Besiktas	League
Corners
Corners won	3.87	5.63
Corners conceded	4.77	4.34
Match total	8.64	9.97	9.35
Over 8.5	53% 16/30	63% 20/32
Over 9.5	40% 12/30	50% 16/32
Over 10.5	27% 8/30	38% 12/32
Cards
Cards	2.42	2.27
Opponent cards	1.76	3.03
Match total	4.18	5.30	4.64
Over 3.5	58% 19/33	76% 25/33
Over 4.5	39% 13/33	55% 18/33

	Rizespor	Besiktas	League
Corners
Corners won	4.44	5.80
Corners conceded	4.67	4.20
Match total	9.11	10.00	9.35
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	2.30	2.00
Opponent cards	1.30	3.30
Match total	3.60	5.30	4.64
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Asen Albayrak 1 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards6.00league 4.43

Red cards0.00league 0.22

Cards 5+100%league 44%

Fouls26.0league 26.0

Penalties1.00league 0.30

Home wins0%league 42%

Rizespor

No previous matches with this referee.

Besiktas

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.